2026 Oregon gubernatorial election

The 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Oregon. The primary elections will take place on May 19, 2026. Incumbent Democratic governor Tina Kotek is running for re-election to a second full term.

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2026 Oregon gubernatorial election

The 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Oregon. The primary elections will take place on May 19, 2026. Incumbent Democratic governor Tina Kotek is running for re-election to a second full term.

Democratic primary

Declared

• Brittany N. Jones, political activist and non-profit founder • Cal Kishawi • Tina Kotek, incumbent governor (2023–present)

Filed paperwork

• James Atkinson IV, inventor and 2024 Portland mayoral candidate • Tristan Sheppard, consultant and volunteer firefighter

Republican primary

Declared

• Danielle Bethell, Marion County commissioner • Ed Diehl, state representative from the 17th district (2023–present) • Christine Drazan, state senator (2025–present), former minority leader of the Oregon House of Representatives (2019–2021, 2025) and nominee for governor in (/wiki/2022Oregongubernatorialelection) • Chris Dudley, wealth management executive, former Portland Trail Blazers basketball player, and nominee for governor in (/wiki/2010Oregongubernatorialelection) • Kyle Duyck, genomics researcher • David Medina, podcaster charged with participating in the January 6 United States Capitol attack • Robert Neuman, business manager and candidate for labor commissioner in (/wiki/2022OregonCommissionerofLaborelection)

General election

Predictions

<table><thead><tr><th>Source</th><th>Ranking</th><th>As of</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>The Cook Political Report</td><td>Solid D</td><td>September 11, 2025</td></tr><tr><td>Inside Elections</td><td>Solid D</td><td>August 28, 2025</td></tr><tr><td>Sabato's Crystal Ball</td><td>Likely D</td><td>September 4, 2025</td></tr><tr><td>Race to the WH</td><td>Lean D</td><td>February 13, 2026</td></tr></tbody></table>

Polling

<table><thead><tr><th>Poll source</th><th>Date(s) administered</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Margin of error</th><th>Tina Kotek (D)</th><th>Ed Diehl (R)</th><th>Undecided</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>FM3 Research (D)</td><td>January 28, 2026 – February 4, 2026</td><td>1,065 (LV)</td><td>± 3.1%</td><td>43%</td><td>37%</td><td>20%</td></tr></tbody></table>

<table><thead><tr><th>Poll source</th><th>Date(s) administered</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Margin of error</th><th>Tina Kotek (D)</th><th>Christine Drazan (R)</th><th>Undecided</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>FM3 Research (D)</td><td>January 28, 2026 – February 4, 2026</td><td>1,065 (LV)</td><td>± 3.1%</td><td>45%</td><td>40%</td><td>15%</td></tr></tbody></table>

<table><thead><tr><th>Poll source</th><th>Date(s) administered</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Margin of error</th><th>Tina Kotek (D)</th><th>Chris Dudley (R)</th><th>Undecided</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>FM3 Research (D)</td><td>January 28, 2026 – February 4, 2026</td><td>1,065 (LV)</td><td>± 3.1%</td><td>45%</td><td>35%</td><td>20%</td></tr></tbody></table>