Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election

Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election

In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls, often for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and contain estimations of the two-party-preferred vote.

Voting consideration

Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election

Some polling is conducted for voting consideration, with respondents able to select multiple options that they would consider voting for. Because of this, percentages do not add up to 100%.

Approval polling

2026

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Party leaders</th><th>Net</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Albanese</td><td>Taylor</td><td>Hanson</td><td>Unsure</td></tr><tr><td>23–27 Mar</td><td>RedBridge</td><td>1,003</td><td>33%</td><td>14%</td><td>23%</td><td>30%</td><td>10%</td></tr><tr><td>23–26 Mar</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,232</td><td>44%</td><td>36%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>20%</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>24–25 Mar</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>1,810</td><td>39%</td><td>35%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>26%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>9–14 Mar</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,803</td><td>35%</td><td>31%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>23–27 Feb</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>1,006</td><td>34%</td><td>10%</td><td>23%</td><td>33%</td><td>11%</td></tr><tr><td>23–26 Feb</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,237</td><td>45%</td><td>37%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>18%</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>16–20 Feb</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>1,551</td><td>37%</td><td>19%</td><td>25%</td><td>19%</td><td>12%</td></tr><tr><td>17–19 Feb</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>1,625</td><td>40%</td><td>35%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>25%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>13 Feb</td><td>Angus Taylor replaces Sussan Ley as Leader of the Liberal Party and Leader of the Opposition</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Albanese</td><td>Ley</td><td>Hanson</td><td>Unsure</td><td></td></tr><tr><td>8–12 Feb</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,800</td><td>38%</td><td>22%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>40%</td><td>16%</td></tr><tr><td>3–10 Feb</td><td>YouGov</td><td>1,561</td><td>47%</td><td>25%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>27%</td><td>22%</td></tr><tr><td>5–8 Feb</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,234</td><td>49%</td><td>30%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>21%</td><td>19%</td></tr><tr><td>22–29 Jan</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>1,003</td><td>37%</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>54%</td><td>28%</td></tr><tr><td>20–27 Jan</td><td>YouGov</td><td>1,500</td><td>47%</td><td>29%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>24%</td><td>18%</td></tr><tr><td>13–21 Jan</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>1,933</td><td>39%</td><td>16%</td><td>26%</td><td>19%</td><td>13%</td></tr><tr><td>12–16 Jan</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,800</td><td>33%</td><td>29%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>38%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>12–16 Jan</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,224</td><td>51%</td><td>31%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>18%</td><td>20%</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>1,608</td><td>39%</td><td>31%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>30%</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>1,027</td><td>42%</td><td>29%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>29%</td><td>13%</td></tr></tbody></table>

2025

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Party leaders</th><th>Net</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Albanese</td><td>Ley</td><td>Don't know</td></tr><tr><td>17–20 Dec</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,010</td><td>38%</td><td>30%</td><td>32%</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>5–12 Dec</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>1,012</td><td>41%</td><td>12%</td><td>47%</td><td>29%</td></tr><tr><td>2–7 Dec</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,800</td><td>41%</td><td>26%</td><td>33%</td><td>15%</td></tr><tr><td>17–20 Nov</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,245</td><td>54%</td><td>27%</td><td>19%</td><td>27%</td></tr><tr><td>7–13 Nov</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>1,011</td><td>40%</td><td>10%</td><td>50%</td><td>30%</td></tr><tr><td>4–8 Nov</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,804</td><td>39%</td><td>25%</td><td>36%</td><td>14%</td></tr><tr><td>27–30 Oct</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,265</td><td>54%</td><td>27%</td><td>19%</td><td>27%</td></tr><tr><td>23–30 Oct</td><td>YouGov</td><td>4,578</td><td>51%</td><td>26%</td><td>23%</td><td>25%</td></tr><tr><td>15–20 Oct</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>1,530</td><td>48%</td><td>31%</td><td>22%</td><td>17%</td></tr><tr><td>7–12 Oct</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,800</td><td>40%</td><td>23%</td><td>37%</td><td>17%</td></tr><tr><td>29 Sep – 2 Oct</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,264</td><td>52%</td><td>30%</td><td>18%</td><td>22%</td></tr><tr><td>25–30 Sep</td><td>YouGov</td><td>1,329</td><td>50%</td><td>28%</td><td>22%</td><td>22%</td></tr><tr><td>9–13 Sep</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,800</td><td>38%</td><td>26%</td><td>36%</td><td>12%</td></tr><tr><td>8–11 Sep</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,283</td><td>51%</td><td>31%</td><td>18%</td><td>20%</td></tr><tr><td>9–16 Aug</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,800</td><td>41%</td><td>26%</td><td>33%</td><td>15%</td></tr><tr><td>11–14 Aug</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,264</td><td>51%</td><td>31%</td><td>18%</td><td>20%</td></tr><tr><td>18–30 Jul</td><td>Wolf & Smith</td><td>5,000</td><td>45%</td><td>35%</td><td>20%</td><td>10%</td></tr><tr><td>13–18 Jul</td><td>Resolve</td><td>2,311</td><td>40%</td><td>25%</td><td>35%</td><td>15%</td></tr><tr><td>14–17 Jul</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,264</td><td>52%</td><td>32%</td><td>16%</td><td>20%</td></tr><tr><td>27 Jun – 1 Jul</td><td>Spectre Strategy</td><td>1,001</td><td>46%</td><td>27%</td><td>27%</td><td>19%</td></tr></tbody></table>

