Opinion polling for the 2026 Israeli legislative election

Opinion polling for the 2026 Israeli legislative election

In the run up to the 2026 Israeli legislative election, various organisations are conducting opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel during the term of the twenty-fifth Knesset. This article lists the results of such polls. The date range for these opinion polls is from the 2022 Israeli legislative election, held on 1 November, to the present day. In keeping with the election silence law, no polls may be published from the end of the Friday before the election until the polling stations close on election day at 22:00.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the highest figures. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).

Seat projections

Opinion polling for the 2026 Israeli legislative election

This section displays voting intention estimates referring to the next Knesset election. The figures listed are Knesset seat counts rather than percentages, unless otherwise stated. This graph shows the polling trends from the 2022 Israeli legislative election until the next election day using local regressions (LOESS). Scenario polls are not included here. For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats.

Poll results are listed in the table below. Parties that fall below the electoral threshold of 3.25% are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%) rather than the number of seats they would have received.

Legend and parties

• Government • Sum of the 37th government parties: Likud, Religious Zionist Party, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, and United Torah Judaism. Polls conducted after 30 September 2024 include New Hope (which joined the government on that date). Coalition parties are highlighted in blue. • Opposition bloc • Sum of the following parties considered by pollsters as the "opposition bloc" to the 37th government: The Democrats (a merger of Labor and Meretz), National Unity, Yesh Atid, and Yisrael Beiteinu. For more recent polls, this sum also includes Bennett 2026, a new party founded by Naftali Bennett (who served as prime minister of the 36th government), and Yashar. • Unaligned bloc • The government and opposition blocs do not include non-government parties Balad and Hadash–Ta'al, as well as Ra'am, which served in the 36th government. These parties are seen by pollsters as unlikely to be invited to future governments, but they have stated that they would not support the incumbent government bloc. Noam, which had previously left the 37th government multiple times, is also excluded. Yoaz Hendel's Zionist Reservists party, which has said that it would be willing to join a government with Likud, is also considered unaligned for this page.

61 seats are required for a majority in the Knesset. If a bloc has a majority, the sum is displayed in bold with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. Direct Polls, published by Channel 14, is led by Shlomo Filber, who is affiliated with Likud and its leader Benjamin Netanyahu. Filber is implicated in Case 4000 on charges of breach of trust; thus it may be advisable to approach their opinion polls with caution.

2026

<table><thead><tr><th>Fieldwork date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Unaligned bloc</th><th>Gov.</th><th>Opp.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Joint List</td><td>Reserv.</td></tr><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>Blue & White</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Dems</td><td>Bennett 2026</td><td>Yashar</td><td>Ra'am</td><td>Hadash –Ta'al</td><td>Balad</td></tr><tr><td>30 Mar</td><td>A new budget is passed, avoiding a snap election</td></tr><tr><td>18–19 Mar</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Zman Israel</td><td>28</td><td>–</td><td>7</td><td>8</td><td>8</td><td>5</td><td>4</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>15</td><td>16</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>51</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>11–12 Mar</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Zman Israel</td><td>29</td><td>4</td><td>6</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>17</td><td>15</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>54</td><td>56</td></tr><tr><td>11 Mar</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>26</td><td>–</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>9</td><td>12</td><td>21</td><td>11</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>51</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>5 Mar</td><td>Filber</td><td>Channel 14</td><td>34</td><td>4</td><td>8</td><td>11</td><td>9</td><td>4</td><td>(1.3%)</td><td>7</td><td>9</td><td>11</td><td>10</td><td>13</td><td>–</td><td>66</td><td>41</td></tr><tr><td>4–5 Mar</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>27</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>6</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>21</td><td>14</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.6%)</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>51</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>4–5 Mar</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Zman Israel</td><td>31</td><td>–</td><td>6</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>6</td><td>4</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>15</td><td>14</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>53</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>28 Feb</td><td>Start of the 2026 Iran war</td></tr><tr><td>26 Feb</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>26</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>8</td><td>11</td><td>21</td><td>11</td><td>6</td><td>4</td><td>(1.6%)</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>52</td><td>58</td></tr><tr><td>26 Feb</td><td>Filber</td><td>Channel 14</td><td>33</td><td>5</td><td>8</td><td>11</td><td>8</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>10</td><td>11</td><td>13</td><td>–</td><td>65</td><td>42</td></tr><tr><td>25–26 Feb</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>25</td><td>(2.2%)</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>20</td><td>13</td><td>14</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>49</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>26</td><td>(2.2%)</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>8</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>8</td><td>11</td><td>19</td><td>14</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.5%)</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>50</td><td>60</td></tr><tr><td>25–26 Feb</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Zman Israel</td><td>27</td><td>–</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>18</td><td>12</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>53</td><td>56</td></tr><tr><td>19 Feb</td><td>Filber</td><td>Channel 14</td><td>34</td><td>4</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>11</td><td>9</td><td>13</td><td>–</td><td>65</td><td>42</td></tr><tr><td>18–19 Feb</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>26</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>8</td><td>(2.9%)</td><td>8</td><td>11</td><td>20</td><td>13</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.8%)</td><td>(1.3%)</td><td>50</td><td>60</td></tr><tr><td>18–19 Feb</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Zman Israel</td><td>27</td><td>–</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>4</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>18</td><td>9</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>52</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>18 Feb</td><td>Direct Polls</td><td>i24 News</td><td>34</td><td>4</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>(2.9%)</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>14</td><td>11</td><td>14</td><td>(2.4%)</td><td>64</td><td>42</td></tr><tr><td>17 Feb</td><td>Maagar Mochot</td><td>Channel 13</td><td>25</td><td>(2.4%)</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>9</td><td>(1.6%)</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>22</td><td>9</td><td>15</td><td>(1.3%)</td><td>50</td><td>55</td></tr><tr><td>12 Feb</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>25</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>9</td><td>11</td><td>20</td><td>11</td><td>12</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>50</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>26</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>(2.2%)</td><td>9</td><td>11</td><td>21</td><td>11</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>(2.3%)</td><td>51</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>12 Feb</td><td>Filber</td><td>Channel 14</td><td>35</td><td>5</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>13</td><td>–</td><td>66</td><td>41</td></tr><tr><td>11–12 Feb</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Zman Israel</td><td>27</td><td>–</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>19</td><td>8</td><td>15</td><td>–</td><td>52</td><td>53</td></tr><tr><td>28</td><td>–</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>–</td><td>11</td><td>8</td><td>20</td><td>8</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>53</td><td>56</td></tr><tr><td>11–12 Feb</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>25</td><td>(2.5%)</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>9</td><td>(2.5%)</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>21</td><td>12</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>(2.3%)</td><td>50</td><td>60</td></tr><tr><td>11 Feb</td><td>Kantar</td><td>Israel Hayom</td><td>26</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>(2.9%)</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>20</td><td>10</td><td>13</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>52</td><td>55</td></tr><tr><td>27</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>(2.9%)</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>21</td><td>11</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.3%)</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>53</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>6 Feb</td><td>TrendZone</td><td>–</td><td>33</td><td>–</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>20</td><td>8</td><td>15</td><td>–</td><td>55</td><td>50</td></tr><tr><td>5 Feb</td><td>Filber</td><td>Channel 14</td><td>34</td><td>4</td><td>7</td><td>11</td><td>9</td><td>4</td><td>4</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>11</td><td>6</td><td>13</td><td>–</td><td>65</td><td>42</td></tr><tr><td>5 Feb</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Times of Israel</td><td>27</td><td>-</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>8</td><td>4</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>18</td><td>6</td><td>14</td><td>-</td><td>52</td><td>54</td></tr><tr><td>4 Feb</td><td>Maagar Mochot</td><td>Channel 13</td><td>26</td><td>4</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>6</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>7</td><td>8</td><td>22</td><td>6</td><td>15</td><td>–</td><td>54</td><td>51</td></tr><tr><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>–</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>56</td><td>55</td></tr><tr><td>29 Jan</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>27</td><td>(2.9%)</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>8</td><td>(1.8%)</td><td>8</td><td>11</td><td>21</td><td>9</td><td>12</td><td>(1.0%)</td><td>51</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>29 Jan</td><td>Filber</td><td>Channel 14</td><td>34</td><td>4</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>6</td><td>(3.0%)</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>12</td><td>7</td><td>13</td><td>–</td><td>64</td><td>43</td></tr><tr><td>28–29 Jan</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>27</td><td>(2.2%)</td><td>8</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>22</td><td>10</td><td>13</td><td>(1.8%)</td><td>50</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>28–29 Jan</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Zman Israel</td><td>27</td><td>–</td><td>7</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>19</td><td>7</td><td>16</td><td>–</td><td>51</td><td>53</td></tr><tr><td>28</td><td>–</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>–</td><td>10</td><td>10</td><td>19</td><td>8</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>53</td><td>56</td></tr><tr><td>22 Jan</td><td>Ra'am, Hadash–Ta'al, and Balad publicly commit to re-establish the Joint List</td></tr></tbody></table>

