2025 Ontario general election

2025 Ontario general election

General elections were held on February 27, 2025, to elect the 124 members of the 44th Parliament of Ontario. Premier Doug Ford's Progressive Conservatives were re-elected to a third consecutive majority government, the first time a party has done so since (/wiki/1959Ontariogeneralelection). The PCs increased their vote share to 43%, however lost three seats compared to 2022. The New Democratic Party led by Marit Stiles retained its status as the Official Opposition, albeit with four fewer seats than in 2022 and while finishing a distant third in the popular vote. The Ontario Liberal Party finished second in the popular vote but won just fourteen seats, remaining in third place in terms of seat count since (/wiki/2018Ontariogeneralelection), although this five-seat increase was enough for the Liberals to regain official party status in the legislature for the first time since 2018. Liberal leader Bonnie Crombie however failed to win her seat in Mississauga East—Cooksville, losing to the PC candidate.

The Greens held their two seats, including leader Mike Schreiner, although suffering a slight drop in popularity. Incumbent independent MPP Bobbi Ann Brady held her seat in Haldimand-Norfolk, winning the second-largest margin in the province.

Background

2025 Ontario general election

Under the Ontario Elections Act, general elections must be held on the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election. As the previous election was held on June 2, 2022, this election was anticipated to be held on June 4, 2026. However, it had been speculated since early 2024 that Premier Doug Ford would call a snap election to take advantage of a lead in the polls and fundraising, as well as a desire to hold the election before the next federal election, which, at that time, the federal Conservative Party under Pierre Poilievre was considered extremely likely to win. This speculation was fueled in May 2024, when Ford refused to commit to the June 2026 date when asked by reporters at multiple press conferences for confirmation.

On January 23, 2025, multiple news outlets reported that Ford would visit Edith Dumont, the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario, on January 29 to ask for the 43rd Provincial Parliament to be dissolved, triggering an election to be held on February 27. This speculation was confirmed by Ford at a press conference on January 24. On January 28, he met with Dumont; the Provincial Parliament was formally dissolved, with a writ of election issued the next day. The election cost approximately $189 million.

Electoral districts

The Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015 increased the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following the boundaries set out by the federal 2013 Representation Order for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in Northern Ontario set out in the 1996 redistribution.

The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission, appointed in 2016, recommended the creation of the additional districts of Kiiwetinoong and Mushkegowuk—James Bay, carved out from the existing Kenora—Rainy River and Timmins—James Bay ridings, which accordingly raised the total number of seats to 124. This was implemented through the Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017.

With the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, Ontario was allotted 1 additional seat in the House of Commons. On August 1, 2024, Premier Ford announced that Ontario would break with recent tradition and not adopt the federal electoral boundary changes for the next provincial election. As Northern Ontario lost a seat in the federal process, further adjustments would have been needed to maintain their extra provincial representation, which would have resulted in an extra additional riding.

Timeline

2022

• June 2: The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario under Doug Ford won a second majority government in the 43rd Ontario general election. New Democratic Party leader Andrea Horwath and Liberal leader Steven Del Duca both announced their resignation on election night. • June 28: Toronto—Danforth MPP Peter Tabuns was named interim leader of the NDP, becoming Leader of the Official Opposition. • August 3: Ottawa South MPP John Fraser was named interim leader of the Liberals.

2023

• February 4: Marit Stiles was declared leader of the NDP, and became Leader of the Official Opposition. • December 2: Bonnie Crombie was elected leader of the Liberals.

2025

• January 28: The lieutenant governor dissolves the Legislature. • January 29: Writs of election are issued, officially starting the campaign. • February 13: Nominations close. • February 14: First leaders' debate, organized by Federation of Northern Ontario Municipalities. • February 17: Second leaders' debate, organized by Broadcast Consortium. • February 27: Election day.

Seat changes

Party	2022	Gain/(loss) due to	2025
Resignation as MPP	Resignation from caucus	Expulsion	Byelection gain	Byelection hold
	Progressive Conservative	83	(4)	(2)	(1)		3	79
	New Democratic	31	(2)		(2)		1	28
	Liberal	8	(1)			1	1	9
	Green	1				1		2
	Independent	1		2	3			6
Total	124	(7)	–	–	2	5	124

Seat	Before	Change
Date	Member	Party	Reason	Date	Member	Party
Hamilton Centre	August 15, 2022	Andrea Horwath	█ New Democratic	Resignation from legislature.	March 16, 2023	Sarah Jama	█ New Democratic
Don Valley North	March 10, 2023	Vincent Ke	█ PC	Resignation from caucus.			█ Independent
Kanata—Carleton	March 24, 2023	Merrilee Fullerton	█ PC	Resignation from legislature.	July 27, 2023	Karen McCrimmon	█ Liberal
Algoma—Manitoulin	March 31, 2023	Michael Mantha	█ New Democratic	Expelled from caucus.			█ Independent
Scarborough—Guildwood	May 10, 2023	Mitzie Hunter	█ Liberal	Resignation from legislature.	July 27, 2023	Andrea Hazell	█ Liberal
Kitchener Centre	July 13, 2023	Laura Mae Lindo	█ New Democratic	Resignation from legislature.	November 30, 2023	Aislinn Clancy	█ Green
Mississauga East—Cooksville	September 20, 2023	Kaleed Rasheed	█ PC	Resignation from caucus.			█ Independent
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex	September 22, 2023	Monte McNaughton	█ PC	Resignation from legislature	May 2, 2024	Steve Pinsonneault	█ PC
Hamilton Centre	October 23, 2023	Sarah Jama	█ New Democratic	Expelled from caucus.			█ Independent
Milton	January 25, 2024	Parm Gill	█ PC	Resignation from legislature.	May 2, 2024	Zee Hamid	█ PC
Carleton	June 28, 2024	Goldie Ghamari	█ PC	Expelled from caucus.			█ Independent
Bay of Quinte	August 16, 2024	Todd Smith	█ PC	Resignation from legislature.	September 19, 2024	Tyler Allsopp	█ PC

By-election results

Riding and winning party	Turnout	Vote share for winning candidate
%	Change (pp)	%	Change (pp)
Hamilton Centre	█ New Democratic	Hold	21.97	−15.97			54.28	−2.98
Kanata—Carleton	█ Liberal	Gain	35.14	−16.24			34.53	20.44
Scarborough—Guildwood	█ Liberal	Hold	21.84	−19.79			36.55	−9.75
Kitchener Centre	█ Green	Gain	27.28	−18.94			47.99	35.19
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex	█ Progressive Conservative	Hold	30.25	−17.08			56.85	−1.96
Milton	█ Progressive Conservative	Hold	27.72	−14.99			47.04	3.97
Bay of Quinte	█ Progressive Conservative	Hold	38.45	−7.46			38.69	−10.61