2026

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Albanese</th><th>Taylor</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Pos.</td><td>Neg.</td><td>DK</td><td>Net</td><td>Pos.</td><td>Neg.</td><td>DK</td><td>Net</td></tr><tr><td>23–27 Mar</td><td>RedBridge</td><td>1,003</td><td>29%</td><td>46%</td><td>25%</td><td>-15%</td><td>19%</td><td>22%</td><td>59%</td><td>-3%</td></tr><tr><td>23–26 Mar</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,232</td><td>39%</td><td>57%</td><td>4%</td><td>-18%</td><td>35%</td><td>42%</td><td>23%</td><td>-7%</td></tr><tr><td>24–25 Mar</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>1,810</td><td>30%</td><td>49%</td><td>21%</td><td>-19%</td><td>24%</td><td>24%</td><td>52%</td><td>0%</td></tr><tr><td>23–27 Feb</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>1,006</td><td>22%</td><td>45%</td><td>33%</td><td>-13%</td><td>19%</td><td>20%</td><td>61%</td><td>-1%</td></tr><tr><td>23–26 Feb</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,237</td><td>40%</td><td>55%</td><td>5%</td><td>-15%</td><td>35%</td><td>38%</td><td>27%</td><td>-3%</td></tr><tr><td>18–23 Feb</td><td>Essential</td><td>1,002</td><td>42%</td><td>48%</td><td>10%</td><td>-6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>16–20 Feb</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>1,551</td><td>29%</td><td>46%</td><td>25%</td><td>-17%</td><td>24%</td><td>28%</td><td>48%</td><td>-4%</td></tr><tr><td>17–19 Feb</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>1,625</td><td>32%</td><td>47%</td><td>21%</td><td>-15%</td><td>26%</td><td>23%</td><td>51%</td><td>+3%</td></tr><tr><td>13 Feb</td><td>Angus Taylor replaces Sussan Ley as Leader of the Liberal Party and Leader of the Opposition</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Albanese</td><td>Ley</td></tr><tr><td>3–10 Feb</td><td>YouGov</td><td>1,561</td><td>38%</td><td>56%</td><td>6%</td><td>-18%</td><td>22%</td><td>62%</td><td>16%</td><td>-40%</td></tr><tr><td>5–8 Feb</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,234</td><td>43%</td><td>53%</td><td>4%</td><td>-10%</td><td>23%</td><td>62%</td><td>15%</td><td>-39%</td></tr><tr><td>22–29 Jan</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>1,003</td><td>34%</td><td>44%</td><td>22%</td><td>-10%</td><td>10%</td><td>42%</td><td>48%</td><td>-32%</td></tr><tr><td>20–27 Jan</td><td>YouGov</td><td>1,500</td><td>39%</td><td>55%</td><td>6%</td><td>-16%</td><td>26%</td><td>57%</td><td>17%</td><td>-31%</td></tr><tr><td>20–23 Jan</td><td>Essential</td><td>1,022</td><td>39%</td><td>53%</td><td>9%</td><td>-14%</td><td>30%</td><td>47%</td><td>23%</td><td>-17%</td></tr><tr><td>13–21 Jan</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>1,933</td><td>27%</td><td>41%</td><td>32%</td><td>-14%</td><td>15%</td><td>33%</td><td>52%</td><td>-18%</td></tr><tr><td>12–16 Jan</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,800</td><td>35%</td><td>56%</td><td>9%</td><td>-21%</td><td>35%</td><td>42%</td><td>23%</td><td>-7%</td></tr><tr><td>12–16 Jan</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,224</td><td>42%</td><td>53%</td><td>5%</td><td>-11%</td><td>28%</td><td>56%</td><td>16%</td><td>-28%</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>1,608</td><td>33%</td><td>48%</td><td>19%</td><td>-15%</td><td>19%</td><td>32%</td><td>49%</td><td>-13%</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>1,027</td><td>29%</td><td>41%</td><td>30%</td><td>-12%</td><td>17%</td><td>28%</td><td>55%</td><td>-11%</td></tr></tbody></table>

2025

Date	Firm	Sample size
Albanese	Ley
Pos.	Neg.	DK	Net	Pos.	Neg.	DK	Net
17–20 Dec	Resolve	1,010	40%	49%	11%	-9%	36%	40%	24%	-4%
≤14 Dec	Resolve	1,606	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	+9%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	+8%
5–12 Dec	Redbridge	1,012	39%	38%	23%	+1%	14%	34%	52%	-20%
2–7 Dec	Resolve	1,800	48%	43%	9%	+5%	39%	37%	24%	+2%
19–24 Nov	Essential	1,020	47%	43%	10%	+4%	31%	44%	25%	-19%
17–20 Nov	Newspoll	1,245	47%	47%	6%	0%	26%	55%	19%	-29%
7–13 Nov	Redbridge	1,011	37%	39%	24%	-2%	13%	34%	53%	-21%
4–8 Nov	Resolve	1,804	44%	44%	12%	0%	33%	41%	26%	-8%
27–30 Oct	Newspoll	1,265	46%	51%	3%	-5%	25%	58%	17%	-33%
23–30 Oct	YouGov	4,578	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	-3%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	-22%
22–27 Oct	Essential	1,041	45%	44%	11%	+1%	32%	43%	24%	-9%
15–20 Oct	Freshwater	1,530	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	-7%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	-5%
7–12 Oct	Resolve	1,800	41%	47%	12%	-6%	33%	38%	28%	-5%
29 Sep – 2 Oct	Newspoll	1,264	47%	48%	5%	-1%	31%	52%	17%	-21%
25–30 Sep	YouGov	1,329	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	-4%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	-19%
24–29 Sep	Essential	1,001	44%	46%	10%	-2%	32%	41%	26%	-9%
9–13 Sep	Resolve	1,800	44%	45%	11%	-1%	41%	32%	27%	+9%
8–11 Sep	Newspoll	1,283	45%	50%	5%	-5%	32%	49%	19%	-17%
20–26 Aug	Essential	1,034	49%	43%	9%	+6%	35%	37%	28%	-2%
9–16 Aug	Resolve	1,800	43%	45%	12%	-2%	38%	29%	33%	+9%
11–14 Aug	Newspoll	1,264	49%	46%	5%	+3%	35%	44%	21%	-9%
24–29 Jul	Essential	1,012	50%	41%	9%	+9%	33%	35%	33%	-2%
13–18 Jul	Resolve	2,311	45%	42%	13%	+3%	38%	29%	33%	+9%
14–17 Jul	Newspoll	1,264	47%	47%	6%	0%	35%	42%	23%	-7%
4–10 Jul	Morning Consult	3,770	54%	35%	11%	+19%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
3–9 Jun	Morning Consult	3,770	53%	36%	11%	+17%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
7–11 May	Essential	1,137	50%	39%	11%	+11%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
2–8 May	Morning Consult	3,770	57%	33%	9%	+24%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a

National direction polling

Individual polls

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Right direction</th><th>Wrong direction</th><th>Can't say</th><th>Net</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>9–15 Mar 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>25.5%</td><td>60.5%</td><td>14%</td><td>-34.5%</td></tr><tr><td>2–8 Mar 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>26.5%</td><td>59%</td><td>14.5%</td><td>-32.5%</td></tr><tr><td>23 Feb–1 Mar 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>26.5%</td><td>58%</td><td>15.5%</td><td>-31.5%</td></tr><tr><td>18–23 Feb 2026</td><td>Essential</td><td>34%</td><td>49%</td><td>18%</td><td>-15%</td></tr><tr><td>13–16 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>33%</td><td>55%</td><td>12%</td><td>-22%</td></tr><tr><td>9–13 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>28.5%</td><td>57%</td><td>14.5%</td><td>-28.5%</td></tr><tr><td>2–8 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>28%</td><td>58%</td><td>14%</td><td>-30%</td></tr><tr><td>26 Jan – 1 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>30%</td><td>56.5%</td><td>13.5%</td><td>-26.5%</td></tr><tr><td>19–25 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>29.5%</td><td>56.5%</td><td>14%</td><td>-27%</td></tr><tr><td>20–23 Jan 2026</td><td>Essential</td><td>29%</td><td>54%</td><td>17%</td><td>-25%</td></tr><tr><td>12–18 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>30.5%</td><td>57.5%</td><td>12%</td><td>-27%</td></tr><tr><td>5–11 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>19.5%</td><td>45.5%</td><td>35%</td><td>-26%</td></tr><tr><td>19–24 Nov 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>35%</td><td>47%</td><td>18%</td><td>-12%</td></tr><tr><td>15–20 Oct 2025</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>35%</td><td>52%</td><td>13%</td><td>-17%</td></tr><tr><td>22–27 Oct 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>35%</td><td>46%</td><td>19%</td><td>-11%</td></tr><tr><td>24–29 Sep 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>34%</td><td>50%</td><td>16%</td><td>-16%</td></tr><tr><td>25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>32.5%</td><td>53%</td><td>14.5%</td><td>-20.5%</td></tr><tr><td>20–26 Aug 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>38%</td><td>47%</td><td>16%</td><td>-9%</td></tr><tr><td>24–29 July 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>38%</td><td>45%</td><td>17%</td><td>-7%</td></tr><tr><td>30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>37%</td><td>46.5%</td><td>16.5%</td><td>-9.5%</td></tr><tr><td>23–29 Jun 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>38.5%</td><td>46%</td><td>15.5%</td><td>-7.5%</td></tr><tr><td>2–22 Jun 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>43%</td><td>41.5%</td><td>15.5%</td><td>+1.5%</td></tr><tr><td>5 May – 1 Jun 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>41%</td><td>44%</td><td>15%</td><td>-3%</td></tr><tr><td>7–11 May 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>37%</td><td>42%</td><td>21%</td><td>-5%</td></tr></tbody></table>

