Opinion polling for the 2026 Victorian state election

Opinion polling for the 2026 Victorian state election

In the lead-up to the 2026 Victorian state election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individual electoral district results.

Graphical summary

Primary vote

Primary vote opinion polling for the 2026 Victoria State election

Two-party-preferred

Two-party-preferred opinion polling for the 2026 Victoria State election

Voting intention

2026

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Primary vote</th><th>2PP vote</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>GRN</td><td>ONP</td><td>IND</td><td>OTH</td><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>ONP</td></tr><tr><td>19-23 Mar 2026</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>1062</td><td>27%</td><td>30%</td><td>14%</td><td>20%</td><td>9%</td><td>48%</td><td>52%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>18–27 Feb 2026</td><td>Redbridge/Accent</td><td>2,165</td><td>25%</td><td>28%</td><td>13%</td><td>24%</td><td>10%</td><td>48%</td><td>52%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>53%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>47%</td></tr><tr><td>19–23 Feb 2026</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>1,030</td><td>28%</td><td>27%</td><td>13%</td><td>23%</td><td>9%</td><td>50%</td><td>50%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>13–16 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>2,462</td><td>25.5%</td><td>21.5%</td><td>13.5%</td><td>26.5%</td><td>4%</td><td>9%</td><td>52%</td><td>48%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>52.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>47.5%</td></tr><tr><td>—N/a</td><td>56%</td><td>44%</td></tr><tr><td>12–16 Jan 2026 & 8–14 Feb 2026</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,100</td><td>28%</td><td>30%</td><td>12%</td><td>11%</td><td>7%</td><td>11%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>1–10 Feb 2026</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>1,274</td><td>23%</td><td>29%</td><td>15%</td><td>21%</td><td>12%</td><td>47%</td><td>53%</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>26 Nov 2022</td><td>2022 election</td><td>37.0%</td><td>34.5%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>0.3%</td><td>5.5%</td><td>11.6%</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td></tr></tbody></table>

2025

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025	Redbridge/Accent	1,021	31%	40%	12%	6%	11%	50%	50%
7 Dec 2025	Resolve	1,000	28%	39%	12%	9%	11%	—N/a	—N/a
21–24 Nov 2025	Freshwater	1,220	30%	37%	15%	—N/a	18%	50%	50%
18–20 Nov 2025	Newspoll	1,030	28%	36%	14%	—N/a	22%	49%	51%
18 Nov 2025	Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
14–17 Nov 2025	Freshwater	1,217	30%	37%	15%	—N/a	18%	49%	51%
21–27 Oct 2025	DemosAU	1,016	26%	37%	15%	—N/a	22%	49%	51%
8–14 Oct 2025	Redbridge/Accent	1,501	32%	37%	13%	—N/a	18%	52%	48%
12 Oct 2025	Resolve	1,000	30%	33%	12%	10%	15%	—N/a	—N/a
3–11 Sep 2025	Redbridge	2005	32%	37%	13%	—N/a	18%	52%	48%
2–9 Sep 2025	DemosAU	1327	26%	38%	15%	—N/a	21%	49%	51%
17 Aug 2025	Resolve	1000	32%	33%	12%	9%	13%	—N/a	—N/a
23–30 Jun 2025	Newspoll	1000	35%	35%	12%	—N/a	18%	53%	47%
19–30 Jun 2025	Redbridge	1183	33%	38%	14%	—N/a	15%	51.5%	48.5%
24 Mar – 2 Apr 2025	Redbridge	2,013	29%	41%	13%	—N/a	17%	49%	51%
30 Mar 2025	Resolve	1000	24%	41%	14%	14%	7%	—N/a	—N/a
17–21 Mar 2025	DemosAU	1,006	25%	39%	15%	—N/a	21%	48%	52%
Dec 2024 – Jan 2025	Resolve	1,124	22%	42%	13%	17%	6%	—N/a	—N/a
26 Nov 2022	2022 election	37.0%	34.5%	11.5%	5.5%	11.6%	55%	45%