Candidates

Incumbents not standing for re-election

As of the candidate nomination deadline, 12 incumbent MPPs chose not to run in the 2025 Ontario election:

Electoral district	Incumbent at dissolution	Date announced
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound		Rick Byers	September 10, 2024
Carleton		Goldie Ghamari	January 31, 2025
Eglinton—Lawrence		Robin Martin	November 1, 2024
Hamilton Mountain		Monique Taylor	September 9, 2024
Mississauga East—Cooksville		Kaleed Rasheed	October 11, 2024
Nepean		Lisa MacLeod	September 13, 2024
Ottawa Centre		Joel Harden	March 15, 2024
Parkdale—High Park		Bhutila Karpoche	September 29, 2024
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke		John Yakabuski	November 20, 2024
Sault Ste. Marie		Ross Romano	December 12, 2024
Wellington—Halton Hills		Ted Arnott	October 15, 2024
York South—Weston		Michael Ford	January 24, 2025

Campaign

2025 Ontario general election

Ford's PCs launched their campaign in Windsor, in front of the Ambassador Bridge. Stiles' NDP launched their campaign in Toronto, while Crombie's Liberals launched their campaign in Barrie. Schreiner's Greens launched their campaign with a speech in Queen's Park.

Contests

Candidates nominated	Ridings	Party
PC	Green	NDP	Lib	NB	Ont	Ind	Ltn	NOTA	Mod	Oth	Totals
3	1	1	1		1								3
4	5	5	5	5	5								20
5	30	30	30	30	30	24		1		1	1	3	150
6	44	44	44	44	43	40	17	9	5	4	4	10	264
7	24	24	24	24	24	24	13	18	2	4	3	8	168
8	17	17	17	17	17	17	11	9	8	4	3	16	136
9	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	2		1	2	27
Total	124	124	124	123	123	108	44	41	17	13	12	39	768

Issues

In January 2025, Ford began to state that he would need a "clear mandate" from voters to respond to the tariffs on Canadian imports to the United States threatened by the newly re-elected President Donald Trump. A video taken on the day of the 2024 US presidential election was later released showing Ford stating that he was "100% happy" that Trump won, until Trump threatened tariffs on Canada.

Party slogans

<table><thead><tr><th>Party</th><th>English</th><th>French (translation)</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>█ PC</td><td>"Protect Ontario"</td><td>Unofficial: "Protéger l'Ontario"</td></tr><tr><td>█ New Democratic</td><td>"On Your Side"</td><td>"À vos côtés"</td></tr><tr><td>█ Liberal</td><td>"More For You"</td><td>"Plus Pour Vous"</td></tr><tr><td>█ Green</td><td>"People Before Profits"</td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>

Debates

Date	Time (EST)	Organiser(s)	Moderator	Location	Language	Participants
PC	NDP	Lib.	Green
February 14, 2025	1:00 p.m.	Federation of Northern Ontario Municipalities	Markus Schwabe	North Bay	English	Present Ford	Present Stiles	Present Crombie	Present Schreiner
February 17, 2025	6:30 p.m.	Broadcast Consortium	David Common	Toronto	English	Present Ford	Present Stiles	Present Crombie	Present Schreiner
February 19, 2025	8:00 p.m.	TFO and Radio-Canada	Sandra Padovani and Sébastien St-François	Ottawa	French	Present Mulroney	Present Gélinas	Present Collard	Present Petersen

Results

2025 Ontario general election

<table><thead><tr><th>Party</th><th>Leader</th><th>Candidates</th><th>Votes</th><th>Seats</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>#</td><td>±</td><td>%</td><td>Change (pp)</td><td>2022</td><td>2025</td><td>±</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Progressive Conservative</td><td>Doug Ford</td><td>124</td><td>2,159,060</td><td>239,155</td><td>42.99</td><td>2.16</td><td></td><td> </td><td>83</td><td>80 / 124</td><td>3</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Liberal</td><td>Bonnie Crombie</td><td>123</td><td>1,505,093</td><td>381,028</td><td>29.97</td><td>6.06</td><td></td><td> </td><td>8</td><td>14 / 124</td><td>6</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>New Democratic</td><td>Marit Stiles</td><td>123</td><td>931,016</td><td>185,367</td><td>18.54</td><td>-5.20</td><td> </td><td></td><td>31</td><td>27 / 124</td><td>4</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Green</td><td>Mike Schreiner</td><td>124</td><td>242,320</td><td>37,686</td><td>4.83</td><td>-1.13</td><td> </td><td></td><td>1</td><td>2 / 124</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>New Blue</td><td>Jim Karahalios</td><td>108</td><td>80,033</td><td>47,429</td><td>1.59</td><td>-1.12</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td> </td><td>Independent</td><td>41</td><td>53,926</td><td>28,594</td><td>1.07</td><td>0.53</td><td></td><td> </td><td>1</td><td>1 / 124</td><td></td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Ontario Party</td><td>Derek Sloan</td><td>44</td><td>26,007</td><td>57,611</td><td>0.52</td><td>-1.26</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Libertarian</td><td>Mark Snow</td><td>17</td><td>7,672</td><td>2,430</td><td>0.15</td><td>0.04</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>None of the Above</td><td>Greg Vezina</td><td>13</td><td>4,724</td><td>1,478</td><td>0.09</td><td>-0.04</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Communist</td><td>Drew Garvie</td><td>7</td><td>2,294</td><td>194</td><td>0.05</td><td>0.01</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Moderate</td><td>Yuri Duboisky</td><td>12</td><td>1,857</td><td>239</td><td>0.04</td><td>0.01</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Centrist</td><td>Mansoor Qureshi</td><td>5</td><td>1,601</td><td>1,306</td><td>0.03</td><td>0.02</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Freedom</td><td>Paul McKeever</td><td>5</td><td>1,376</td><td>727</td><td>0.03</td><td>-0.01</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Stop the New Sex-Ed Agenda</td><td>John Kanary</td><td>2</td><td>1,353</td><td>1,013</td><td>0.03</td><td>0.02</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Populist</td><td>Jim Torma</td><td>4</td><td>709</td><td>1,929</td><td>0.01</td><td>-0.05</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Northern Ontario</td><td>Jacques Ouellette</td><td>3</td><td>656</td><td>373</td><td>0.01</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Ontario Alliance</td><td>Joshua E. Eriksen</td><td>5</td><td>623</td><td>515</td><td>0.01</td><td>0.01</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Progress Party Ontario</td><td>Sana Ahmad</td><td>2</td><td>602</td><td>602</td><td>0.01</td><td>New</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Canadians' Choice Party</td><td>Bahman Yazdanfar</td><td>2</td><td>586</td><td>18</td><td>0.01</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Special Needs</td><td>Lionel Wayne Poizner</td><td>2</td><td>392</td><td>102</td><td>0.01</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Electoral Reform Party</td><td>Peter House</td><td>2</td><td>242</td><td>60</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Consensus Ontario</td><td></td><td>did not campaign</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Confederation of Regions</td><td></td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Freedom of Choice, Peace & Justice Party</td><td></td></tr><tr><td></td><td>People's Political Party</td><td></td></tr><tr><td></td><td>People's Progressive Common Front</td><td></td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Public Benefit Party</td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Total</td><td>768</td><td>5,022,142</td><td>100.00%</td></tr><tr><td>Rejected ballots</td><td>34,791</td><td>4,274</td></tr><tr><td>Turnout</td><td>5,056,933</td><td>324,457</td><td>45.22%</td><td>1.16</td></tr><tr><td>Registered electors</td><td>11,183,586</td><td>443,160</td></tr></tbody></table>