Sub-national polling

New South Wales

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Primary vote</th><th>2PP vote</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>GRN</td><td>ONP</td><td>IND</td><td>OTH</td><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>ONP</td></tr><tr><td>LIB</td><td>NAT</td></tr><tr><td>12–19 Mar 2026</td><td>YouGov</td><td>489</td><td>29%</td><td>17%</td><td>13%</td><td>24%</td><td>6%</td><td>11%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026</td><td>DemosAU (MRP)</td><td>—N/a</td><td>29%</td><td>21%</td><td>12%</td><td>26%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>17–19 Feb 2026</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>—</td><td>31%</td><td>26%</td><td>10%</td><td>22%</td><td>—</td><td>11%</td><td>51%</td><td>49%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>54%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>46%</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>59%</td><td>41%</td></tr><tr><td>8–14 Feb 2026</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>21%</td><td>11%</td><td>24%</td><td>8%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>8–12 Feb 2026</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>29%</td><td>20%</td><td>12%</td><td>27%</td><td>9%</td><td>3%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>30%</td><td>17.5%</td><td>4.5%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>25.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>54%</td><td>46%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20–27 Jan 2026</td><td>YouGov</td><td>—N/a</td><td>29%</td><td>14%</td><td>5%</td><td>11%</td><td>26%</td><td>8%</td><td>7%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>16–18 Jan 2026</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>308</td><td>33%</td><td>37%</td><td>5%</td><td>21%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>4%</td><td>48%</td><td>52%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>57%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>43%</td></tr><tr><td>12–18 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>58.5%</td><td>41.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–16 Jan 2026</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31%</td><td>26%</td><td>12%</td><td>20%</td><td>8%</td><td>4%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–11 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>54.5%</td><td>45.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan 2026</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>—N/a</td><td>29%</td><td>27%</td><td>13%</td><td>19%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>52%</td><td>48%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>56%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>44%</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>65%</td><td>35%</td></tr><tr><td>17–20 Dec 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31%</td><td>29%</td><td>9%</td><td>20%</td><td>9%</td><td>3%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33.5%</td><td>25.5%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>17.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>57%</td><td>43%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>2–7 Dec 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>35%</td><td>26%</td><td>11%</td><td>17%</td><td>8%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>37%</td><td>24%</td><td>12%</td><td>14%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>58%</td><td>42%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33.5%</td><td>28.5%</td><td>10.5%</td><td>14.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>55.5%</td><td>44.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025</td><td>DemosAU (MRP)</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33%</td><td>24%</td><td>12%</td><td>17%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>14%</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>4–8 Nov 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>34%</td><td>31%</td><td>11%</td><td>13%</td><td>5%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>15–20 Oct 2025</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>37%</td><td>13%</td><td>10%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9%</td><td>52%</td><td>48%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>57.5%</td><td>42.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>7–12 Oct 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>35%</td><td>29%</td><td>9%</td><td>14%</td><td>8%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>56.5%</td><td>43.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>9–13 Sep 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>34%</td><td>28%</td><td>9%</td><td>16%</td><td>9%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>38%</td><td>25%</td><td>13%</td><td>10%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>14%</td><td>60%</td><td>40%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>34%</td><td>29%</td><td>10%</td><td>12%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>15%</td><td>54%</td><td>46%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>11–15 Aug 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>37%</td><td>29%</td><td>13%</td><td>12%</td><td>7%</td><td>3%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>56.5%</td><td>43.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>13–18 Jul 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>31%</td><td>11%</td><td>8%</td><td>7%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19–30 Jun 2025</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>38%</td><td>30%</td><td>9%</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>15%</td><td>54%</td><td>46%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 May – 1 Jun 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>59%</td><td>41%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>3 May 2025</td><td>Election</td><td>35.2%</td><td>24.2%</td><td>7.3%</td><td>11.1%</td><td>6.0%</td><td>9.7%</td><td>6.5%</td><td>55.3%</td><td>44.7%</td><td>—</td></tr></tbody></table>

Victoria

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Primary vote</th><th>2PP vote</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>GRN</td><td>ONP</td><td>IND</td><td>OTH</td><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>ONP</td></tr><tr><td>LIB</td><td>NAT</td></tr><tr><td>12–19 Mar 2026</td><td>YouGov</td><td>385</td><td>27%</td><td>20%</td><td>15%</td><td>19%</td><td>6%</td><td>13%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026</td><td>DemosAU (MRP)</td><td>—N/a</td><td>28%</td><td>21%</td><td>14%</td><td>27%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>10%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>17–19 Feb 2026</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>—</td><td>26%</td><td>23%</td><td>13%</td><td>30%</td><td>—</td><td>8%</td><td>49%</td><td>51%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>49%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>51%</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>53%</td><td>47%</td></tr><tr><td>8–14 Feb 2026</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>29%</td><td>21%</td><td>12%</td><td>25%</td><td>6%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>8–12 Feb 2026</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31%</td><td>16%</td><td>12%</td><td>27%</td><td>7%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>30.5%</td><td>25.5%</td><td>1.5%</td><td>13%</td><td>17.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>53%</td><td>47%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20–27 Jan 2026</td><td>YouGov</td><td>—N/a</td><td>29%</td><td>21%</td><td>1%</td><td>15%</td><td>25%</td><td>6%</td><td>3%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>16–18 Jan 2026</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>273</td><td>32%</td><td>26%</td><td>12%</td><td>16%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>14%</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>57%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>43%</td></tr><tr><td>12–18 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>52.5%</td><td>47.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–16 Jan 2026</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>26%</td><td>33%</td><td>13%</td><td>17%</td><td>6%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–11 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan 2026</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>—N/a</td><td>26%</td><td>28%</td><td>18%</td><td>19%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9%</td><td>51%</td><td>49%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>56%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>44%</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>66%</td><td>34%</td></tr><tr><td>17–20 Dec 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>30%</td><td>30%</td><td>12%</td><td>15%</td><td>9%</td><td>3%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32.5%</td><td>28.5%</td><td>15.5%</td><td>10%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13.5%</td><td>56.5%</td><td>43.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>2–7 Dec 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31%</td><td>31%</td><td>11%</td><td>11%</td><td>10%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>35%</td><td>26%</td><td>16%</td><td>11%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>60%</td><td>40%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33.5%</td><td>27.5%</td><td>16%</td><td>10.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12.5%</td><td>59.5%</td><td>40.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025</td><td>DemosAU (MRP)</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33%</td><td>24%</td><td>14%</td><td>16%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>58%</td><td>42%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>4–8 Nov 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33%</td><td>29%</td><td>13%</td><td>12%</td><td>9%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>15–20 Oct 2025</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>30%</td><td>13%</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>18%</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>59.5%</td><td>40.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>7–12 Oct 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33%</td><td>29%</td><td>12%</td><td>10%</td><td>9%</td><td>7%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>56.5%</td><td>43.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>9–13 Sep 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>30%</td><td>15%</td><td>9%</td><td>6%</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>35%</td><td>30%</td><td>15%</td><td>7%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>58%</td><td>42%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>2–9 Sep 2025</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>1,327</td><td>32%</td><td>29%</td><td>13%</td><td>12%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>14%</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>34%</td><td>32%</td><td>12%</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>54%</td><td>46%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>58%</td><td>42%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>11–15 Aug 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>30%</td><td>12%</td><td>6%</td><td>7%</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>57.5%</td><td>42.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>13–18 Jul 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>38%</td><td>28%</td><td>13%</td><td>8%</td><td>6%</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19–30 Jun 2025</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>31%</td><td>12%</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 May – 1 Jun 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>59.5%</td><td>40.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>3 May 2025</td><td>Election</td><td>34.0%</td><td>27.6%</td><td>4.6%</td><td>13.6%</td><td>5.8%</td><td>7.6%</td><td>6.8%</td><td>56.3%</td><td>43.7%</td><td>—</td></tr></tbody></table>