2024

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Primary vote</th><th>2PP vote</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td><td>GRN</td><td>IND</td><td>OTH</td><td>ALP</td><td>L/NP</td></tr><tr><td>Dec 2024 – Jan 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,124</td><td>22%</td><td>42%</td><td>13%</td><td>17%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>27 Dec 2024</td><td>Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition</td></tr><tr><td>6–20 Nov 2024</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>920</td><td>30%</td><td>43%</td><td>14%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>49%</td><td>51%</td></tr><tr><td>10 Nov 2024</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,000</td><td>28%</td><td>38%</td><td>13%</td><td>14%</td><td>7%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>26 Sep – 3 Oct 2024</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>1,516</td><td>30%</td><td>40%</td><td>12%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>18%</td><td>49%</td><td>51%</td></tr><tr><td>18 Sep 2024</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>1,500</td><td>30%</td><td>40%</td><td>12%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>17%</td><td>50%</td><td>50%</td></tr><tr><td>7 Sep 2024</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,054</td><td>27%</td><td>37%</td><td>14%</td><td>15%</td><td>7%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>6–29 Aug 2024</td><td>Wolf & Smith</td><td>2,024</td><td>28%</td><td>40%</td><td>14%</td><td>15%</td><td>3%</td><td>48%</td><td>52%</td></tr><tr><td>5 Aug 2024</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>1,514</td><td>31%</td><td>40%</td><td>12%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>17%</td><td>50%</td><td>50%</td></tr><tr><td>14 Jul 2024</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,000</td><td>27%</td><td>37%</td><td>15%</td><td>15%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>7 Jun 2024</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>1,000</td><td>35%</td><td>38%</td><td>14%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13%</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td></tr><tr><td>19 May 2024</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,000</td><td>28%</td><td>37%</td><td>13%</td><td>16%</td><td>6%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>24 Mar 2024</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,100</td><td>33%</td><td>35%</td><td>13%</td><td>12%</td><td>7%</td><td>54.6%</td><td>45.4%</td></tr><tr><td>14–20 Mar 2024</td><td>Redbridge</td><td>1,559</td><td>36%</td><td>38%</td><td>10%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>16%</td><td>54%</td><td>46%</td></tr><tr><td>26 Nov 2022</td><td>2022 election</td><td>37.0%</td><td>34.5%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>5.5%</td><td>11.6%</td><td>55%</td><td>45%</td></tr></tbody></table>

2023

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP
LIB	NAT
2–12 Dec 2023	Redbridge	2,000	37%	36%	13%	—N/a	14%	55.9%	44.1%
3 Dec 2023	Resolve	1,100	37%	31%	11%	14%	6%	—N/a	—N/a
Sep–Oct 2023	Resolve	1,100	39%	32%	12%	10%	7%	—N/a	—N/a
27 Sep 2023	Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier
31 Aug – 14 Sep 2023	Redbridge	3,001	37%	34%	13%	—N/a	16%	56.5%	43.5%
Jul–Aug 2023	Resolve	1,100	39%	28%	13%	13%	7%	—N/a	—N/a
19–20 Jul 2023	Roy Morgan	1,046	33%	35.5%	12.5%	10.5%	8.5%	53%	47%
May–Jun 2023	Resolve	1,003	41%	23%	3%	15%	12%	6%	—N/a	—N/a
17–22 May 2023	Roy Morgan	2,095	42%	28.5%	12.5%	9%	8%	61.5%	38.5%
19–22 Apr 2023	Resolve	1,609	42%	30%	10%	12%	5%	—N/a	—N/a
15–18 Feb 2023	Resolve	825	41%	30%	13%	13%	4%	—N/a	—N/a
8 Dec 2022	John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
26 Nov 2022	2022 election	37.0%	34.5%	11.5%	5.5%	11.6%	55%	45%

Legislative Council

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	LCV	DLP	LBT	SFF	ONP	FFP	AJP	VS	OTH
1–10 Feb 2026	DemosAU	1,274	19%	28%	14%	5%	1%	1%	1%	20%	2%	4%	1%	4%
21–27 Oct 2025	DemosAU	1,016	21%	30%	14%	2%	2%	4%	1%	11%	5%	3%	1%	6%
26 Nov 2022	2022 election	33.0%	29.4%	10.3%	4.1%	3.5%	2.6%	2.1%	2.0%	2.0%	1.5%	1.4%	8.0%