Synopsis of results

  = open seat   = winning candidate was in previous Legislature   = incumbent had switched allegiance   = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature   = incumbency arose from byelection gain   = previously incumbent in another riding   = other incumbents renominated   = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada   = multiple candidates

Turnout, winning shares and swings

<table><thead><tr><th>Riding and winning party</th><th>Turnout</th><th>Vote share</th><th>Swing</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>%</td><td>Change (pp)</td><td>%</td><td>Change (pp)</td><td>To</td><td>Change (pp)</td></tr><tr><td> </td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Ajax</td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>Gain</td><td>41.56</td><td>1.60</td><td></td><td> </td><td>44.96</td><td>8.98</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-2.76</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Algoma—Manitoulin</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Gain</td><td>48.93</td><td>6.46</td><td></td><td> </td><td>41.33</td><td>5.85</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>-12.30</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>38.30</td><td>0.11</td><td></td><td> </td><td>57.19</td><td>3.93</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>0.39</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Barrie—Innisfil</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>41.30</td><td>1.68</td><td></td><td> </td><td>54.11</td><td>3.87</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>4.82</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>45.90</td><td>-0.84</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.88</td><td>7.77</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>6.76</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Bay of Quinte</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>48.25</td><td>2.34</td><td></td><td> </td><td>44.14</td><td>-5.17</td><td> </td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>-1.54</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Beaches—East York</td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>Hold</td><td>49.97</td><td>0.39</td><td></td><td> </td><td>51.17</td><td>15.75</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>13.01</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Brampton Centre</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>36.71</td><td>0.04</td><td></td><td> </td><td>51.85</td><td>10.49</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>14.19</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Brampton East</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>34.81</td><td>-1.54</td><td> </td><td></td><td>51.77</td><td>7.45</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>13.81</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Brampton North</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>38.48</td><td>0.02</td><td></td><td> </td><td>57.52</td><td>12.53</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>5.50</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Brampton South</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>36.10</td><td>0.30</td><td></td><td> </td><td>52.53</td><td>7.15</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>1.21</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Brampton West</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>34.77</td><td>0.58</td><td></td><td> </td><td>56.58</td><td>8.74</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>1.23</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Brantford—Brant</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>43.41</td><td>1.35</td><td></td><td> </td><td>47.23</td><td>3.06</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>3.95</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>49.97</td><td>2.95</td><td></td><td> </td><td>44.14</td><td>-4.42</td><td> </td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>-6.77</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Burlington</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>53.59</td><td>1.96</td><td></td><td> </td><td>43.14</td><td>0.59</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-6.53</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Cambridge</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>45.82</td><td>2.60</td><td></td><td> </td><td>43.66</td><td>6.63</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>8.65</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Carleton</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>47.10</td><td>-1.69</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.61</td><td>1.47</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-5.11</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Chatham-Kent—Leamington</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>48.33</td><td>3.46</td><td></td><td> </td><td>52.03</td><td>4.50</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>8.82</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Davenport</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>46.18</td><td>2.87</td><td></td><td> </td><td>57.07</td><td>0.00</td><td></td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>-0.68</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Don Valley East</td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>Hold</td><td>40.08</td><td>-2.29</td><td> </td><td></td><td>56.65</td><td>12.79</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>6.40</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Don Valley North</td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>Gain</td><td>38.04</td><td>-2.72</td><td> </td><td></td><td>43.77</td><td>6.94</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-8.38</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Don Valley West</td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>Hold</td><td>42.43</td><td>-6.93</td><td> </td><td></td><td>57.21</td><td>13.20</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>8.98</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Dufferin—Caledon</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>42.79</td><td>0.72</td><td></td><td> </td><td>52.49</td><td>2.82</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-1.87</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Durham</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>44.09</td><td>0.38</td><td></td><td> </td><td>50.48</td><td>4.63</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>0.06</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Eglinton—Lawrence</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>46.73</td><td>0.00</td><td></td><td></td><td>48.48</td><td>6.19</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-0.46</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Elgin—Middlesex—London</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>49.32</td><td>4.54</td><td></td><td> </td><td>55.78</td><td>4.70</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>6.85</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Essex</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>50.34</td><td>3.13</td><td></td><td> </td><td>55.61</td><td>4.51</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>5.52</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Etobicoke Centre</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>48.11</td><td>-0.43</td><td> </td><td></td><td>48.10</td><td>-0.49</td><td> </td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>-4.13</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Etobicoke—Lakeshore</td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>Gain</td><td>46.75</td><td>1.47</td><td></td><td> </td><td>48.52</td><td>12.80</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-4.87</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Etobicoke North</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>34.12</td><td>0.14</td><td></td><td> </td><td>59.40</td><td>3.89</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-0.52</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Flamborough—Glanbrook</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>47.96</td><td>1.05</td><td></td><td> </td><td>49.38</td><td>3.18</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>6.63</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Glengarry—Prescott—Russell</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>47.38</td><td>1.82</td><td></td><td> </td><td>51.36</td><td>9.31</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>5.89</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Guelph</td><td></td><td>Green</td><td>Hold</td><td>51.12</td><td>1.73</td><td></td><td> </td><td>56.94</td><td>2.49</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>-0.52</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Haldimand—Norfolk</td><td></td><td>Ind</td><td>Hold</td><td>54.19</td><td>5.31</td><td></td><td> </td><td>63.65</td><td>28.60</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Ind</td><td>17.31</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>48.18</td><td>0.05</td><td></td><td> </td><td>52.03</td><td>-0.28</td><td> </td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>0.85</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Hamilton Centre</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>42.29</td><td>4.36</td><td></td><td> </td><td>38.36</td><td>-18.90</td><td> </td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>-10.67</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Hamilton East—Stoney Creek</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>43.82</td><td>2.87</td><td></td><td> </td><td>42.07</td><td>7.48</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>8.61</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Hamilton Mountain</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Gain</td><td>46.02</td><td>4.54</td><td></td><td> </td><td>36.16</td><td>6.15</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>-12.47</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>52.47</td><td>4.02</td><td></td><td> </td><td>38.87</td><td>-1.55</td><td> </td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>-0.83</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Hastings—Lennox and