Queensland

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Primary vote</th><th>2PP vote</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>LNP</td><td>ALP</td><td>GRN</td><td>ONP</td><td>IND</td><td>OTH</td><td>LNP</td><td>ALP</td><td>ONP</td></tr><tr><td>12–19 Mar 2026</td><td>YouGov</td><td>315</td><td>25%</td><td>19%</td><td>9%</td><td>30%</td><td>2%</td><td>15%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026</td><td>DemosAU (MRP)</td><td>—N/a</td><td>21%</td><td>25%</td><td>12%</td><td>31%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>17–19 Feb 2026</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>—</td><td>25%</td><td>28%</td><td>10%</td><td>29%</td><td>—</td><td>8%</td><td>52%</td><td>48%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>49%</td><td>51%</td></tr><tr><td>54%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>46%</td></tr><tr><td>8–14 Feb 2026</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>25%</td><td>30%</td><td>12%</td><td>23%</td><td>7%</td><td>3%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>8–12 Feb 2026</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>22%</td><td>31%</td><td>11%</td><td>22%</td><td>9%</td><td>4%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>23.5%</td><td>27.5%</td><td>14%</td><td>24%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>49%</td><td>51%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20–27 Jan 2026</td><td>YouGov</td><td>—N/a</td><td>18%</td><td>33%</td><td>11%</td><td>28%</td><td>3%</td><td>7%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>16–18 Jan 2026</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>246</td><td>24%</td><td>27%</td><td>13%</td><td>24%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>50%</td><td>50%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>51%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>49%</td></tr><tr><td>12–18 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>52%</td><td>48%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–16 Jan 2026</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>30%</td><td>28%</td><td>10%</td><td>19%</td><td>7%</td><td>7%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–11 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>54%</td><td>46%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan 2026</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>—N/a</td><td>25%</td><td>27%</td><td>11%</td><td>25%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>51%</td><td>49%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>60%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>40%</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>51%</td><td>49%</td></tr><tr><td>17–20 Dec 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>26%</td><td>34%</td><td>14%</td><td>14%</td><td>7%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>27%</td><td>28%</td><td>12.5%</td><td>22%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>50.5%</td><td>49.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>2–7 Dec 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>26%</td><td>36%</td><td>12%</td><td>11%</td><td>6%</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>27%</td><td>33%</td><td>10%</td><td>18%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>48%</td><td>52%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>27%</td><td>28%</td><td>12%</td><td>18%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>15%</td><td>49%</td><td>51%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025</td><td>DemosAU (MRP)</td><td>—N/a</td><td>25%</td><td>30%</td><td>12%</td><td>20%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>48%</td><td>52%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>4–8 Nov 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>26%</td><td>35%</td><td>14%</td><td>11%</td><td>8%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>15–20 Oct 2025</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>—N/a</td><td>29%</td><td>30%</td><td>14%</td><td>18%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>10%</td><td>47%</td><td>53%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>15%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>49.5%</td><td>50.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>7–12 Oct 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>23%</td><td>35%</td><td>13%</td><td>13%</td><td>9%</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>51.5%</td><td>48.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>9–13 Sep 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>27%</td><td>37%</td><td>10%</td><td>12%</td><td>10%</td><td>4%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33%</td><td>32%</td><td>12%</td><td>10%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>49%</td><td>51%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>31%</td><td>12%</td><td>16%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9%</td><td>51%</td><td>49%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>48%</td><td>52%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>11–15 Aug 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>29%</td><td>39%</td><td>10%</td><td>9%</td><td>8%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>46.5%</td><td>53.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>13–18 July 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31%</td><td>31%</td><td>11%</td><td>10%</td><td>8%</td><td>8%</td><td>48%</td><td>51%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>4–9 Jul 2025</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>1,027</td><td>35%</td><td>31%</td><td>12%</td><td>13%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9%</td><td>47%</td><td>53%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19–30 Jun 2025</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>35%</td><td>32%</td><td>12%</td><td>12%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9%</td><td>51%</td><td>49%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 May – 1 Jun 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>47.5%</td><td>52.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>3 May 2025</td><td>Election</td><td>34.9%</td><td>31.0%</td><td>11.8%</td><td>7.8%</td><td>3.8%</td><td>10.7%</td><td>50.6%</td><td>49.4%</td><td>—</td></tr></tbody></table>

Western Australia

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
LIB	NAT
12–19 Mar 2026	YouGov	127	29%	19%	9%	27%	5%	11%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026	DemosAU (MRP)	—N/a	30%	20%	13%	27%	—N/a	12%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	29%	24.5%	2.5%	13%	20%	—N/a	11%	54.5%	45.5%	—N/a
20–27 Jan 2026	YouGov	—N/a	29%	25%	3%	13%	18%	6%	6%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
16–18 Jan 2026	Freshwater	81	38%	19%	21%	10%	—N/a	12%	64%	36%	—N/a
66%	—N/a	34%
12–18 Jan 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	47%	53%	—N/a
5–11 Jan 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	45.5%	54.5%	—N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	30%	24%	15.5%	17.5%	—N/a	13%	50.5%	49.5%	—N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025	Newspoll	—N/a	37%	28%	12%	14%	—N/a	9%	56%	44%	—N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	32.5%	27.5%	11%	16.5%	—N/a	12.5%	53%	47%	—N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025	DemosAU (MRP)	—N/a	34%	23%	12%	19%	—N/a	12%	56%	44%	—N/a
15–20 Oct 2025	Freshwater	—N/a	45%	25%	18%	7%	—N/a	5%	68%	32%	—N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	11.5%	—N/a	—N/a	53.5%	46.5%	—N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	8.5%	—N/a	—N/a	53%	47%	—N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025	Newspoll	—N/a	39%	33%	8%	11%	—N/a	9%	54%	46%	—N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	44%	28%	7%	10%	—N/a	11%	59%	41%	—N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	56.5%	43.5%	—N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	54.5%	45.5%	—N/a
19–30 Jun 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	41%	31%	11%	8%	—N/a	9%	57%	43%	—N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	58.5%	41.5%	—N/a
3 May 2025	Election	35.6%	28.7%	2.9%	12.0%	7.6%	6.2%	7.1%	55.8%	44.2%	—