<table><thead><tr><th>Fieldwork date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Unaligned bloc</th><th>Gov.</th><th>Opp.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>Blue & White</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Dems</td><td>Bennett 2026</td><td>Yashar</td><td>Ra'am</td><td>Hadash –Ta'al</td><td>Balad</td><td>Reserv.</td></tr><tr><td>22 Jan</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>25</td><td>(2.9%)</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>8</td><td>(1.7%)</td><td>9</td><td>11</td><td>22</td><td>9</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.1%)</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>51</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>22 Jan</td><td>Filber</td><td>Channel 14</td><td>34</td><td>5</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>5</td><td>4</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>5</td><td>6</td><td>(2.4%)</td><td>–</td><td>65</td><td>44</td></tr><tr><td>21–22 Jan</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>25</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>9</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>23</td><td>11</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>49</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>21–22 Jan</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Zman Israel</td><td>25</td><td>4</td><td>6</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>8</td><td>4</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>18</td><td>7</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>53</td><td>56</td></tr><tr><td>20 Jan</td><td>Maagar Mochot</td><td>Channel 13</td><td>25</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>9</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>9</td><td>10</td><td>23</td><td>7</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>4</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>51</td><td>56</td></tr><tr><td>15 Jan</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>26</td><td>(2.9%)</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>(2.4%)</td><td>8</td><td>12</td><td>22</td><td>8</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.7%)</td><td>(1.4%)</td><td>51</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>15 Jan</td><td>TrendZone</td><td>–</td><td>34</td><td>–</td><td>10</td><td>6</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>(1.8%)</td><td>6</td><td>12</td><td>21</td><td>9</td><td>5</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>56</td><td>53</td></tr><tr><td>15 Jan</td><td>Filber</td><td>Channel 14</td><td>35</td><td>4</td><td>7</td><td>11</td><td>9</td><td>5</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>10</td><td>11</td><td>11</td><td>6</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>(2.1%)</td><td>–</td><td>66</td><td>43</td></tr><tr><td>14–15 Jan</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>26</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>9</td><td>(2.3%)</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>22</td><td>11</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>(2.1%)</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>51</td><td>60</td></tr><tr><td>14–15 Jan</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Zman Israel</td><td>27</td><td>–</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>4</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>19</td><td>7</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>52</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>14 Jan</td><td>Kantar</td><td>Israel Hayom</td><td>27</td><td>(2.9%)</td><td>9</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>8</td><td>(3.0%)</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>23</td><td>9</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>53</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>8 Jan</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>25</td><td>4</td><td>8</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>9</td><td>(0.6%)</td><td>8</td><td>12</td><td>21</td><td>8</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.3%)</td><td>(2.5%)</td><td>52</td><td>58</td></tr><tr><td>8 Jan</td><td>Filber</td><td>Channel 14</td><td>35</td><td>4</td><td>7</td><td>11</td><td>9</td><td>6</td><td>(1.4%)</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>13</td><td>8</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.1%)</td><td>–</td><td>66</td><td>44</td></tr><tr><td>7–8 Jan</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>27</td><td>(2.2%)</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>8</td><td>(2.2%)</td><td>9</td><td>10</td><td>22</td><td>10</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.8%)</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>51</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>7–8 Jan</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Zman Israel</td><td>28</td><td>–</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>–</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>21</td><td>6</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>53</td><td>56</td></tr><tr><td>7 Jan</td><td>Maagar Mochot</td><td>Channel 13</td><td>26</td><td>(2.3%)</td><td>10</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>(2.3%)</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>24</td><td>8</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.3%)</td><td>(1.6%)</td><td>53</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>1 Jan</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>26</td><td>(2.9%)</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>9</td><td>11</td><td>21</td><td>8</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.8%)</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>51</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>1 Jan</td><td>Filber</td><td>Channel 14</td><td>35</td><td>5</td><td>7</td><td>11</td><td>8</td><td>6</td><td>(0.9%)</td><td>9</td><td>10</td><td>11</td><td>8</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.1%)</td><td>–</td><td>66</td><td>44</td></tr><tr><td>31 Dec – 1 Jan</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>27</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>9</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>10</td><td>10</td><td>19</td><td>10</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>(3.0%)</td><td>52</td><td>58</td></tr><tr><td>31 Dec – 1 Jan</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Zman Israel</td><td>28</td><td>–</td><td>6</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>–</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>22</td><td>7</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>52</td><td>57</td></tr></tbody></table>

Voting intention polls (reported as percentages)

Opinion polling for the 2026 Israeli legislative election

The following polls conducted by the Viterbi Center for the Israeli Democracy Institute reported raw percentages of responses without calculating seat projections:

2024

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Balad</th><th>"A new right-wing party"</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Noam</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Gov. total</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>National Unity</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Ra'am</td><td>Democrats</td><td>Opp. total</td></tr><tr><td>Dec</td><td>20.5</td><td>5.6</td><td>5.6</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6.1</td><td>11.0</td><td>48.8</td><td>8.9</td><td>11.0</td><td>8.9</td><td>5.8</td><td>10.02</td><td>44.62</td><td>2.3</td><td>1.5</td><td>7.8</td></tr><tr><td>Oct</td><td>19.4</td><td>4.3</td><td>8.9</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6.3</td><td>6.1</td><td>45.0</td><td>9.4</td><td>12.6</td><td>8.9</td><td>2.8</td><td>9.6</td><td>43.3</td><td>2.0</td><td>2.0</td><td>7.6</td></tr><tr><td>30 Sep</td><td>New Hope rejoins the Netanyahu government</td></tr><tr><td>2022 election result</td><td>23.41</td><td>10.84</td><td>8.25</td><td>5.88</td><td>48.38</td><td>17.79</td><td>9.08</td><td>4.48</td><td>4.07</td><td>6.85</td><td>42.28</td><td>3.75</td><td>2.91</td><td>–</td></tr></tbody></table>

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Balad</th><th>"A new right-wing party"</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Noam</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Gov. total</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>National Unity</td><td>New Hope</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Ra'am</td><td>Democrats</td><td>Opp. total</td></tr><tr><td>Sep</td><td>18.6</td><td>4.3</td><td>8.4</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6.3</td><td>5.6</td><td>43.2</td><td>9.6</td><td>13.7</td><td>–</td><td>10.1</td><td>2.8</td><td>10.2</td><td>46.4</td><td>2.1</td><td>2.1</td><td>6.3</td></tr><tr><td>Aug</td><td>15.6</td><td>2.1</td><td>9.4</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6.0</td><td>5.5</td><td>38.6</td><td>12.6</td><td>16.8</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9.0</td><td>3.0</td><td>10.7</td><td>52.1</td><td>2.1</td><td>1.1</td><td>6.2</td></tr><tr><td>Jun</td><td>12.5</td><td>2.8</td><td>7.9</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6.5</td><td>7.5</td><td>37.2</td><td>9.8</td><td>12.9</td><td>22.4</td><td>4.5</td><td>9.8</td><td>58.8</td><td>1.4</td><td>1.4</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>12 Jul</td><td>Delegates from Labor and Meretz approve a merger and form The Democrats</td></tr><tr><td>June</td><td>11.4</td><td>2.4</td><td>7.3</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6.7</td><td>6.1</td><td>33.9</td><td>11.4</td><td>21.1</td><td>0.4</td><td>11.8</td><td>4.1</td><td>13.4</td><td>62.2</td><td>2.8</td><td>1.4</td></tr><tr><td>2022 election result</td><td>23.41</td><td>10.84</td><td>8.25</td><td>5.88</td><td>48.38</td><td>17.79</td><td>9.08</td><td>4.48</td><td>4.07</td><td>6.85</td><td>42.28</td><td>3.75</td><td>2.91</td><td>–</td></tr></tbody></table>

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Balad</th><th>Other</th><th>Don't know</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Noam</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Gov. total</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>National Unity</td><td>New Hope</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Ra'am</td><td>Labor</td><td>Meretz</td><td>Opp. total</td></tr><tr><td>9 Jun</td><td>Benny Gantz announces his exit from the coalition and calls for new elections; he and other members of National Unity resign from the coalition afterwards</td></tr><tr><td>28 May</td><td>Yair Golan is elected head of the Labor Party</td></tr><tr><td>31 Mar – 2 Apr</td><td>7.68</td><td>3.07</td><td>5.99</td><td>—N/a</td><td>3.99</td><td>6.14</td><td>28.42</td><td>12.90</td><td>16.59</td><td>1.23</td><td>4.15</td><td>3.23</td><td>2.30</td><td>4.30</td><td>44.70</td><td>2.92</td><td>2.30</td><td>2.15</td><td>21.04</td></tr><tr><td>May</td><td>14.3</td><td>3.7</td><td>7.8</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6.7</td><td>7.6</td><td>40.1</td><td>15.5</td><td>21.9</td><td>1.3</td><td>8.4</td><td>2.2</td><td>3.7</td><td>3.7</td><td>41.2</td><td>2.2</td><td>1.1</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>1–6 May</td><td>9.04</td><td>2.56</td><td>0.45</td><td>—N/a</td><td>4.37</td><td>5.57</td><td>26.66</td><td>11.30</td><td>15.81</td><td>0.75</td><td>5.72</td><td>3.46</td><td>2.56</td><td>2.56</td><td>42.17</td><td>1.66</td><td>0.75</td><td>1.66</td><td>27.11</td></tr><tr><td>April</td><td>10.7</td><td>4.1</td><td>8.6</td><td>—N/a</td><td>5.8</td><td>8.3</td><td>37.5</td><td>16.0</td><td>22.3</td><td>1.8</td><td>5.6</td><td>3.0</td><td>3.0</td><td>5.1</td><td>56.8</td><td>3.0</td><td>2.6</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>31 Mar – 3 Apr</td><td>12.42</td><td>1.86</td><td>6.83</td><td>—N/a</td><td>4.04</td><td>5.28</td><td>30.59</td><td>7.30</td><td>19.86</td><td>2.48</td><td>6.21</td><td>2.33</td><td>1.55</td><td>2.64</td><td>42.39</td><td>3.57</td><td>1.40</td><td>0.93</td><td>21.27</td></tr><tr><td>28 Mar</td><td>Yair Lapid wins reelection as head of Yesh Atid</td></tr><tr><td>25 Mar</td><td>New Hope leaves the government</td></tr><tr><td>13 Mar</td><td>New Hope splits from National Unity</td></tr><tr><td>March</td><td>16.7</td><td>2.4</td><td>6.4</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6.2</td><td>5.3</td><td>42.5</td><td>11.4</td><td>31.8</td><td>3.1</td><td>7.1</td><td>4.9</td><td>2.0</td><td>3.7</td><td>47.5</td><td>0.8</td><td>1.9</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>28 Feb – 4 Mar</td><td>13.79</td><td>2.21</td><td>5.15</td><td>—N/a</td><td>5.88</td><td>5.51</td><td>32.72</td><td>12.50</td><td>32.35</td><td>7.35</td><td>5.51</td><td>2.02</td><td>4.04</td><td>61.95</td><td>1.47</td><td>2.02</td><td>2.57</td><td>2.21</td></tr><tr><td>Feb</td><td>15.6</td><td>2.6</td><td>6.4</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6.2</td><td>5.3</td><td>42.5</td><td>6.4</td><td>31.8</td><td>7.1</td><td>4.9</td><td>2.0</td><td>3.7</td><td>55.9</td><td>0.8</td><td>1.9</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>27 Feb</td><td>2024 Israeli municipal elections</td></tr><tr><td>25 Feb</td><td>The Israeli Labor Party announced that a leadership election (without Merav Michaeli) will be held in May 2024</td></tr><tr><td>2022 election result</td><td>23.41</td><td>10.84</td><td>8.25</td><td>5.88</td><td>48.38</td><td>17.79</td><td>9.08</td><td>4.48</td><td>4.07</td><td>3.69</td><td>3.16</td><td>42.28</td><td>3.75</td><td>2.91</td><td>2.67</td><td>—N/a</td></tr></tbody></table>

Scenario polls

Opinion polling for the 2026 Israeli legislative election

Most often, opinion polling about hypothetical scenarios is done in the same survey as the regular polling. This is why these scenario polls are paired for comparison purposes.