Addington</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>49.00</td><td>1.88</td><td></td><td> </td><td>48.58</td><td>1.03</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>4.25</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Humber River—Black Creek</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>34.65</td><td>1.50</td><td></td><td> </td><td>35.33</td><td>0.84</td><td></td><td> </td><td>NDP</td><td>2.06</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Huron—Bruce</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>54.86</td><td>0.70</td><td></td><td> </td><td>50.02</td><td>-1.95</td><td> </td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>-5.63</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Kanata—Carleton</td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>Gain</td><td>50.40</td><td>-0.98</td><td> </td><td></td><td>47.91</td><td>24.49</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>7.05</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Kenora—Rainy River</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>47.18</td><td>6.97</td><td></td><td> </td><td>59.93</td><td>0.35</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>0.73</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>King—Vaughan</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>39.89</td><td>0.09</td><td></td><td> </td><td>64.17</td><td>6.86</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>3.68</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Kingston and the Islands</td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>Hold</td><td>49.74</td><td>2.90</td><td></td><td> </td><td>61.57</td><td>23.91</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>21.37</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Kitchener Centre</td><td></td><td>Green</td><td>Gain</td><td>46.97</td><td>0.75</td><td></td><td> </td><td>51.39</td><td>38.59</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>-15.65</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Kitchener—Conestoga</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>51.06</td><td>2.18</td><td></td><td> </td><td>41.54</td><td>1.51</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>5.94</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Kitchener South—Hespeler</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>43.96</td><td>1.80</td><td></td><td> </td><td>45.42</td><td>5.51</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>7.02</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Lambton—Kent—Middlesex</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>51.03</td><td>3.75</td><td></td><td> </td><td>53.55</td><td>-5.25</td><td> </td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>0.68</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>51.33</td><td>1.31</td><td></td><td> </td><td>49.10</td><td>-1.02</td><td> </td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>4.56</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>51.25</td><td>2.07</td><td></td><td> </td><td>55.12</td><td>-2.57</td><td> </td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>-5.82</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>London—Fanshawe</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>41.27</td><td>4.71</td><td></td><td> </td><td>47.59</td><td>0.53</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>-0.46</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>London North Centre</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>46.48</td><td>4.35</td><td></td><td> </td><td>46.71</td><td>7.06</td><td></td><td> </td><td>NDP</td><td>2.36</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>London West</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>49.97</td><td>1.35</td><td></td><td> </td><td>49.21</td><td>4.08</td><td></td><td> </td><td>NDP</td><td>1.49</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Markham—Stouffville</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>43.39</td><td>-1.12</td><td> </td><td></td><td>50.64</td><td>2.21</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-1.88</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Markham—Thornhill</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>37.20</td><td>-2.48</td><td> </td><td></td><td>53.58</td><td>4.76</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>1.29</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Markham—Unionville</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>35.88</td><td>-3.25</td><td> </td><td></td><td>61.16</td><td>4.74</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-0.24</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Milton</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>41.98</td><td>-0.72</td><td> </td><td></td><td>47.43</td><td>4.36</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-1.34</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga Centre</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>38.15</td><td>0.01</td><td></td><td> </td><td>46.79</td><td>3.19</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-2.37</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga East—Cooksville</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>41.45</td><td>1.87</td><td></td><td> </td><td>46.43</td><td>5.51</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-2.86</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga—Erin Mills</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>41.03</td><td>-0.67</td><td> </td><td></td><td>44.26</td><td>2.12</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-3.36</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga—Lakeshore</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>46.17</td><td>-0.77</td><td> </td><td></td><td>47.54</td><td>2.45</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-3.46</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga—Malton</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>36.70</td><td>0.18</td><td></td><td> </td><td>50.94</td><td>6.05</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-4.15</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga—Streetsville</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>44.31</td><td>1.64</td><td></td><td> </td><td>47.71</td><td>2.13</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-3.84</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Nepean</td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>Gain</td><td>45.28</td><td>-0.60</td><td> </td><td></td><td>48.53</td><td>14.07</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-7.04</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Newmarket—Aurora</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>43.79</td><td>-0.62</td><td> </td><td></td><td>47.56</td><td>2.59</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-5.06</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Niagara Centre</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>48.38</td><td>5.01</td><td></td><td> </td><td>42.18</td><td>2.48</td><td></td><td> </td><td>NDP</td><td>0.14</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Niagara Falls</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>45.01</td><td>1.41</td><td></td><td> </td><td>54.95</td><td>6.87</td><td></td><td> </td><td>NDP</td><td>0.95</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Niagara West</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>54.90</td><td>1.73</td><td></td><td> </td><td>51.13</td><td>6.20</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>2.20</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Nickel Belt</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>50.51</td><td>4.99</td><td></td><td> </td><td>48.37</td><td>-2.41</td><td> </td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>-2.91</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Nipissing</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>48.93</td><td>0.65</td><td></td><td> </td><td>54.83</td><td>4.62</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>1.53</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Northumberland—Peterborough South</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>52.30</td><td>0.58</td><td></td><td> </td><td>52.11</td><td>1.18</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-3.72</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Oakville</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>49.29</td><td>-1.00</td><td> </td><td></td><td>48.01</td><td>2.57</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-3.21</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Oakville North—Burlington</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>46.55</td><td>-0.34</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.70</td><td>2.51</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-2.79</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Orléans</td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>Hold</td><td>47.70</td><td>1.11</td><td></td><td> </td><td>54.18</td><td>7.92</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>-1.33</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Oshawa</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>41.63</td><td>2.15</td><td></td><td> </td><td>45.87</td><td>3.80</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>-0.65</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Ottawa Centre</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>49.09</td><td>-1.65</td><td> </td><td></td><td>55.70</td><td>1.36</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-0.36</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Ottawa South</td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>Hold</td><td>42.49</td><td>0.01</td><td></td><td> </td><td>53.24</td><td>8.10</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>3.00</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Ottawa—Vanier</td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>Hold</td><td>38.82</td><td>-0.60</td><td> </td><td></td><td>51.45</td><td>9.73</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>3.84</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Ottawa West—Nepean</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>45.16</td><td>-2.27</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.33</td><td>11.79</td><td></td><td> </td><td>NDP</td><td>3.11</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Oxford</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>48.62</td><td>2.17</td><td></td><td> </td><td>55.26</td><td>5.25</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>5.23</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Parkdale—High