South Australia

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB	ONP
12–19 Mar 2026	YouGov	110	22%	9%	17%	26%	3%	23%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
9–17 Mar 2026	YouGov	1,265	33%	20%	13%	25%	3%	6%	55%	45%	—N/a
56%	—N/a	44%
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026	DemosAU (MRP)	—N/a	34%	18%	12%	27%	—N/a	9%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	33.5%	21.5%	12%	20.5%	—N/a	12.5%	61%	39%	—N/a
20–27 Jan 2026	YouGov	—N/a	35%	12%	14%	29%	5%	5%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
16–18 Jan 2026	Freshwater	91	46%	18%	12%	14%	—N/a	9%	66%	34%	—N/a
72%	—N/a	28%
12–18 Jan 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	55.5%	44.5%	—N/a
5–11 Jan 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	50%	50%	—N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	35.5%	29%	12.5%	13.5%	—N/a	9.5%	56.5%	43.5%	—N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025	Newspoll	—N/a	38%	25%	10%	15%	—N/a	12%	58%	42%	—N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	37.5%	26%	15%	11.5%	—N/a	10%	59.5%	40.5%	—N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025	DemosAU (MRP)	—N/a	36%	21%	16%	14%	—N/a	13%	60%	40%	—N/a
15–20 Oct 2025	Freshwater	—N/a	35%	33%	18%	8%	—N/a	6%	56%	44%	—N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	15%	—N/a	—N/a	59.5%	40.5%	—N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13%	—N/a	—N/a	58.5%	41.5%	—N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025	Newspoll	—N/a	34%	29%	10%	11%	—N/a	16%	55%	45%	—N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	59%	41%	—N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	62%	38%	—N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	58.5%	41.5%	—N/a
3 May 2025	Election	38.3%	28.0%	13.4%	6.2%	3.4%	10.7%	59.2%	40.8%	—

Tasmania

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB	ONP
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026	DemosAU (MRP)	—N/a	31%	15%	11%	27%	—N/a	16%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
16–19 Feb 2026	EMRS	953	30%	18%	13%	24%	12%	2%	60%	40%	—N/a
60%	—N/a	40%
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	31%	20.5%	17%	15.5%	—N/a	16%	59%	41%	—N/a
12–18 Jan 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	55.5%	44.5%	—N/a
5–11 Jan 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	56%	44%	—N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	38.5%	19%	12%	12%	—N/a	18.5%	67%	33%	—N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	35.5%	26.5%	11%	9%	—N/a	18%	65.5%	34.5%	—N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025	DemosAU (MRP)	—N/a	36%	18%	13%	17%	—N/a	16%	64%	36%	—N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	10%	—N/a	—N/a	68%	32%	—N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5.5%	—N/a	—N/a	68.5%	31.5%	—N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	63.5%	36.5%	—N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	61%	39%	—N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025	Roy Morgan	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	70.5%	29.5%	—N/a
3 May 2025	Election	36.6%	24.5%	11.1%	6.1%	18.1%	3.6%	63.3%	36.7%	—

ACT

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	LIB	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	LIB
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026	DemosAU (MRP)	—N/a	42%	18%	18%	11%	—N/a	11%	—N/a	—N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025	DemosAU (MRP)	—N/a	46%	20%	16%	6%	—N/a	12%	71%	29%
3 May 2025	Election	47.5%	21.2%	15.1%	—	12.8%	3.4%	72.5%	27.5%

Northern Territory

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	CLP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	CLP
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026	DemosAU (MRP)	—N/a	31%	21%	11%	29%	—N/a	8%	—N/a	—N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025	DemosAU (MRP)	—N/a	34%	25%	12%	19%	—N/a	10%	54%	46%
3 May 2025	Election	37.9%	33.8%	10.2%	7.7%	7.7%	2.5%	54.3%	45.7%

Electorate projections

Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election

Date	Firm	Projection type	Sample size	Seat tally	Majority
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	CA	KAP	IND
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026	DemosAU	MRP	8,424	83	9	1	52	0	0	5	ALP 8
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025	DemosAU	MRP	6,928	98	29	0	12	1	1	9	ALP 23
3 May 2025	Election	94	43	1	0	1	1	10	ALP 19

Individual seat polling

By electorate classification

The Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) classifies electorates as inner metropolitan, outer metropolitan, provincial and rural.

Inner metropolitan

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
LIB	LNP
23–27 Feb 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	41%	17%	3%	14%	16%	—N/a	9%	63%	37%	—N/a
67%	—N/a	33%
16–20 Feb 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	36%	26%	14%	18%	—N/a	7%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
22–29 Jan 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	43%	16%	2%	13%	16%	—N/a	10%	64%	36%	—N/a
20–27 Jan 2026	YouGov	—N/a	37%	17%	2%	15%	15%	10%	4%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
13–21 Jan 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	38%	19%	17%	17%	—N/a	9%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
5–6 Jan 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	37%	26%	15%	16%	—N/a	6%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
5–12 Dec 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	39%	23%	17%	12%	—N/a	9%	62%	38%	—N/a
12–17 Nov 2025	YouGov (MRP)	—N/a	40%	24%	17%	9%	7%	3%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025	DemosAU (MRP)	—N/a	38%	23%	17%	10%	—N/a	12%	62%	38%	—N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	39%	29%	13%	9%	—N/a	10%	58%	42%	—N/a
19–30 Jun 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	42%	29%	11%	—N/a	—N/a	17%	60%	40%	—N/a

Outer metropolitan

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
LIB	LNP
23–27 Feb 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	32%	13%	3%	14%	28%	—N/a	10%	57%	43%	—N/a
54%	—N/a	46%
16–20 Feb 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	28%	21%	11%	30%	—N/a	10%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
22–29 Jan 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	31%	16%	3%	9%	33%	—N/a	8%	52%	48%	—N/a
20–27 Jan 2026	YouGov	—N/a	30%	16%	4%	13%	27%	4%	6%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
13–21 Jan 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	27%	23%	14%	25%	—N/a	11%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
5–6 Jan 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	26%	23%	11%	24%	—N/a	16%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
5–12 Dec 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	40%	22%	12%	18%	—N/a	8%	60%	40%	—N/a
12–17 Nov 2025	YouGov (MRP)	—N/a	35%	24%	12%	21%	3%	5%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025	DemosAU (MRP)	—N/a	35%	23%	12%	17%	—N/a	13%	57%	43%	—N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	36%	27%	13%	13%	—N/a	11%	56%	44%	—N/a
19–30 Jun 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	39%	30%	12%	—N/a	—N/a	19%	57%	43%	—N/a

Provincial

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
LIB	LNP	NAT
23–27 Feb 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	32%	15%	7%	0%	5%	34%	—N/a	7%	49%	51%	—N/a
49%	—N/a	51%
22–29 Jan 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	35%	6%	6%	1%	12%	33%	—N/a	8%	60%	40%	—N/a
20–27 Jan 2026	YouGov	—N/a	34%	10%	10%	2%	9%	25%	3%	7%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
5–12 Dec 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	26%	33%	11%	23%	—N/a	7%	46%	54%	—N/a
12–17 Nov 2025	YouGov (MRP)	—N/a	33%	27%	10%	21%	5%	4%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	33%	31%	10%	15%	—N/a	11%	51%	49%	—N/a
19–30 Jun 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	34%	33%	11%	—N/a	—N/a	22%	52%	48%	—N/a

Rural

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
LIB	LNP	NAT
23–27 Feb 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	22%	9%	5%	6%	11%	39%	—N/a	8%	43%	57%	—N/a
45%	—N/a	55%
22–29 Jan 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	26%	10%	6%	6%	9%	31%	—N/a	12%	49%	51%	—N/a
20–27 Jan 2026	YouGov	—N/a	23%	11%	2%	7%	9%	35%	6%	7%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
5–12 Dec 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	32%	29%	10%	17%	—N/a	12%	52%	48%	—N/a
12–17 Nov 2025	YouGov (MRP)	—N/a	26%	30%	9%	23%	6%	6%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	29%	30%	6%	20%	—N/a	11%	48%	52%	—N/a
19–30 Jun 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	32%	32%	8%	—N/a	—N/a	28%	50%	50%	—N/a

Regional/rural

Some polls combine provincial and rural electorates as "regional/rural".