New party scenarios

Naftali Bennett forms a new party:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Likud</th><th>Yesh Atid</th><th>Religious Zionism</th><th>Otzma Yehudit</th><th>Noam</th><th>National Unity</th><th>New Hope</th><th>Shas</th><th>UTJ</th><th>Bennett</th><th>Yisrael Beiteinu</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Labor</th><th>Meretz</th><th>Balad</th><th>Gov.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>13 Mar 24</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>18</td><td>13</td><td>(2.9%)</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>33</td><td>5</td><td>11</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.8%)</td><td>4</td><td>(1.7%)</td><td>44</td></tr><tr><td>18</td><td>12</td><td>–</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>28</td><td>(2.4%)</td><td>11</td><td>7</td><td>12</td><td>10</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>44</td></tr></tbody></table>

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Likud</th><th>Yesh Atid</th><th>Religious Zionism</th><th>Otzma Yehudit</th><th>Noam</th><th>National Unity</th><th>Shas</th><th>UTJ</th><th>Bennett</th><th>Yisrael Beiteinu</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Labor</th><th>Meretz</th><th>Balad</th><th>Gov.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>16 Nov 23</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>17</td><td>15</td><td>4</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>36</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.5%)</td><td>5</td><td>(1.7%)</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>17</td><td>14</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>25</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>17</td><td>8</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>41</td></tr><tr><td>1–2 Nov 23</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>18</td><td>15</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>39</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>8</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.4%)</td><td>6</td><td>(1.0%)</td><td>42</td></tr><tr><td>17</td><td>13</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>28</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>17</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>40</td></tr><tr><td>1 Jun 23</td><td>Midgam</td><td>Arutz Sheva</td><td>26</td><td>18</td><td>5</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>28</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6</td><td>6</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>54</td></tr><tr><td>25</td><td>15</td><td>5</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>25</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>8</td><td>5</td><td>6</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>53</td></tr><tr><td>30 Apr 23</td><td>Camil Fuchs</td><td>Channel 13</td><td>22</td><td>18</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>28</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>5</td><td>4</td><td>49</td></tr><tr><td>21</td><td>17</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>24</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>8</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>5</td><td>4</td><td>46</td></tr><tr><td>16 Apr 23</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>24</td><td>20</td><td>11</td><td>28</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>5</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>52</td></tr><tr><td>24</td><td>18</td><td>9</td><td>24</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>8</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>5</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>50</td></tr></tbody></table>

Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yoav Gallant forms a new party:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Balad</th><th>Gallant</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Mafdal –RZ</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Noam</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>New Hope</td><td>Gov. total</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>National Unity</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Naftali Bennett</td><td>Ra'am</td><td>Democrats</td><td>Opp. total</td></tr><tr><td>8 Nov 24</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>24</td><td>(2.9%)</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>49</td><td>15</td><td>19</td><td>14</td><td>—N/a</td><td>5</td><td>13</td><td>66</td><td>5</td><td>(1.6%)</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>19</td><td>–</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>43</td><td>11</td><td>11</td><td>7</td><td>23</td><td>5</td><td>9</td><td>66</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>6</td></tr></tbody></table>

Yoav Gallant forms a new party:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Balad</th><th>Gallant</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Mafdal –RZ</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Noam</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>New Hope</td><td>Gov. total</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>National Unity</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Ra'am</td><td>Democrats</td><td>Opp. total</td></tr><tr><td>18 Nov 24</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>26</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>(0.9%)</td><td>51</td><td>15</td><td>19</td><td>13</td><td>5</td><td>12</td><td>64</td><td>5</td><td>(2.4%)</td><td>—N/a</td></tr><tr><td>26</td><td>–</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>50</td><td>14</td><td>14</td><td>12</td><td>5</td><td>12</td><td>57</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>8</td></tr></tbody></table>

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Likud</th><th>Yesh Atid</th><th>Mafdal –RZ</th><th>Otzma Yehudit</th><th>Noam</th><th>National Unity</th><th>New Hope</th><th>Shas</th><th>UTJ</th><th>Gallant</th><th>Yisrael Beiteinu</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Labor</th><th>Meretz</th><th>Balad</th><th>Gov.</th><th>Opp.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>16 May 24</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>19</td><td>16</td><td>4</td><td>9</td><td>–</td><td>29</td><td>(1.0%)</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.8%)</td><td>4</td><td>(2.5%)</td><td>50</td><td>65</td></tr><tr><td>19</td><td>15</td><td>4</td><td>9</td><td>–</td><td>25</td><td>–</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>6</td><td>10</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>56</td><td>59</td></tr></tbody></table>

Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Likud</th><th>Yesh Atid</th><th>RZP</th><th>Otzma Yehudit</th><th>Noam</th><th>National Unity</th><th>New Hope</th><th>Shas</th><th>UTJ</th><th>Bennett</th><th>Cohen</th><th>Yisrael Beiteinu</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Labor</th><th>Meretz</th><th>Balad</th><th>Gov.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>13 Mar 24</td><td>Camil Fuchs</td><td>Channel 13</td><td>17</td><td>14</td><td>4</td><td>9</td><td>–</td><td>34</td><td>6</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>8</td><td>4</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>46</td></tr><tr><td>15</td><td>10</td><td>4</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>21</td><td>–</td><td>9</td><td>6</td><td>18</td><td>11</td><td>8</td><td>4</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>41</td></tr></tbody></table>

Yossi Cohen forms a new party:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Likud</th><th>Yesh Atid</th><th>Religious Zionism</th><th>Otzma Yehudit</th><th>Noam</th><th>National Unity</th><th>Shas</th><th>UTJ</th><th>Cohen</th><th>Yisrael Beiteinu</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Labor</th><th>Meretz</th><th>Balad</th><th>Gov.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>16 Nov 23</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>17</td><td>15</td><td>4</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>36</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.5%)</td><td>5</td><td>(1.7%)</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>16</td><td>16</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>29</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>12</td><td>8</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>40</td></tr><tr><td>16 Apr 23</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>24</td><td>20</td><td>11</td><td>28</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>5</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>52</td></tr><tr><td>22</td><td>19</td><td>11</td><td>25</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>5</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>50</td></tr></tbody></table>