Park</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>51.82</td><td>1.56</td><td></td><td> </td><td>45.35</td><td>-8.61</td><td> </td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>-4.23</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Parry Sound—Muskoka</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>53.71</td><td>0.62</td><td></td><td> </td><td>46.80</td><td>1.43</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Green</td><td>-0.53</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Perth—Wellington</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>52.68</td><td>2.59</td><td></td><td> </td><td>47.40</td><td>0.59</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>4.71</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Peterborough—Kawartha</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>52.18</td><td>0.72</td><td></td><td> </td><td>40.68</td><td>2.10</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-3.07</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Pickering—Uxbridge</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>45.64</td><td>0.35</td><td></td><td> </td><td>48.06</td><td>3.63</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-5.48</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>48.95</td><td>2.66</td><td></td><td> </td><td>54.83</td><td>-6.29</td><td> </td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>1.09</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Richmond Hill</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>35.56</td><td>-0.58</td><td> </td><td></td><td>55.43</td><td>3.19</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-1.18</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>St. Catharines</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>49.88</td><td>3.22</td><td></td><td> </td><td>42.12</td><td>2.41</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>-0.35</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Sarnia—Lambton</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>50.52</td><td>3.83</td><td></td><td> </td><td>51.32</td><td>-1.40</td><td> </td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>1.97</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Sault Ste. Marie</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>49.92</td><td>5.43</td><td></td><td> </td><td>43.07</td><td>-3.82</td><td> </td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>-2.69</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough—Agincourt</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>37.34</td><td>-2.08</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.39</td><td>0.36</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-2.32</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough Centre</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>38.65</td><td>-2.60</td><td> </td><td></td><td>44.05</td><td>8.05</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-5.98</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough—Guildwood</td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>Hold</td><td>38.63</td><td>-3.00</td><td> </td><td></td><td>51.02</td><td>4.71</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>-3.12</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough North</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>37.00</td><td>-2.26</td><td> </td><td></td><td>52.98</td><td>4.67</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-2.57</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough—Rouge Park</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>42.43</td><td>-2.68</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.17</td><td>3.89</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-6.26</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough Southwest</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>41.73</td><td>-2.61</td><td> </td><td></td><td>42.89</td><td>-4.78</td><td> </td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>-1.52</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Simcoe—Grey</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>44.18</td><td>0.66</td><td></td><td> </td><td>53.59</td><td>2.41</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-5.17</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Simcoe North</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>46.11</td><td>-0.13</td><td> </td><td></td><td>51.38</td><td>1.58</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>3.89</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Spadina—Fort York</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>41.95</td><td>7.60</td><td></td><td> </td><td>45.00</td><td>-1.06</td><td> </td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>-1.80</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>42.98</td><td>1.34</td><td></td><td> </td><td>61.57</td><td>4.07</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-0.68</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Sudbury</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>47.41</td><td>2.81</td><td></td><td> </td><td>46.74</td><td>5.89</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>-4.82</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Thornhill</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>39.93</td><td>0.05</td><td></td><td> </td><td>63.99</td><td>10.70</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>0.68</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Thunder Bay—Atikokan</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>49.28</td><td>6.19</td><td></td><td> </td><td>45.71</td><td>9.41</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>3.53</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Thunder Bay—Superior North</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>48.91</td><td>5.67</td><td></td><td> </td><td>40.57</td><td>6.46</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>-1.59</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Timiskaming—Cochrane</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>48.43</td><td>5.82</td><td></td><td> </td><td>43.96</td><td>1.22</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>-1.32</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Timmins</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>41.91</td><td>-1.62</td><td> </td><td></td><td>68.41</td><td>3.61</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>4.82</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Toronto Centre</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>42.59</td><td>2.77</td><td></td><td> </td><td>44.50</td><td>0.73</td><td></td><td> </td><td>NDP</td><td>0.27</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Toronto—Danforth</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>49.76</td><td>0.32</td><td></td><td> </td><td>60.40</td><td>5.00</td><td></td><td> </td><td>NDP</td><td>0.57</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Toronto—St. Paul's</td><td></td><td>Lib</td><td>Gain</td><td>46.91</td><td>-1.17</td><td> </td><td></td><td>40.87</td><td>7.20</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-3.60</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>University—Rosedale</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>44.45</td><td>1.25</td><td></td><td> </td><td>45.50</td><td>7.95</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-1.69</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Vaughan—Woodbridge</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>42.56</td><td>-1.47</td><td> </td><td></td><td>65.13</td><td>11.35</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>4.26</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Waterloo</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>51.58</td><td>3.17</td><td></td><td> </td><td>50.23</td><td>4.34</td><td></td><td> </td><td>NDP</td><td>0.96</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Wellington—Halton Hills</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>50.69</td><td>2.32</td><td></td><td> </td><td>45.65</td><td>-4.96</td><td> </td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>4.12</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Whitby</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>46.12</td><td>1.24</td><td></td><td> </td><td>48.11</td><td>0.73</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>7.44</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Willowdale</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>37.53</td><td>-2.31</td><td> </td><td></td><td>46.29</td><td>1.63</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-3.20</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Windsor—Tecumseh</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>45.18</td><td>4.57</td><td></td><td> </td><td>48.15</td><td>2.26</td><td></td><td> </td><td>NDP</td><td>-0.54</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Windsor West</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>38.71</td><td>5.09</td><td></td><td> </td><td>52.12</td><td>9.93</td><td></td><td> </td><td>PC</td><td>-2.05</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>York Centre</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>39.94</td><td>0.99</td><td></td><td> </td><td>54.06</td><td>8.03</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-1.85</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>York—Simcoe</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>40.29</td><td>1.29</td><td></td><td> </td><td>59.40</td><td>2.65</td><td></td><td> </td><td>Lib</td><td>-3.33</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>York South—Weston</td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>Hold</td><td>38.60</td><td>0.49</td><td></td><td> </td><td>35.22</td><td>-1.38</td><td> </td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>4.19</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Kiiwetinoong</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>27.00</td><td>-3.40</td><td> </td><td></td><td>62.19</td><td>4.62</td><td></td><td> </td><td>NDP</td><td>2.24</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Mushkegowuk—James Bay</td><td></td><td>NDP</td><td>Hold</td><td>41.40</td><td>1.99</td><td></td><td> </td><td>45.44</td><td>-1.74</td><td> </td><td></td><td>PC</td><td>-4.79</td><td> </td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>