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP
16–20 Feb 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	22%	16%	10%	37%	—N/a	15%	—N/a	—N/a
13–21 Jan 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	24%	20%	8%	32%	—N/a	16%	—N/a	—N/a
5–6 Jan 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	25%	20%	11%	32%	—N/a	12%	—N/a	—N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025	DemosAU (MRP)	—N/a	24%	26%	9%	24%	—N/a	17%	47%	53%

Subpopulation results

Women

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Primary vote</th><th>2PP vote</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>GRN</td><td>ONP</td><td>IND</td><td>OTH</td><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>ONP</td></tr><tr><td>LIB</td><td>NAT</td><td>LNP</td></tr><tr><td>17–19 Feb 2026</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>—</td><td>30%</td><td>24%</td><td>15%</td><td>23%</td><td>—</td><td>8%</td><td>53%</td><td>47%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>55%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>45%</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>58%</td><td>42%</td></tr><tr><td>13–16 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>62%</td><td>38%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>30%</td><td>22%</td><td>3%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>15.5%</td><td>17.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>56%</td><td>44%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>22–29 Jan 2026</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>15%</td><td>1%</td><td>3%</td><td>13%</td><td>23%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9%</td><td>58%</td><td>42%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20–27 Jan 2026</td><td>YouGov</td><td>—N/a</td><td>26%</td><td>15%</td><td>2%</td><td>4%</td><td>15%</td><td>25%</td><td>7%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20–23 Jan 2026</td><td>Essential</td><td>599</td><td>29%</td><td>20%</td><td>11%</td><td>23%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>13–21 Jan 2026</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>—N/a</td><td>29%</td><td>20%</td><td>14%</td><td>24%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>54.5%</td><td>45.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–18 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–16 Jan 2026</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>28%</td><td>27%</td><td>12%</td><td>18%</td><td>8%</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–11 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>57.5%</td><td>42.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan 2026</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>—N/a</td><td>27%</td><td>23%</td><td>20%</td><td>19%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>58%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>42%</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>65%</td><td>35%</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan 2026</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>—N/a</td><td>24%</td><td>22%</td><td>17%</td><td>23%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>14%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>17–20 Dec 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>28%</td><td>28%</td><td>12%</td><td>17%</td><td>9%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31.5%</td><td>26%</td><td>17.5%</td><td>13%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>58.5%</td><td>41.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>3–8 Dec 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>558</td><td>33%</td><td>25%</td><td>12%</td><td>16%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>2–7 Dec 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31%</td><td>24%</td><td>16%</td><td>15%</td><td>8%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19–24 Nov 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>490</td><td>35%</td><td>23%</td><td>14%</td><td>14%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>35%</td><td>24%</td><td>15%</td><td>13%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>58%</td><td>42%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–17 Nov 2025</td><td>YouGov (MRP)</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>25%</td><td>14%</td><td>18%</td><td>6%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>34%</td><td>26%</td><td>15%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13.5%</td><td>60%</td><td>40%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025</td><td>DemosAU (MRP)</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33%</td><td>22%</td><td>16%</td><td>16%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>58%</td><td>42%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>22–27 Oct 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>595</td><td>32%</td><td>26%</td><td>13%</td><td>14%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>7%</td><td>52.5%</td><td>47.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>15–20 Oct 2025</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>—N/a</td><td>30%</td><td>30%</td><td>17%</td><td>11%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>60.5%</td><td>39.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>7–12 Oct 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>26%</td><td>12%</td><td>14%</td><td>7%</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>24–29 Sep 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>517</td><td>35%</td><td>24%</td><td>14%</td><td>14%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>4%</td><td>55.5%</td><td>44.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>30%</td><td>13%</td><td>13%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>53%</td><td>47%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>7%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>59%</td><td>41%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>9–13 Sep 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31%</td><td>27%</td><td>13%</td><td>13%</td><td>10%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>34%</td><td>29%</td><td>14%</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>14%</td><td>57%</td><td>43%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025</td><td>RedBridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33%</td><td>29%</td><td>14%</td><td>11%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>60.5%</td><td>39.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>11–15 Aug 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>38%</td><td>25%</td><td>13%</td><td>9%</td><td>8%</td><td>6%</td><td>60%</td><td>40%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>59.5%</td><td>40.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>13–18 Jul 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>27%</td><td>14%</td><td>7%</td><td>9%</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jul 2025</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>25%</td><td>15%</td><td>15%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>10%</td><td>60%</td><td>40%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19–30 Jun 2025</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>30%</td><td>13%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>21%</td><td>56%</td><td>44%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 May – 1 Jun 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>61%</td><td>39%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>3 May 2025</td><td>Election (estimate)</td><td>36%</td><td>28%</td><td>18%</td><td>—</td><td>—</td><td>18%</td><td>—</td><td>—</td><td>—</td></tr></tbody></table>