Yoaz Hendel forms a new party:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Likud</th><th>Yesh Atid</th><th>Religious Zionism</th><th>Otzma Yehudit</th><th>Noam</th><th>National Unity</th><th>Shas</th><th>UTJ</th><th>Hendel</th><th>Yisrael Beiteinu</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Labor</th><th>Meretz</th><th>Balad</th><th>Gov.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>20–21 Sep 23</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>26</td><td>16</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>31</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.4%)</td><td>4</td><td>(1.7%)</td><td>53</td></tr><tr><td>26</td><td>14</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>26</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>8</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>52</td></tr><tr><td>3 Sep 23</td><td>Lazar</td><td>The Jerusalem Post</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>—N/a</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>26</td><td>16</td><td>5</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>26</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>52</td></tr><tr><td>1 Jun 23</td><td>Midgam</td><td>Arutz Sheva</td><td>26</td><td>18</td><td>5</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>28</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>6</td><td>6</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>54</td></tr><tr><td>24</td><td>17</td><td>5</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>27</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>4</td><td>6</td><td>6</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>52</td></tr><tr><td>22–23 Mar 23</td><td>Panels Politics</td><td>Maariv</td><td>28</td><td>26</td><td>5</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>19</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>5</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>56</td></tr><tr><td>27</td><td>22</td><td>5</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>14</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>6</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>55</td></tr></tbody></table>

Yariv Levin forms a new party:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Likud</th><th>Yesh Atid</th><th>RZP</th><th>Otzma Yehudit</th><th>Noam</th><th>National Unity</th><th>Shas</th><th>UTJ</th><th>Levin</th><th>Yisrael Beiteinu</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Labor</th><th>Meretz</th><th>Balad</th><th>Gov.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>24 May 23</td><td>Camil Fuchs</td><td>Channel 13</td><td>25</td><td>18</td><td>5</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>29</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>4</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>4</td><td>4</td><td>50</td></tr><tr><td>22</td><td>18</td><td>5</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>26</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>6</td><td>4</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>4</td><td>4</td><td>53</td></tr></tbody></table>

New anti-judicial overhaul right-wing party:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Likud</th><th>Yesh Atid</th><th>RZP</th><th>Otzma Yehudit</th><th>Noam</th><th>National Unity</th><th>New Right-Wing Party</th><th>Shas</th><th>UTJ</th><th>Yisrael Beiteinu</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Labor</th><th>Meretz</th><th>Balad</th><th>Gov.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>22–23 Mar 23</td><td>Panels Politics</td><td>Maariv</td><td>28</td><td>26</td><td>5</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>19</td><td>—N/a</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>5</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>56</td></tr><tr><td>27</td><td>24</td><td>5</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>16</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>4</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>55</td></tr><tr><td>16 Mar 23</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>29</td><td>23</td><td>12</td><td>17</td><td>—N/a</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>6</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>(3.0%)</td><td>5</td><td>(1.0%)</td><td>58</td></tr><tr><td>26</td><td>21</td><td>12</td><td>14</td><td>10</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>55</td></tr></tbody></table>

New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders:

New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders with a new right wing liberal party:

Alternative leadership scenarios

Gadi Eisenkot leads National Unity:

Nir Barkat leads the Likud:

Yossi Cohen leads the Likud:

Yoav Gallant leads the Likud:

United right wing party outside the government

Naftali Bennett forms a new party and forms an alliance with Yisrael Beiteinu and New Hope:

United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Ayelet Shaked and Gideon Sa'ar and a separate "Reservists' Party" led by Yoaz Hendel:

New right-wing opposition party and Labor-Meretz scenarios (prior to merger)

Labor and Meretz run together under Yair Golan; Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Avigdor Lieberman form a new party:

Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Likud</th><th>Yesh Atid</th><th>RZP</th><th>Otzma Yehudit</th><th>Noam</th><th>National Unity</th><th>Shas</th><th>UTJ</th><th>Bennett</th><th>Cohen</th><th>Yisrael Beiteinu</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Labor</th><th>Meretz</th><th>Balad</th><th>Gov.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>10 Jun 24</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>19</td><td>15</td><td>4</td><td>10</td><td>–</td><td>22</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>13</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>9</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>51</td></tr><tr><td>17</td><td>15</td><td>–</td><td>9</td><td>–</td><td>18</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>4</td><td>11</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>9</td><td>–</td><td>44</td></tr><tr><td>11 Jan 24</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>18</td><td>14</td><td>4</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>35</td><td>11</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.6%)</td><td>4</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>48</td></tr><tr><td>15</td><td>10</td><td>4</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>25</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>6</td><td>7</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>9</td><td>–</td><td>43</td></tr><tr><td>28 Dec 23</td><td>Camil Fuchs</td><td>Channel 13</td><td>16</td><td>15</td><td>5</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>38</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>8</td><td>6</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>15</td><td>10</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>23</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>15</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>21 Dec 23</td><td>Direct Polls</td><td>Channel 14</td><td>27</td><td>14</td><td>4</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>28</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>11</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>(0.5%)</td><td>(2.9%)</td><td>(1.6%)</td><td>56</td></tr><tr><td>22</td><td>7</td><td>4</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>17</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>14</td><td>(1.7%)</td><td>48</td></tr><tr><td>18 Dec 23</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>18</td><td>15</td><td>(2.4%)</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>37</td><td>11</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.8%)</td><td>5</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>44</td></tr><tr><td>15</td><td>10</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>23</td><td>11</td><td>7</td><td>13</td><td>9</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>9</td><td>(1.8%)</td><td>40</td></tr></tbody></table>

Merger of Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen & Labor and Meretz under Yair Golan:

New Hope splits from National Unity, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen and Yoaz Hendel form three separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list:

Yoav Gallant forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Likud</th><th>Yesh Atid</th><th>Religious Zionism</th><th>Otzma Yehudit</th><th>Noam</th><th>National Unity</th><th>Shas</th><th>UTJ</th><th>Gallant</th><th>Yisrael Beiteinu</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Labor</th><th>Meretz</th><th>Balad</th><th>Gov.</th><th>Opp.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>3 March 2024</td><td>Camil Fuchs</td><td>Channel 13</td><td>17</td><td>12</td><td>5</td><td>9</td><td>–</td><td>39</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>—N/a</td><td>9</td><td>5</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>47</td><td>69</td></tr><tr><td>16</td><td>9</td><td>5</td><td>9</td><td>–</td><td>31</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>5</td><td>4</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>55</td><td>61</td></tr></tbody></table>

Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Likud</th><th>Yesh Atid</th><th>Religious Zionism</th><th>Otzma Yehudit</th><th>Noam</th><th>National Unity</th><th>Shas</th><th>UTJ</th><th>Cohen & Bennett</th><th>Yisrael Beiteinu</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Labor</th><th>Meretz</th><th>Balad</th><th>Gov.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>7 December 2023</td><td>Kantar</td><td>Attila Somfalvi</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>—N/a</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>17</td><td>12</td><td>4</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>29</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>4</td><td>6</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>44</td></tr></tbody></table>

Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Likud</th><th>Yesh Atid</th><th>Religious Zionism</th><th>Otzma Yehudit</th><th>Noam</th><th>National Unity</th><th>Shas</th><th>UTJ</th><th>Bennett</th><th>Yisrael Beiteinu</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Labor</th><th>Meretz</th><th>Balad</th><th>Gov.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>30 November 2023</td><td>Kantar</td><td>Attila Somfalvi</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>—N/a</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>18</td><td>12</td><td>4</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>28</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>12</td><td>7</td><td>5</td><td>6</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>14 November 2023</td><td>Kantar</td><td>Attila Somfalvi</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>—N/a</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>16</td><td>12</td><td>4</td><td>6</td><td>–</td><td>27</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>14</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>6</td><td>8</td><td>–</td><td>42</td></tr></tbody></table>

Miscellaneous mergers

Gadi Eisenkot joins Yesh Atid:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Balad</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Gov. total</td><td>Bennett 2026</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>Yashar</td><td>Blue & White</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Democrats</td><td>Opp. total</td></tr><tr><td>18 Sep 25</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>24</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>49</td><td>21</td><td>9</td><td>10</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>11</td><td>10</td><td>61</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.7%)</td></tr><tr><td>24</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>49</td><td>21</td><td>17</td><td>4</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>61</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>2–3 July 25</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>27</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>7</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>51</td><td>24</td><td>9</td><td>–</td><td>6</td><td>9</td><td>11</td><td>60</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.9%)</td></tr><tr><td>28</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>7</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>51</td><td>21</td><td>15</td><td>4</td><td>9</td><td>10</td><td>59</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.9%)</td></tr></tbody></table>

Merger of Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Balad</th><th>Reserv.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Gov. total</td><td>Bennett 2026</td><td>Yashar</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>Blue & White</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Democrats</td><td>Opp. total</td></tr><tr><td>25–26 Feb</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>26</td><td>(2.2%)</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>50</td><td>19</td><td>14</td><td>8</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>8</td><td>11</td><td>60</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.5%)</td><td>(1.9%)</td></tr><tr><td>26</td><td>(2.5%)</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>50</td><td>32</td><td>8</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>8</td><td>12</td><td>60</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.8%)</td><td>(2.0%)</td></tr><tr><td>26</td><td>(2.5%)</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>50</td><td>33</td><td>7</td><td>(2.3%)</td><td>8</td><td>12</td><td>60</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.8%)</td><td>(1.3%)</td></tr><tr><td>17 Feb</td><td>Maagar Mochot</td><td>Channel 13</td><td>25</td><td>(2.4%)</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>50</td><td>22</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>(1.6%)</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>55</td><td>15</td><td>(1.3%)</td></tr><tr><td>25</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>52</td><td>29</td><td>7</td><td>–</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>53</td><td>15</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>18 Sep 25</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>24</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>49</td><td>21</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>11</td><td>10</td><td>61</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>24</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>49</td><td>30</td><td>11</td><td>0</td><td>10</td><td>10</td><td>61</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>0</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>29 Aug</td><td>TrendZone</td><td>–</td><td>32</td><td>–</td><td>6</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>54</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>9</td><td>12</td><td>21</td><td>9</td><td>55</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>37</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td></tr><tr><td>2–3 July 25</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>27</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>7</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>51</td><td>24</td><td>–</td><td>9</td><td>6</td><td>9</td><td>11</td><td>60</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>27</td><td>4</td><td>6</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>54</td><td>25</td><td>9</td><td>4</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>56</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>–</td></tr></tbody></table>

Gadi Eisenkot joins Yisrael Beiteinu:

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Balad</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Gov. total</td><td>Bennett 2026</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>Blue & White</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Ra'am</td><td>Democrats</td><td>Opp. total</td></tr><tr><td>2–3 July 25</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>27</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>7</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>51</td><td>24</td><td>9</td><td>6</td><td>9</td><td>5</td><td>11</td><td>65</td><td>5</td><td>(1.9%)</td></tr><tr><td>27</td><td>4</td><td>7</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>54</td><td>18</td><td>8</td><td>4</td><td>17</td><td>5</td><td>9</td><td>61</td><td>5</td><td>(1.9%)</td></tr></tbody></table>

Moshe Kahlon joins Blue and White

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash –Ta'al</th><th>Balad</th><th>Reserv.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Gov. total</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>Blue & White</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Dems</td><td>Bennett 2026</td><td>Yashar</td><td>Opp. total</td></tr><tr><td>16 October 2025</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>27</td><td>(2.5%)</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>51</td><td>9</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>9</td><td>11</td><td>22</td><td>8</td><td>59</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(1.4%)</td><td>(1.4%)</td></tr><tr><td>27</td><td>–</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>51</td><td>8</td><td>4</td><td>8</td><td>11</td><td>20</td><td>8</td><td>59</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr></tbody></table>

Merger of Naftali Bennett, Yair Lapid and Gadi Eisenkot:

<table><thead><tr><th>Fieldwork date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Joint List</th><th>Reserv.</th><th>Lead</th><th>Gov.</th><th>Opp.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>Bennett 2026</td><td>Yashar</td><td>Blue & White</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Dems</td><td>Ra'am</td><td>Hadash –Ta'al</td><td>Balad</td></tr><tr><td>28–29 Jan 26</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>27</td><td>(2.2%)</td><td>8</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>22</td><td>10</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>13</td><td>(1.8%)</td><td>5</td><td>50</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>28</td><td>(1.8%)</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>37</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>13</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>9</td><td>52</td><td>55</td></tr><tr><td>21-22 January 2026</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Zman Israel</td><td>25</td><td>4</td><td>6</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>18</td><td>8</td><td>4</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>5</td><td>53</td><td>56</td></tr><tr><td>25</td><td>4</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>36</td><td>4</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>11</td><td>54</td><td>57</td></tr></tbody></table>

<table><thead><tr><th>Fieldwork date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Joint List</th><th>Reserv.</th><th>Lead</th><th>Gov.</th><th>Opp.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>Blue & White</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Dems</td><td>Bennett 2026</td><td>Yashar</td><td>Ra'am</td><td>Hadash –Ta'al</td><td>Balad</td></tr><tr><td>4 Dec 25</td><td>Maagar Mochot</td><td>Channel 13</td><td>23</td><td>4</td><td>9</td><td>10</td><td>6</td><td>9</td><td>(2.5%)</td><td>10</td><td>10</td><td>19</td><td>6</td><td>4</td><td>6</td><td>(2.1%)</td><td>4</td><td>4</td><td>52</td><td>54</td></tr><tr><td>22</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>9</td><td>19</td><td>TBA</td><td>16</td><td>4</td><td>3</td><td>49</td><td>51</td></tr></tbody></table>