Changes in party vote shares

<table><thead><tr><th>Riding</th><th>Green</th><th>Liberal</th><th>NDP</th><th>PC</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>%</td><td>Change (pp)</td><td>%</td><td>Change (pp)</td><td>%</td><td>Change (pp)</td><td>%</td><td>Change (pp)</td></tr><tr><td> </td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Ajax</td><td>2.10</td><td>-1.36</td><td> </td><td></td><td>44.96</td><td>8.98</td><td></td><td> </td><td>7.01</td><td>-9.68</td><td> </td><td></td><td>44.16</td><td>3.47</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Algoma—Manitoulin</td><td>2.48</td><td>-0.63</td><td> </td><td></td><td>14.49</td><td>5.78</td><td></td><td> </td><td>27.19</td><td>-18.74</td><td> </td><td></td><td>41.33</td><td>5.85</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill</td><td>1.77</td><td>-2.12</td><td> </td><td></td><td>33.86</td><td>3.14</td><td></td><td> </td><td>5.61</td><td>-2.07</td><td> </td><td></td><td>57.19</td><td>3.93</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Barrie—Innisfil</td><td>4.06</td><td>-2.25</td><td> </td><td></td><td>26.05</td><td>7.95</td><td></td><td> </td><td>13.36</td><td>-5.78</td><td> </td><td></td><td>54.11</td><td>3.87</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte</td><td>4.07</td><td>-0.23</td><td> </td><td></td><td>35.61</td><td>-5.74</td><td> </td><td></td><td>6.73</td><td>-1.10</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.88</td><td>7.77</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Bay of Quinte</td><td>3.47</td><td>-2.80</td><td> </td><td></td><td>31.38</td><td>12.93</td><td></td><td> </td><td>18.83</td><td>-2.09</td><td> </td><td></td><td>44.14</td><td>-5.17</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Beaches—East York</td><td>3.08</td><td>-7.14</td><td> </td><td></td><td>51.17</td><td>15.75</td><td></td><td> </td><td>22.94</td><td>-10.27</td><td> </td><td></td><td>21.38</td><td>2.84</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Brampton Centre</td><td>3.69</td><td>0.09</td><td></td><td> </td><td>33.92</td><td>8.91</td><td></td><td> </td><td>8.77</td><td>-17.89</td><td> </td><td></td><td>51.85</td><td>10.49</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Brampton East</td><td>2.66</td><td>0.74</td><td></td><td> </td><td>29.86</td><td>8.74</td><td></td><td> </td><td>10.89</td><td>-20.17</td><td> </td><td></td><td>51.77</td><td>7.45</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Brampton North</td><td>2.44</td><td>-0.54</td><td> </td><td></td><td>30.30</td><td>1.53</td><td></td><td> </td><td>8.10</td><td>-11.71</td><td> </td><td></td><td>57.52</td><td>12.53</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Brampton South</td><td>3.11</td><td>-0.48</td><td> </td><td></td><td>32.55</td><td>4.73</td><td></td><td> </td><td>8.24</td><td>-10.90</td><td> </td><td></td><td>52.53</td><td>7.15</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Brampton West</td><td>2.61</td><td>-0.16</td><td> </td><td></td><td>32.51</td><td>6.27</td><td></td><td> </td><td>5.89</td><td>-14.86</td><td> </td><td></td><td>56.58</td><td>8.74</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Brantford—Brant</td><td>5.08</td><td>-1.68</td><td> </td><td></td><td>20.25</td><td>7.30</td><td></td><td> </td><td>23.46</td><td>-4.83</td><td> </td><td></td><td>47.23</td><td>3.06</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound</td><td>12.46</td><td>3.61</td><td></td><td> </td><td>29.44</td><td>9.11</td><td></td><td> </td><td>7.91</td><td>-6.01</td><td> </td><td></td><td>44.14</td><td>-4.42</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Burlington</td><td>3.42</td><td>-3.27</td><td> </td><td></td><td>43.07</td><td>13.65</td><td></td><td> </td><td>8.03</td><td>-9.61</td><td> </td><td></td><td>43.14</td><td>0.59</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Cambridge</td><td>5.72</td><td>-3.25</td><td> </td><td></td><td>34.39</td><td>13.69</td><td></td><td> </td><td>11.53</td><td>-10.66</td><td> </td><td></td><td>43.66</td><td>6.63</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Carleton</td><td>1.81</td><td>-3.67</td><td> </td><td></td><td>38.57</td><td>11.68</td><td></td><td> </td><td>7.14</td><td>-8.53</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.61</td><td>1.47</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Chatham-Kent—Leamington</td><td>2.90</td><td>-0.47</td><td> </td><td></td><td>18.37</td><td>18.37</td><td></td><td> </td><td>17.14</td><td>-13.13</td><td> </td><td></td><td>52.03</td><td>4.50</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Davenport</td><td>3.05</td><td>-1.77</td><td> </td><td></td><td>20.57</td><td>1.36</td><td></td><td> </td><td>57.07</td><td>0.00</td><td></td><td></td><td>17.88</td><td>3.80</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Don Valley East</td><td>2.85</td><td>-1.21</td><td> </td><td></td><td>56.65</td><td>12.79</td><td></td><td> </td><td>7.67</td><td>-7.84</td><td> </td><td></td><td>32.17</td><td>-0.02</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Don Valley North</td><td>2.57</td><td>-1.15</td><td> </td><td></td><td>43.77</td><td>6.94</td><td></td><td> </td><td>5.11</td><td>-4.76</td><td> </td><td></td><td>37.58</td><td>-9.82</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Don Valley West</td><td>3.28</td><td>-2.23</td><td> </td><td></td><td>57.21</td><td>13.20</td><td></td><td> </td><td>3.95</td><td>-5.27</td><td> </td><td></td><td>33.89</td><td>-4.76</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Dufferin—Caledon</td><td>12.39</td><td>-1.74</td><td> </td><td></td><td>25.38</td><td>6.56</td><td></td><td> </td><td>6.41</td><td>-4.36</td><td> </td><td></td><td>52.49</td><td>2.82</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Durham</td><td>2.40</td><td>-1.62</td><td> </td><td></td><td>29.39</td><td>4.50</td><td></td><td> </td><td>14.29</td><td>-4.30</td><td> </td><td></td><td>50.48</td><td>4.63</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Eglinton—Lawrence</td><td>3.45</td><td>-0.41</td><td> </td><td></td><td>48.07</td><td>7.11</td><td></td><td> </td><td>–</td><td>-9.68</td><td> </td><td></td><td>48.48</td><td>6.19</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Elgin—Middlesex—London</td><td>5.70</td><td>1.03</td><td></td><td> </td><td>24.47</td><td>7.07</td><td></td><td> </td><td>9.20</td><td>-9.00</td><td> </td><td></td><td>55.78</td><td>4.70</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Essex</td><td>2.32</td><td>0.29</td><td></td><td> </td><td>15.73</td><td>7.14</td><td></td><td> </td><td>21.76</td><td>-6.52</td><td> </td><td></td><td>55.61</td><td>4.51</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Etobicoke