Men

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Primary vote</th><th>2PP vote</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>GRN</td><td>ONP</td><td>IND</td><td>OTH</td><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>ONP</td></tr><tr><td>LIB</td><td>NAT</td><td>LNP</td></tr><tr><td>17–19 Feb 2026</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>—</td><td>30%</td><td>24%</td><td>9%</td><td>28%</td><td>—</td><td>9%</td><td>50%</td><td>50%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>51%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>49%</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td></tr><tr><td>13–16 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>47.5%</td><td>52.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>30%</td><td>20.5%</td><td>2.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9.5%</td><td>26%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11.5%</td><td>52.5%</td><td>47.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>22–29 Jan 2026</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>11%</td><td>2%</td><td>6%</td><td>8%</td><td>30%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>53%</td><td>47%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20–27 Jan 2026</td><td>YouGov</td><td>—N/a</td><td>35%</td><td>15%</td><td>2%</td><td>3%</td><td>9%</td><td>25%</td><td>6%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20–23 Jan 2026</td><td>Essential</td><td>423</td><td>32%</td><td>31%</td><td>7%</td><td>21%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>13–21 Jan 2026</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31%</td><td>22%</td><td>12%</td><td>25%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>10%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–18 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>52%</td><td>48%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–16 Jan 2026</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>29%</td><td>9%</td><td>18%</td><td>6%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–11 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>46.5%</td><td>53.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan 2026</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31%</td><td>27%</td><td>9%</td><td>23%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>10%</td><td>50%</td><td>50%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>53%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>47%</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>61%</td><td>39%</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan 2026</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>—N/a</td><td>34%</td><td>24%</td><td>7%</td><td>24%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>17–20 Dec 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>28%</td><td>11%</td><td>14%</td><td>7%</td><td>3%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32.5%</td><td>27.5%</td><td>9%</td><td>18%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>52.5%</td><td>47.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>3–8 Dec 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>472</td><td>35%</td><td>27%</td><td>7%</td><td>19%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>2–7 Dec 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>39%</td><td>28%</td><td>12%</td><td>7%</td><td>9%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19–24 Nov 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>530</td><td>37%</td><td>30%</td><td>7%</td><td>15%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>38%</td><td>26%</td><td>10%</td><td>14%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>57%</td><td>43%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–17 Nov 2025</td><td>YouGov (MRP)</td><td>—N/a</td><td>37%</td><td>26%</td><td>10%</td><td>18%</td><td>5%</td><td>4%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31.5%</td><td>28.5%</td><td>10%</td><td>16.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13.5%</td><td>53%</td><td>47%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025</td><td>DemosAU (MRP)</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33%</td><td>25%</td><td>10%</td><td>18%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>14%</td><td>54%</td><td>46%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>22–27 Oct 2025</td><td>Esential</td><td>446</td><td>39%</td><td>27%</td><td>6%</td><td>16%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9%</td><td>53%</td><td>47%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>15–20 Oct 2025</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>32%</td><td>11%</td><td>10%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>56%</td><td>44%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>15%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>53.5%</td><td>46.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>7–12 Oct 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>35%</td><td>30%</td><td>9%</td><td>10%</td><td>10%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>37%</td><td>28%</td><td>8%</td><td>15%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>54%</td><td>46%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>24–29 Sep 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>484</td><td>36%</td><td>30%</td><td>9%</td><td>11%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>52.5%</td><td>47.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>51.5%</td><td>48.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>9–13 Sep 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>39%</td><td>27%</td><td>9%</td><td>12%</td><td>7%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>38%</td><td>29%</td><td>10%</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>14%</td><td>57%</td><td>43%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025</td><td>RedBridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>37%</td><td>32%</td><td>7%</td><td>12%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>52%</td><td>48%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>52%</td><td>48%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>11–15 Aug 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>32%</td><td>10%</td><td>10%</td><td>7%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>54.5%</td><td>45.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>13–18 Jul 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>34%</td><td>31%</td><td>11%</td><td>9%</td><td>8%</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jul 2025</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>28%</td><td>12%</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>15%</td><td>57%</td><td>43%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19–30 Jun 2025</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>39%</td><td>32%</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>21%</td><td>54%</td><td>46%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 May – 1 Jun 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>55.5%</td><td>44.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>3 May 2025</td><td>Election (estimate)</td><td>31%</td><td>37%</td><td>8%</td><td>25%</td><td>—</td><td>—</td><td>—</td></tr></tbody></table>

18–34

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Primary vote</th><th>2PP vote</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>GRN</td><td>ONP</td><td>IND</td><td>OTH</td><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>ONP</td></tr><tr><td>LIB</td><td>NAT</td><td>LNP</td></tr><tr><td>5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>27.5%</td><td>16.5%</td><td>1%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>25.5%</td><td>15%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>14.5%</td><td>65.5%</td><td>34.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20–23 Jan 2026</td><td>Essential</td><td>302</td><td>31%</td><td>28%</td><td>17%</td><td>12%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>13–21 Jan 2026</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33%</td><td>16%</td><td>29%</td><td>13%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–18 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>67.5%</td><td>32.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–16 Jan 2026</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>22%</td><td>23%</td><td>8%</td><td>3%</td><td>7%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–11 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>67%</td><td>33%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan 2026</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>—N/a</td><td>27%</td><td>18%</td><td>29%</td><td>14%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>62%</td><td>38%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>65%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>35%</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>68%</td><td>32%</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan 2026</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>19%</td><td>26%</td><td>12%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>17–20 Dec 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>22%</td><td>21%</td><td>11%</td><td>9%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32.5%</td><td>17%</td><td>26.5%</td><td>10%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>14%</td><td>69.5%</td><td>30.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>3–8 Dec 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>472</td><td>38%</td><td>22%</td><td>19%</td><td>10%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>2–7 Dec 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>37%</td><td>21%</td><td>23%</td><td>8%</td><td>8%</td><td>3%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19–24 Nov 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>316</td><td>36%</td><td>21%</td><td>21%</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>19%</td><td>26%</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>67%</td><td>33%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31.5%</td><td>19.5%</td><td>25%</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>16%</td><td>67%</td><td>33%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025</td><td>DemosAU (MRP)</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>19%</td><td>26%</td><td>11%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>64%</td><td>36%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>22–27 Oct 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>299</td><td>39%</td><td>21%</td><td>18%</td><td>7%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>5%</td><td>60%</td><td>40%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>7%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>69%</td><td>31%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>24–29 Sep 2025</td><td>Essential</td><td>305</td><td>36%</td><td>20%</td><td>25%</td><td>7%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>5%</td><td>64.5%</td><td>35.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>8%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>69%</td><td>31%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>9–13 Sep 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>40%</td><td>18%</td><td>22%</td><td>11%</td><td>6%</td><td>3%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>18%</td><td>26%</td><td>7%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>67%</td><td>33%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>71%</td><td>29%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>11–15 Aug 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>39%</td><td>24%</td><td>22%</td><td>6%</td><td>8%</td><td>2%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>69%</td><td>31%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>13–18 Jul 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>—N/a</td><td>37%</td><td>18%</td><td>28%</td><td>5%</td><td>6%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jul 2025</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>—N/a</td><td>39%</td><td>16%</td><td>31%</td><td>4%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>10%</td><td>73%</td><td>27%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19–30 Jun 2025</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>40%</td><td>19%</td><td>24%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>17%</td><td>68%</td><td>32%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 May – 1 Jun 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>70%</td><td>30%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr></tbody></table>

35–49

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Primary vote</th><th>2PP vote</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>GRN</td><td>ONP</td><td>IND</td><td>OTH</td><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>ONP</td></tr><tr><td>LIB</td><td>NAT</td><td>LNP</td></tr><tr><td>5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31.5%</td><td>19%</td><td>2.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13.5%</td><td>20%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13.5%</td><td>58%</td><td>42%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20–27 Jan 2026</td><td>YouGov</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33%</td><td>16%</td><td>2%</td><td>4%</td><td>12%</td><td>19%</td><td>7%</td><td>7%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–18 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–11 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>48.5%</td><td>51.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan 2026</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>24%</td><td>14%</td><td>19%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>54%</td><td>46%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>58%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>42%</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>64%</td><td>36%</td></tr><tr><td>17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32.5%</td><td>23.5%</td><td>15.5%</td><td>15%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13.5%</td><td>58.5%</td><td>41.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>37%</td><td>25%</td><td>13%</td><td>13%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>58%</td><td>42%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–17 Nov 2025</td><td>YouGov (MRP)</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>24%</td><td>13%</td><td>16%</td><td>6%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>24%</td><td>14.5%</td><td>14%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>15.5%</td><td>60%</td><td>40%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>60.5%</td><td>39.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>59%</td><td>41%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>38%</td><td>26%</td><td>14%</td><td>9%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>60%</td><td>40%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>61%</td><td>39%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>58%</td><td>42%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19–30 Jun 2025</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>37%</td><td>25%</td><td>11%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>27%</td><td>57%</td><td>43%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 May – 1 Jun 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>62.5%</td><td>37.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr></tbody></table>