Merger of Benny Gantz and Yoaz Hendel:

<table><thead><tr><th>Fieldwork date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Unaligned bloc</th><th>Gov.</th><th>Opp.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>Blue & White</td><td>Reserv.</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Dems</td><td>Bennett 2026</td><td>Yashar</td><td>Ra'am</td><td>Hadash –Ta'al</td><td>Balad</td></tr><tr><td>12 Feb 26</td><td>Midgam</td><td>HaHadashot 12</td><td>26</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>(2.2%)</td><td>(2.3%)</td><td>9</td><td>11</td><td>21</td><td>11</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>51</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>25</td><td>(2.7%)</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>6</td><td>4</td><td>9</td><td>11</td><td>20</td><td>10</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.0%)</td><td>50</td><td>60</td></tr></tbody></table>

Merger of Benny Gantz and Yoaz Hendel, Religious Zionism and Otzma Yehudit reunification, merger of Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett and Joint List reunification:

<table><thead><tr><th>Fieldwork date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Joint List</th><th>Gov.</th><th>Opp.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>Blue & White</td><td>Reserv.</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Dems</td><td>Bennett 2026</td><td>Yashar</td><td>Ra'am</td><td>Hadash –Ta'al</td><td>Balad</td></tr><tr><td>18–19 Feb</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Zman Israel</td><td>27</td><td>–</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>18</td><td>9</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>52</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>26</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>6</td><td>6</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>27</td><td>13</td><td>50</td><td>57</td></tr></tbody></table>

Merger of Benny Gantz and Yoaz Hendel, Religious Zionism and Otzma Yehudit reunification, merger of Gadi Eisenkot and Yair Lapid and Joint List reunification:

<table><thead><tr><th>Fieldwork date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Joint List</th><th>Gov.</th><th>Opp.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>Yashar</td><td>Blue & White</td><td>Reserv.</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Dems</td><td>Bennett 2026</td><td>Ra'am</td><td>Hadash –Ta'al</td><td>Balad</td></tr><tr><td>25–26 Feb</td><td>Yossi Taktika</td><td>Zman Israel></td><td>27</td><td>–</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>7</td><td>12</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>10</td><td>9</td><td>18</td><td>6</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>52</td><td>56</td></tr><tr><td>25</td><td>9</td><td>9</td><td>7</td><td>22</td><td>6</td><td>9</td><td>8</td><td>11</td><td>14</td><td>50</td><td>56</td></tr></tbody></table>

Other scenarios and scenario combinations

Ofer Winter leads Religious Zionism, Naftali Bennett and Yoaz Hendel form two separate new parties:

<table><thead><tr><th>Fieldwork date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Unaligned bloc</th><th>Lead</th><th>Gov.</th><th>Opp.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>Blue & White</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Dems</td><td>Bennett 2026</td><td>Yashar</td><td>Ra'am</td><td>Hadash –Ta'al</td><td>Balad</td><td>Reserv.</td></tr><tr><td>7 Jan</td><td>Maagar Mochot</td><td>Channel 13</td><td>26</td><td>(2.3%)</td><td>10</td><td>10</td><td>7</td><td>7</td><td>(2.3%)</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>24</td><td>8</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>(2.3%)</td><td>(1.6%)</td><td>2</td><td>53</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>TBA</td><td>7</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>–</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td></td><td>55</td><td>55</td></tr><tr><td>4–5 Jun</td><td>Lazar</td><td>Maariv</td><td>22</td><td>(2.8%)</td><td>9</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>12</td><td>15</td><td>19</td><td>15</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>6</td><td>4</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>–</td><td>3</td><td>49</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>TBA</td><td>8</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>TBA</td><td>22</td><td>–</td><td>5</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>7</td><td>TBA</td><td>49</td><td>55</td></tr></tbody></table>

Naftali Bennett forms new party and Gadi Eisenkot becomes head of National Unity:

Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yossi Cohen becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union:

Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Nir Barkat becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union:

Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yoav Gallant becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union:

United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, and Gideon Sa'ar, and National Unity and Yesh Atid form an alliance:

Ofer Winter, Deddi Simchi and Amir Avivi form a new party, merger of Yashar and Yesh Atid:

<table><thead><tr><th>Fieldwork date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Government bloc</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>Unaligned bloc</th><th>Gov.</th><th>Opp.</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Likud</td><td>Religious Zionism</td><td>Otzma Yehudit</td><td>Shas</td><td>UTJ</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>Yashar</td><td>Blue & White</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Dems</td><td>Bennett 2026</td><td>Joint List</td><td>Reserv.</td><td>Avivi+ Simchi+ Winter</td></tr><tr><td>18 Feb</td><td>Direct Polls</td><td>i24 News</td><td>34</td><td>4</td><td>8</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>(2.9%)</td><td>11</td><td>(2.6%)</td><td>8</td><td>9</td><td>14</td><td>14</td><td>(2.4%)</td><td>–</td><td>64</td><td>42</td></tr><tr><td>32</td><td>(2.2%)</td><td>7</td><td>10</td><td>8</td><td>16</td><td>(2.5%)</td><td>8</td><td>8</td><td>12</td><td>14</td><td>(1.9%)</td><td>5</td><td>57</td><td>44</td></tr></tbody></table>

Arab voters

Opinion polling for the 2026 Israeli legislative election

Some surveys only polled the Arab population and estimated the strength of each Arab party. If predominantly Jewish parties were polled, their number will be italic.

<table><thead><tr><th>Fieldwork date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Joint List</th><th>Opposition bloc</th><th>National camp</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Ra'am</td><td>Hadash–Ta'al</td><td>Balad</td><td>Dems</td><td>Yisrael Beiteinu</td><td>Yesh Atid</td><td>Bennett 2026</td><td>National Unity</td><td>Likud</td></tr><tr><td>Ta'al</td><td>Hadash</td></tr><tr><td>13–18 Nov 2025</td><td>Stat-Net Research Institute</td><td>MDC/KAS</td><td>3.9</td><td>5.3</td><td>(2.6)</td><td>0.7</td><td>0.5</td><td>0.3</td><td>0.2</td><td>–</td><td>0.4</td></tr><tr><td>15.5</td><td>0.3</td><td>–</td><td>0.3</td><td>0.1</td><td>–</td><td>0.2</td></tr><tr><td>November 2025</td><td>Stat-Net Research Institute</td><td>internal</td><td>4</td><td>5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>4</td><td>10</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>16</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>10–16 June 2025</td><td>Stat-Net Research Institute</td><td>MDC/KAS</td><td>4.3</td><td>4.8</td><td>(3)</td><td>1</td><td>–</td><td>0.5</td><td>–</td><td>0.5</td><td>0.5</td></tr><tr><td>10–17 Feb 2025</td><td>Stat-Net Research Institute</td><td>Abraham Initiatives</td><td>4.4</td><td>5.5</td><td>(2.6)</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>4.2</td><td>(3.3)</td><td>(2.4)</td><td>(2.5)</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>7.1</td><td>5.5</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>4.1</td><td>8.6</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>13.1</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>1–8 Dec 2024</td><td>Stat-Net Research Institute</td><td>MDC/KAS</td><td>5</td><td>4</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>5–11 June 2024</td><td>Stat-Net Research Institute</td><td>MDC/KAS</td><td>4.7</td><td>5.2</td><td>(3.5)</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr></tbody></table>