Centre</td><td>2.16</td><td>-2.33</td><td> </td><td></td><td>41.83</td><td>7.78</td><td></td><td> </td><td>4.65</td><td>-3.96</td><td> </td><td></td><td>48.10</td><td>-0.49</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Etobicoke—Lakeshore</td><td>2.35</td><td>-2.40</td><td> </td><td></td><td>48.52</td><td>12.80</td><td></td><td> </td><td>7.01</td><td>-10.91</td><td> </td><td></td><td>40.54</td><td>3.06</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Etobicoke North</td><td>2.03</td><td>-0.72</td><td> </td><td></td><td>28.38</td><td>4.94</td><td></td><td> </td><td>7.96</td><td>-5.15</td><td> </td><td></td><td>59.40</td><td>3.89</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Flamborough—Glanbrook</td><td>3.99</td><td>-1.45</td><td> </td><td></td><td>31.42</td><td>11.01</td><td></td><td> </td><td>12.65</td><td>-10.09</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.38</td><td>3.18</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Glengarry—Prescott—Russell</td><td>2.27</td><td>-1.49</td><td> </td><td></td><td>37.03</td><td>-2.46</td><td> </td><td></td><td>4.97</td><td>-3.56</td><td> </td><td></td><td>51.36</td><td>9.31</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Guelph</td><td>56.94</td><td>2.49</td><td></td><td> </td><td>11.43</td><td>-1.86</td><td> </td><td></td><td>5.82</td><td>-2.24</td><td> </td><td></td><td>23.92</td><td>3.52</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Haldimand—Norfolk</td><td>1.55</td><td>-2.50</td><td> </td><td></td><td>5.52</td><td>-1.81</td><td> </td><td></td><td>4.06</td><td>-9.83</td><td> </td><td></td><td>24.48</td><td>-6.01</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock</td><td>5.10</td><td>-2.45</td><td> </td><td></td><td>22.97</td><td>9.50</td><td></td><td> </td><td>13.73</td><td>-1.99</td><td> </td><td></td><td>52.03</td><td>-0.28</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Hamilton Centre</td><td>4.91</td><td>-3.86</td><td> </td><td></td><td>21.31</td><td>8.28</td><td></td><td> </td><td>38.36</td><td>-18.90</td><td> </td><td></td><td>18.92</td><td>2.45</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Hamilton East—Stoney Creek</td><td>5.26</td><td>0.31</td><td></td><td> </td><td>31.61</td><td>10.54</td><td></td><td> </td><td>17.60</td><td>-9.74</td><td> </td><td></td><td>42.07</td><td>7.48</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Hamilton Mountain</td><td>4.00</td><td>-1.62</td><td> </td><td></td><td>30.93</td><td>15.36</td><td></td><td> </td><td>26.02</td><td>-18.79</td><td> </td><td></td><td>36.16</td><td>6.15</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas</td><td>3.45</td><td>-1.92</td><td> </td><td></td><td>22.80</td><td>4.62</td><td></td><td> </td><td>38.87</td><td>-1.55</td><td> </td><td></td><td>33.11</td><td>0.12</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Hastings—Lennox and Addington</td><td>3.30</td><td>-1.23</td><td> </td><td></td><td>29.75</td><td>11.15</td><td></td><td> </td><td>11.54</td><td>-7.47</td><td> </td><td></td><td>48.58</td><td>1.03</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Humber River—Black Creek</td><td>1.62</td><td>-0.25</td><td> </td><td></td><td>27.38</td><td>-3.28</td><td> </td><td></td><td>35.33</td><td>0.84</td><td></td><td> </td><td>34.55</td><td>4.80</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Huron—Bruce</td><td>5.58</td><td>1.48</td><td></td><td> </td><td>28.02</td><td>9.31</td><td></td><td> </td><td>11.74</td><td>-4.64</td><td> </td><td></td><td>50.02</td><td>-1.95</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Kanata—Carleton</td><td>2.52</td><td>-2.97</td><td> </td><td></td><td>47.91</td><td>24.49</td><td></td><td> </td><td>7.18</td><td>-17.06</td><td> </td><td></td><td>40.65</td><td>-2.96</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Kenora—Rainy River</td><td>1.91</td><td>-1.88</td><td> </td><td></td><td>17.46</td><td>6.11</td><td></td><td> </td><td>18.81</td><td>-1.11</td><td> </td><td></td><td>59.93</td><td>0.35</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>King—Vaughan</td><td>2.10</td><td>-0.60</td><td> </td><td></td><td>28.01</td><td>-0.49</td><td> </td><td></td><td>3.86</td><td>-3.09</td><td> </td><td></td><td>64.17</td><td>6.86</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Kingston and the Islands</td><td>2.21</td><td>-1.07</td><td> </td><td></td><td>61.57</td><td>23.91</td><td></td><td> </td><td>12.32</td><td>-18.83</td><td> </td><td></td><td>22.24</td><td>-2.32</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Kitchener Centre</td><td>51.39</td><td>38.59</td><td></td><td> </td><td>14.28</td><td>-0.44</td><td> </td><td></td><td>6.84</td><td>-33.75</td><td> </td><td></td><td>24.22</td><td>-2.45</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Kitchener—Conestoga</td><td>5.46</td><td>-0.70</td><td> </td><td></td><td>29.49</td><td>11.96</td><td></td><td> </td><td>18.51</td><td>-10.36</td><td> </td><td></td><td>41.54</td><td>1.51</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Kitchener South—Hespeler</td><td>8.75</td><td>-2.82</td><td> </td><td></td><td>25.72</td><td>9.40</td><td></td><td> </td><td>17.90</td><td>-8.54</td><td> </td><td></td><td>45.42</td><td>5.51</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Lambton—Kent—Middlesex</td><td>3.55</td><td>-0.43</td><td> </td><td></td><td>26.24</td><td>16.66</td><td></td><td> </td><td>12.23</td><td>-6.61</td><td> </td><td></td><td>53.55</td><td>-5.25</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston</td><td>3.35</td><td>-3.40</td><td> </td><td></td><td>32.79</td><td>17.04</td><td></td><td> </td><td>10.56</td><td>-10.14</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.10</td><td>-1.02</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes</td><td>4.23</td><td>-1.82</td><td> </td><td></td><td>27.19</td><td>9.07</td><td></td><td> </td><td>9.85</td><td>-3.72</td><td> </td><td></td><td>55.12</td><td>-2.57</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>London—Fanshawe</td><td>2.65</td><td>-0.85</td><td> </td><td></td><td>12.40</td><td>2.03</td><td></td><td> </td><td>47.59</td><td>0.53</td><td></td><td> </td><td>34.21</td><td>1.45</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>London