50–64

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Primary vote</th><th>2PP vote</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>GRN</td><td>ONP</td><td>IND</td><td>OTH</td><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>ONP</td></tr><tr><td>LIB</td><td>NAT</td><td>LNP</td></tr><tr><td>5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31%</td><td>20.5%</td><td>3.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>8%</td><td>27%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>10%</td><td>51.5%</td><td>48.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20–27 Jan 2026</td><td>YouGov</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33%</td><td>9%</td><td>1%</td><td>4%</td><td>6%</td><td>35%</td><td>6%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–18 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>48%</td><td>52%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–11 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>48.5%</td><td>51.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan 2026</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>—N/a</td><td>28%</td><td>23%</td><td>10%</td><td>28%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11%</td><td>50%</td><td>50%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>51%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>49%</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>57%</td><td>43%</td></tr><tr><td>17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>30.5%</td><td>29%</td><td>8%</td><td>20.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>49.5%</td><td>50.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>39%</td><td>27%</td><td>6%</td><td>15%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–17 Nov 2025</td><td>YouGov (MRP)</td><td>—N/a</td><td>32%</td><td>30%</td><td>7%</td><td>21%</td><td>7%</td><td>3%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33.5%</td><td>26%</td><td>7.5%</td><td>18.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>14.5%</td><td>54%</td><td>46%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>16%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>51%</td><td>49%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>10%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>50.5%</td><td>49.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>31%</td><td>5%</td><td>10%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>18%</td><td>53%</td><td>47%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>49.5%</td><td>50.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>53%</td><td>47%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19–30 Jun 2025</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>37%</td><td>34%</td><td>5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>24%</td><td>50%</td><td>50%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 May – 1 Jun 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>53%</td><td>47%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr></tbody></table>

65+

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Primary vote</th><th>2PP vote</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>GRN</td><td>ONP</td><td>IND</td><td>OTH</td><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>ONP</td></tr><tr><td>LIB</td><td>NAT</td><td>LNP</td></tr><tr><td>5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>30%</td><td>28%</td><td>4%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>4%</td><td>24.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9.5%</td><td>42%</td><td>58%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20–27 Jan 2026</td><td>YouGov</td><td>—N/a</td><td>23%</td><td>23%</td><td>4%</td><td>6%</td><td>1%</td><td>34%</td><td>5%</td><td>4%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–18 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>44.5%</td><td>55.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–11 Jan 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>44.5%</td><td>55.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5–6 Jan 2026</td><td>Fox & Hedgehog</td><td>—N/a</td><td>28%</td><td>35%</td><td>4%</td><td>24%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9%</td><td>42%</td><td>58%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>47%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>53%</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>63%</td><td>37%</td></tr><tr><td>17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33%</td><td>37%</td><td>4.5%</td><td>16%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9.5%</td><td>45.5%</td><td>54.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>33%</td><td>33%</td><td>2%</td><td>18%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>14%</td><td>48%</td><td>52%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>12–17 Nov 2025</td><td>YouGov (MRP)</td><td>—N/a</td><td>31%</td><td>36%</td><td>3%</td><td>23%</td><td>5%</td><td>2%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>34%</td><td>39%</td><td>3.5%</td><td>15%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>8.5%</td><td>46%</td><td>54%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>48%</td><td>52%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>8.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>44%</td><td>56%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>—N/a</td><td>34%</td><td>40%</td><td>3%</td><td>11%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>12%</td><td>46%</td><td>54%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>43.5%</td><td>56.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>48%</td><td>52%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19–30 Jun 2025</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>—N/a</td><td>36%</td><td>44%</td><td>2%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>18%</td><td>45%</td><td>55%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>5 May – 1 Jun 2025</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>48.5%</td><td>51.5%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr></tbody></table>

Generation Z

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
LIB	LNP	NAT
23–27 Feb 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	30%	11%	4%	1%	32%	12%	—N/a	10%	65%	35%	—N/a
68%	—N/a	32%
22–29 Jan 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	34%	11%	4%	0%	26%	11%	—N/a	14%	67%	33%	—N/a
5–12 Dec 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	30%	26%	33%	5%	—N/a	6%	64%	36%	—N/a
7–13 Nov 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	51%	10%	24%	5%	—N/a	10%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	37%	16%	29%	6%	—N/a	12%	69%	31%	—N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	33.5%	17.5%	30.5%	5%	—N/a	13.5%	68%	32%	—N/a
3 May 2025	Election (estimate)	40.3%	27.2%	26.3%	—	—	6.1%	—	—	—

Millennials

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
LIB	LNP	NAT
17–24 Mar 2026	YouGov	—N/a	28%	14%	17%	30%	4%	7%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
23–27 Feb 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	30%	14%	2%	3%	14%	29%	—N/a	8%	55%	45%	—N/a
59%	—N/a	41%
22–29 Jan 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	33%	18%	3%	2%	17%	18%	—N/a	9%	58%	42%	—N/a
5–12 Dec 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	36%	18%	17%	16%	—N/a	13%	62%	38%	—N/a
7–13 Nov 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	34%	23%	11%	18%	—N/a	14%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	37%	24%	13%	13%	—N/a	13%	58%	42%	—N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	38%	26.5%	13.5%	9%	—N/a	13%	59%	41%	—N/a
3 May 2025	Election (estimate)	37.4%	20.8%	19.2%	—	—	22.5%	—	—	—

Generation X

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
LIB	LNP	NAT
23–27 Feb 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	34%	10%	4%	0%	7%	35%	—N/a	10%	54%	46%	—N/a
51%	—N/a	49%
22–29 Jan 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	33%	6%	4%	2%	8%	35%	—N/a	12%	55%	45%	—N/a
5–12 Dec 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	41%	26%	8%	19%	—N/a	6%	56%	44%	—N/a
7–13 Nov 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	38%	22%	4%	—N/a	6%	20%	—N/a	10%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	36%	31%	7%	15%	—N/a	11%	51%	49%	—N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	34%	32%	6.5%	14.5%	—N/a	13%	49.5%	50.5%	—N/a
3 May 2025	Election (estimate)	33.7%	31.1%	6.4%	—	—	28.8%	—	—	—

Baby boomers

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
LIB	LNP	NAT
23–27 Feb 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	32%	17%	6%	2%	2%	33%	—N/a	8%	45%	55%	—N/a
45%	—N/a	55%
22–29 Jan 2026	Redbridge	—N/a	35%	14%	5%	2%	1%	35%	—N/a	8%	49%	51%	—N/a
5–12 Dec 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	33%	32%	3%	22%	—N/a	10%	46.5%	53.5%	—N/a
7–13 Nov 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	34%	30%	3%	24%	—N/a	9%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	31%	37%	4%	17%	—N/a	11%	45%	55%	—N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	34%	38%	1.5%	14%	—N/a	12.5%	45.5%	54.5%	—N/a
3 May 2025	Election (estimate)	30.2%	44.5%	3.9%	—	—	21.3%	—	—	—