Leadership polling

Allan vs Wilson

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Party leaders</th><th>Net</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Allan</td><td>Wilson</td><td>Don't know</td></tr><tr><td>19–23 Mar 2026</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>1,062</td><td>31%</td><td>47%</td><td>22%</td><td>16%</td></tr><tr><td>19–23 Feb 2026</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>1,030</td><td>30%</td><td>46%</td><td>24%</td><td>16%</td></tr><tr><td>13–16 Feb 2026</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>2,462</td><td>42.5%</td><td>51%</td><td>6.5%</td><td>8.5%</td></tr><tr><td>Jan–Feb 2026</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,100</td><td>20%</td><td>39%</td><td>41%</td><td>19%</td></tr><tr><td>1–10 Feb 2026</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>1,274</td><td>31%</td><td>40%</td><td>29%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>7 Dec 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,000</td><td>24%</td><td>41%</td><td>35%</td><td>17%</td></tr><tr><td>21–24 Nov 2025</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>1,220</td><td>31%</td><td>47%</td><td>22%</td><td>16%</td></tr><tr><td>18–20 Nov 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,030</td><td>33%</td><td>47%</td><td>20%</td><td>14%</td></tr><tr><td>18 Nov 2025</td><td>Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition</td></tr></tbody></table>

Allan vs Battin

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Party leaders</th><th>Net</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Allan</td><td>Battin</td><td>Don't know</td></tr><tr><td>14–17 Nov 2025</td><td>Freshwater</td><td>1,217</td><td>34%</td><td>45%</td><td>21%</td><td>11%</td></tr><tr><td>21–27 Oct 2025</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>1,016</td><td>32%</td><td>40%</td><td>28%</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>12 Oct 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,000</td><td>27%</td><td>33%</td><td>40%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>2–9 Sep 2025</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>1,327</td><td>32%</td><td>37%</td><td>31%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>23–30 Jun 2025</td><td>Newspoll</td><td>1,000</td><td>36%</td><td>41%</td><td>23%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>30 Mar 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,000</td><td>23%</td><td>36%</td><td>41%</td><td>13%</td></tr><tr><td>17–21 Mar 2025</td><td>DemosAU</td><td>1,006</td><td>30%</td><td>43%</td><td>27%</td><td>13%</td></tr><tr><td>Dec 2024 – Jan 2025</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,124</td><td>27%</td><td>36%</td><td>37%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>27 Dec 2024</td><td>Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition</td></tr></tbody></table>

Allan vs Pesutto

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Party leaders</th><th>Net</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Allan</td><td>Pesutto</td><td>Don't know</td></tr><tr><td>10 Nov 2024</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,000</td><td>29%</td><td>30%</td><td>41%</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>7 Sep 2024</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,054</td><td>30%</td><td>29%</td><td>41%</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>14 Jul 2024</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,000</td><td>31%</td><td>28%</td><td>41%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>19 May 2024</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,000</td><td>31%</td><td>26%</td><td>43%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>24 Mar 2024</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,100</td><td>34%</td><td>25%</td><td>41%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>3 Dec 2023</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,100</td><td>34%</td><td>22%</td><td>44%</td><td>12%</td></tr><tr><td>Sep–Oct 2023</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,100</td><td>38%</td><td>19%</td><td>43%</td><td>19%</td></tr><tr><td>27 Sep 2023</td><td>Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier</td></tr></tbody></table>

Andrews vs Pesutto

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Firm</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Party leaders</th><th>Net</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Andrews</td><td>Pesutto</td><td>Don't know</td></tr><tr><td>Jul–Aug 2023</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,100</td><td>41%</td><td>32%</td><td>27%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>19–20 Jul 2023</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>1,046</td><td>52.5%</td><td>47.5%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>May un 2023</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,003</td><td>49%</td><td>26%</td><td>25%</td><td>23%</td></tr><tr><td>17–22 May 2023</td><td>Roy Morgan</td><td>2,095</td><td>64%</td><td>36%</td><td>—N/a</td><td>28%</td></tr><tr><td>19–22 Apr 2023</td><td>Resolve</td><td>1,609</td><td>49%</td><td>28%</td><td>23%</td><td>21%</td></tr><tr><td>15–18 Feb 2023</td><td>Resolve</td><td>825</td><td>50%</td><td>26%</td><td>24%</td><td>24%</td></tr><tr><td>8 Dec 2022</td><td>John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition</td></tr></tbody></table>