Voting intention polls (reported as percentages)

<table><thead><tr><th>Fieldwork date</th><th>Polling firm</th><th>Publisher</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>Hadash</th><th>Ta'al</th><th>Balad</th><th>Dems</th><th>Likud</th><th>Beyachad Natzliach</th><th>Other Jewish Parties</th><th>Absent</th><th>No answer</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>26–29 Jan 2026</td><td>Arpanel</td><td>–</td><td>68%</td><td>4%</td><td>3%</td><td>1%</td><td>–</td><td>11%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>20%</td><td>47%</td><td>5%</td><td>4%</td><td>1%</td><td>1%</td><td>13%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>21%</td><td>17%</td><td>8%</td><td>10%</td><td>5%</td><td>3%</td><td>1%</td><td>1%</td><td>21%</td><td>13%</td></tr><tr><td>2022 election result (estimation)</td><td>35.2%</td><td>28.8%</td><td>21.8%</td><td>3.5%</td><td>2.2%</td><td>–</td><td>6.5%</td><td>46.8%</td><td>–</td></tr></tbody></table>

Preferred prime minister

Opinion polling for the 2026 Israeli legislative election

• Benjamin Netanyahu · Prime Minister · Leader of the Likud party • Naftali Bennett · Former Prime minister . Leader of the Bennett 2026 party

Date	Polling firm	Publisher	Netanyahu	Bennett	Neither	Undecided
4 June 2025	Midgam	HaHadashot 12	34	39	20	–

Other questions

Whether voters intend to vote for the same party that they did in 2022

The Israel Democracy Institute commissioned the Viterbi Center to gauge voting intentions of Israeli voters based on their voting history. In January 2023, they asked if voters would vote for the same party as they did in 2022. In that poll, 50% were certain they would, 22% think yes, 7% think no, and 4% were certain that they would not. An additional 3% of those polled did not vote in 2022 but planned to in the next election, 6% did not and do not plan to vote, and 10% were undecided.

In October 2023, the question was asked again but centered around voting block. In that poll, 39.7% would vote for the same party as was voted for in 2022, 14.8% would vote for the same political bloc, 6.3% would vote for a party in a different bloc, and a combined 39.2% of those surveyed either wouldn't vote or were undecided. The Israel Democracy Institute also ran a series of surveys in 2024 asking people their re-voting intention, based on which party they voted for.

<table><thead><tr><th>Date</th><th>Balad</th><th>Hadash-Ta'al</th><th>Shas</th><th>Labor</th><th>Likud</th><th>Meretz</th><th>National Unity</th><th>OY/RZ</th><th>Ra'am</th><th>UTJ</th><th>Yesh Atid</th><th>Yisrael Beiteinu</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>December 2024</td><td>61%</td><td>51%</td><td>57%</td><td>46%</td><td>54%</td><td>62%</td><td>34%</td><td>63%</td><td>65%</td><td>84%</td><td>28%</td><td>52%</td></tr><tr><td>October 2024</td><td>49%</td><td>54%</td><td>54%</td><td>48%</td><td>50%</td><td>67%</td><td>43%</td><td>60%</td><td>55%</td><td>82%</td><td>29%</td><td>59%</td></tr><tr><td>September 2024</td><td>40%</td><td>53%</td><td>50%</td><td>47%</td><td>46%</td><td>71%</td><td>45%</td><td>55%</td><td>62%</td><td>79%</td><td>29%</td><td>53%</td></tr><tr><td>August 2024</td><td>29%</td><td>44.5%</td><td>68%</td><td>51%</td><td>39%</td><td>74%</td><td>48%</td><td>51%</td><td>55%</td><td>71%</td><td>31%</td><td>66.5%</td></tr><tr><td>July 2024</td><td>28%</td><td>39%</td><td>74%</td><td>45%</td><td>39%</td><td>66%</td><td>48%</td><td>52%</td><td>58%</td><td>69.5%</td><td>31%</td><td>72%</td></tr><tr><td>June 2024</td><td>36%</td><td>44%</td><td>76%</td><td>37%</td><td>36%</td><td>60%</td><td>58%</td><td>59%</td><td>56%</td><td>72%</td><td>35.5%</td><td>78%</td></tr><tr><td>May 2024</td><td>40%</td><td>54%</td><td>77%</td><td>24%</td><td>37%</td><td>48%</td><td>63%</td><td>56%</td><td>55%</td><td>80%</td><td>32%</td><td>70%</td></tr><tr><td>April 2024</td><td>49%</td><td>59%</td><td>74%</td><td>20%</td><td>38%</td><td>55%</td><td>70%</td><td>63%</td><td>63%</td><td>89%</td><td>32%</td><td>65%</td></tr></tbody></table>

Inclusion of ultra-Orthodox parties in the next government

Date	Polling firm	Publisher	Would like	Would dislike	Undecided
21 June 2024	Midgam	HaHadashot 12	30	56	14

Inclusion of Arab parties in the next government

These questions were posed to the Arab population of Israel.

Date	Polling firm	Publisher	Yes, in any coalition	Only in center-left coalition	Oppose, but support govt from outside	Oppose any government		Combined Yes	Combined No
25 November 2025	Stat-Net Research Institute	Konrad Adenauer Program for Jewish-Arab Cooperation Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies Tel Aviv University	45.6%	31.8%	10.5%	8.4%		77.4%	18.9%
25 June 2025	41.8%	31.4%	11.7%	11.3%		73.2%	23%
12 December 2024	47.8%	24.0%	12.9%	12.5%		71.8%	25.4%
20 June 2024	40.2%	28.5%	16.3%	14.2%		68.7%	30.5%
3 December 2023	46.9%	18.9%	7.2%	20.2%		65.8%	27.4%
26 June 2023	46.6%	16.7%	13.8%	13.5%		63.3%	27.3%

Timing of the next election

Date	Polling firm	Publisher	November 2026, as scheduled	Now	At the end of the war	Other
22–23 Oct 2025	Yossi Taktika	Zman Israel	39.11%	45.05%	—N/a	15.85%
4 June 2025	Midgam	HaHadashot 12	31%	57%	—N/a	12%
23 May 2024	Kantar	Kan 11	22%	38%	32%	8%
30 January 2024	Viterbi Center	IDI	21.5%	33%	38%	7.5%