Leadership approval

Date	Firm	Sample size	Allan	Wilson
Pos.	Neg.	DK	Net	Pos.	Neg.	DK	Net
19–23 Mar 2026	Freshwater	1,062	22%	55%	23%	-33%	32%	14%	54%	+18%
19–23 Feb 2026	Freshwater	1,030	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	-33%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	+15%
13–16 Feb 2026	Roy Morgan	2,462	30.5%	67.5%	2%	-37%	53%	42.5%	4.5%	10.5%
1–10 Feb 2026	DemosAU	1,274	16%	53%	31%	-37%	27%	24%	49%	+3%
18–20 Nov 2025	Newspoll	1,000	26%	68%	6%	-42%	32%	31%	37%	+1%
18 Nov 2025	Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
	Allan	Battin
14–17 Nov 2025	Freshwater	1,217	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	-28%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	+15%
23–30 Jun 2025	Newspoll	1,000	30%	61%	9%	-31%	35%	40%	25%	-5%
24 Mar – 2 Apr 2025	Redbridge	2,013	16%	51%	33%	-35%	27%	16%	57%	+11%
12–13 Mar 2025	JWS Research	—N/a	21%	54%	25%	−33%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
27 Dec 2024	Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
	Allan	Pesutto
2–12 Dec 2023	Redbridge	2,000	24%	30%	46%	−6%	16%	29%	55%	−13%
27 Sep 2023	Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier
	Andrews	Pesutto
19–20 Jul 2023	Roy Morgan	1,046	45%	55%	—N/a	-10%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
17–22 May 2023	Roy Morgan	2,095	52.5%	47.5%	—N/a	+5%	46.5%	53.5%	—N/a	-7%
8 Dec 2022	John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Sub-state results

Inner Melbourne

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP
1–10 Feb 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	23%	28%	23%	15%	—N/a	11%	—N/a	—N/a
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025	Redbridge/Accent	—N/a	30%	41%	14%	—N/a	7%	8%	50%	50%
21–27 Oct 2025	DemosAU	—N/a	27%	31%	25%	—N/a	—N/a	17%	57%	43%
2–9 Sep 2025	DemosAU	—N/a	27%	36%	19%	—N/a	—N/a	18%	52%	48%
6–20 Nov 2024	Redbridge	—N/a	28%	41%	17%	—N/a	—N/a	14%	49%	51%

Outer Melbourne

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP
1–10 Feb 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	24%	32%	13%	21%	—N/a	10%	—N/a	—N/a
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025	Redbridge/Accent	—N/a	34%	38%	11%	—N/a	6%	11%	51%	49%
21–27 Oct 2025	DemosAU	—N/a	27%	40%	11%	—N/a	—N/a	22%	46%	54%
2–9 Sep 2025	DemosAU	—N/a	25%	39%	14%	—N/a	—N/a	21%	47%	53%
6–20 Nov 2024	Redbridge	—N/a	31%	42%	15%	—N/a	—N/a	12%	50%	50%

Melbourne

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
13–16 Feb 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	26.5%	22%	15%	24%	8%	4.5%	54%	46%	—N/a
55.5%	—N/a	44.5%
—N/a	58.5%	41.5%

Provincial

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025	Redbridge/Accent	—N/a	41%	27%	14%	—N/a	5%	13%	60%	40%

Rural

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025	Redbridge/Accent	—N/a	23%	43%	13%	—N/a	6%	15%	44%	56%

Regional/Rural

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
13–16 Feb 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	23.5%	21%	8.5%	34.5%	9.5%	3%	46%	54%	—N/a
44%	—N/a	56%
—N/a	48.5%	51.5%
1 – 10 Feb 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	21%	23%	9%	30%	—N/a	17%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
21–27 Oct 2025	DemosAU	—N/a	22%	39%	10%	—N/a	—N/a	29%	43%	57%	—N/a
2–9 Sep 2025	DemosAU	—N/a	28%	36%	11%	—N/a	—N/a	26%	48%	52%	—N/a
6–20 Nov 2024	Redbridge	—N/a	31%	45%	8%	—N/a	—N/a	16%	46%	54%	—N/a

Subpopulation results

Women

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
13–16 Feb 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	28.5%	19.5%	16%	22%	10%	4%	58.5%	41.5%	—N/a
60.5%	—N/a	39.5%
—N/a	59.5%	40.5%
1 – 10 Feb 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	22%	28%	18%	21%	—N/a	11%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
7 Dec 2025	Resolve	—N/a	28%	36%	16%	—N/a	10%	10%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025	Redbridge/Accent	—N/a	28%	37%	14%	—N/a	7%	14%	51%	49%	—N/a
21–27 Oct 2025	DemosAU	—N/a	24%	36%	19%	—N/a	—N/a	21%	50%	50%	—N/a
8–14 Oct 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	30%	36%	14%	—N/a	—N/a	20%	52%	48%	—N/a
12 Oct 2025	Resolve	—N/a	27%	32%	13%	—N/a	11%	17%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
2–9 Sep 2025	DemosAU	—N/a	26%	33%	19%	—N/a	—N/a	23%	52%	48%	—N/a
17 Aug 2025	Resolve	—N/a	32%	28%	16%	—N/a	10%	14%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
6–20 Nov 2024	Redbridge	—N/a	28%	42%	16%	—N/a	—N/a	14%	49%	51%	—N/a

Men

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
13–16 Feb 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	23%	24.5%	11%	30.5%	7%	4%	45%	55%	—N/a
44.5%	—N/a	55.5%
—N/a	52.5%	47.5%
1–10 Feb 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	25%	30%	12%	21%	—N/a	12%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
7 Dec 2025	Resolve	—N/a	29%	43%	9%	—N/a	8%	11%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025	Redbridge/Accent	—N/a	33%	42%	11%	—N/a	5%	9%	49%	51%	—N/a
21–27 Oct 2025	DemosAU	—N/a	28%	39%	11%	—N/a	—N/a	22%	47%	53%	—N/a
8–14 Oct 2025	Redbridge	—N/a	35%	41%	11%	—N/a	—N/a	13%	51%	49%	—N/a
12 Oct 2025	Resolve	—N/a	34%	34%	10%	—N/a	9%	13%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
2–9 Sep 2025	DemosAU	—N/a	27%	43%	11%	—N/a	—N/a	20%	44%	56%	—N/a
17 Aug 2025	Resolve	—N/a	31%	39%	8%	—N/a	9%	13%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
6–20 Nov 2024	Redbridge	—N/a	32%	43%	12%	—N/a	—N/a	13%	49%	51%	—N/a

18–34

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
13–16 Feb 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	28.5%	20%	14.5%	25%	9%	3%	56.5%	43.5%	—N/a
55.5%	—N/a	44.5%
—N/a	56.5%	43.5%
1–10 Feb 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	26%	21%	35%	9%	—N/a	9%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
7 Dec 2025	Resolve	—N/a	28%	37%	20%	—N/a	7%	7%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
21–27 Oct 2025	DemosAU	—N/a	30%	23%	31%	—N/a	—N/a	16%	65%	35%	—N/a
12 Oct 2025	Resolve	—N/a	39%	20%	20%	—N/a	13%	9%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
17 Aug 2025	Resolve	—N/a	39%	20%	25%	—N/a	10%	6%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a
6–20 Nov 2024	Redbridge	—N/a	31%	26%	29%	—N/a	—N/a	14%	64%	36%	—N/a

35–54

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP
1–10 Feb 2026	DemosAU	—N/a	23%	26%	14%	23%	—N/a	14%	—N/a	—N/a
7 Dec 2025	Resolve	—N/a	30%	32%	13%	—N/a	10%	14%	—N/a	—N/a
21–27 Oct 2025	DemosAU	—N/a	27%	34%	19%	—N/a	—N/a	20%	53%	47%
12 Oct 2025	Resolve	—N/a	30%	29%	14%	—N/a	11%	17%	—N/a	—N/a
17 Aug 2025	Resolve	—N/a	35%	27%	12%	—N/a	10%	16%	—N/a	—N/a

55–64

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
13–16 Feb 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	25.5%	23%	11%	27%	9%	4.5%	50%	50%	—N/a
49.5%	—N/a	50.5%
—N/a	54.5%	45.5%

65+

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP	ONP
13–16 Feb 2026	Roy Morgan	—N/a	23%	24%	12.5%	27%	9%	4.5%	49.5%	50.5%	—N/a
51%	—N/a	49%
—N/a	56%	44%

Generation Z

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025	Redbridge/Accent	—N/a	35%	20%	28%	—N/a	5%	12%	68%	32%

Millennials

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025	Redbridge/Accent	—N/a	35%	32%	16%	—N/a	6%	11%	58%	42%

Generation X

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025	Redbridge/Accent	—N/a	28%	38%	10%	—N/a	7%	17%	49%	51%

Baby boomers

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025	Redbridge/Accent	—N/a	27%	54%	4%	—N/a	6%	9%	37%	63%

Individual seat polling

Hawthorn

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote	2PP vote
LIB	ALP	IND	GRN	FFP	AJP	OTH	LIB	ALP
14–16 Aug 2025	Freshwater	1147	41%	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	45%	55%
26 Nov 2022	2022 election	42.3%	22.1%	20.0%	11.1%	1.5%	0.9%	2.1%	51.7%	48.3%