North Centre</td><td>3.32</td><td>-1.47</td><td> </td><td></td><td>15.63</td><td>-5.29</td><td> </td><td></td><td>46.71</td><td>7.06</td><td></td><td> </td><td>32.64</td><td>2.35</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>London West</td><td>1.89</td><td>-1.54</td><td> </td><td></td><td>11.09</td><td>-1.10</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.21</td><td>4.08</td><td></td><td> </td><td>34.96</td><td>1.11</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Markham—Stouffville</td><td>2.27</td><td>-1.68</td><td> </td><td></td><td>41.44</td><td>5.96</td><td></td><td> </td><td>4.56</td><td>-4.90</td><td> </td><td></td><td>50.64</td><td>2.21</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Markham—Thornhill</td><td>2.34</td><td>-0.22</td><td> </td><td></td><td>39.68</td><td>2.17</td><td></td><td> </td><td>4.41</td><td>-4.64</td><td> </td><td></td><td>53.58</td><td>4.76</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Markham—Unionville</td><td>2.35</td><td>-1.32</td><td> </td><td></td><td>30.89</td><td>0.47</td><td></td><td> </td><td>3.95</td><td>-3.33</td><td> </td><td></td><td>61.16</td><td>4.74</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Milton</td><td>2.67</td><td>-1.47</td><td> </td><td></td><td>41.44</td><td>2.68</td><td></td><td> </td><td>5.67</td><td>-4.03</td><td> </td><td></td><td>47.43</td><td>4.36</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga Centre</td><td>2.90</td><td>-0.62</td><td> </td><td></td><td>41.06</td><td>4.74</td><td></td><td> </td><td>6.51</td><td>-5.77</td><td> </td><td></td><td>46.79</td><td>3.19</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga East—Cooksville</td><td>2.06</td><td>-1.92</td><td> </td><td></td><td>43.08</td><td>5.73</td><td></td><td> </td><td>5.20</td><td>-5.63</td><td> </td><td></td><td>46.43</td><td>5.51</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga—Erin Mills</td><td>2.86</td><td>-1.42</td><td> </td><td></td><td>44.20</td><td>6.72</td><td></td><td> </td><td>5.54</td><td>-6.60</td><td> </td><td></td><td>44.26</td><td>2.12</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga—Lakeshore</td><td>2.40</td><td>-2.63</td><td> </td><td></td><td>43.68</td><td>6.92</td><td></td><td> </td><td>4.56</td><td>-3.94</td><td> </td><td></td><td>47.54</td><td>2.45</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga—Malton</td><td>1.89</td><td>-2.15</td><td> </td><td></td><td>38.75</td><td>8.30</td><td></td><td> </td><td>6.74</td><td>-10.97</td><td> </td><td></td><td>50.94</td><td>6.05</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga—Streetsville</td><td>2.53</td><td>-0.47</td><td> </td><td></td><td>43.17</td><td>7.69</td><td></td><td> </td><td>5.02</td><td>-6.97</td><td> </td><td></td><td>47.71</td><td>2.13</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Nepean</td><td>1.89</td><td>-1.99</td><td> </td><td></td><td>48.53</td><td>14.07</td><td></td><td> </td><td>8.81</td><td>-10.53</td><td> </td><td></td><td>38.43</td><td>-0.83</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Newmarket—Aurora</td><td>2.55</td><td>-3.06</td><td> </td><td></td><td>41.60</td><td>10.13</td><td></td><td> </td><td>6.36</td><td>-6.36</td><td> </td><td></td><td>47.56</td><td>2.59</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Niagara Centre</td><td>2.61</td><td>-1.92</td><td> </td><td></td><td>14.76</td><td>1.44</td><td></td><td> </td><td>42.18</td><td>2.48</td><td></td><td> </td><td>37.35</td><td>-0.28</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Niagara Falls</td><td>1.56</td><td>-1.14</td><td> </td><td></td><td>6.32</td><td>-2.10</td><td> </td><td></td><td>54.95</td><td>6.87</td><td></td><td> </td><td>34.53</td><td>-1.90</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Niagara West</td><td>4.00</td><td>-2.46</td><td> </td><td></td><td>24.75</td><td>5.58</td><td></td><td> </td><td>16.32</td><td>-4.40</td><td> </td><td></td><td>51.13</td><td>6.20</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Nickel Belt</td><td>1.78</td><td>-1.21</td><td> </td><td></td><td>10.94</td><td>1.05</td><td></td><td> </td><td>48.37</td><td>-2.41</td><td> </td><td></td><td>35.67</td><td>5.81</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Nipissing</td><td>4.08</td><td>0.74</td><td></td><td> </td><td>12.62</td><td>-0.91</td><td> </td><td></td><td>25.21</td><td>-3.05</td><td> </td><td></td><td>54.83</td><td>4.62</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Northumberland—Peterborough South</td><td>3.65</td><td>-2.02</td><td> </td><td></td><td>32.37</td><td>7.43</td><td></td><td> </td><td>9.32</td><td>-3.80</td><td> </td><td></td><td>52.11</td><td>1.18</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Oakville</td><td>2.61</td><td>-2.58</td><td> </td><td></td><td>44.11</td><td>6.42</td><td></td><td> </td><td>3.91</td><td>-2.87</td><td> </td><td></td><td>48.01</td><td>2.57</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Oakville North—Burlington</td><td>2.74</td><td>-1.56</td><td> </td><td></td><td>40.90</td><td>5.59</td><td></td><td> </td><td>5.38</td><td>-4.54</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.70</td><td>2.51</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Orléans</td><td>2.48</td><td>-2.07</td><td> </td><td></td><td>54.18</td><td>7.92</td><td></td><td> </td><td>6.00</td><td>-7.79</td><td> </td><td></td><td>35.31</td><td>2.66</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Oshawa</td><td>2.06</td><td>-1.96</td><td> </td><td></td><td>8.76</td><td>-0.37</td><td> </td><td></td><td>45.87</td><td>3.80</td><td></td><td> </td><td>41.53</td><td>1.29</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Ottawa Centre</td><td>2.66</td><td>-2.21</td><td> </td><td></td><td>23.30</td><td>0.72</td><td></td><td> </td><td>55.70</td><td>1.36</td><td></td><td> </td><td>16.41</td><td>0.69</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Ottawa South</td><td>2.88</td><td>-1.78</td><td> </td><td></td><td>53.24</td><td>8.10</td><td></td><td> </td><td>17.76</td><td>-5.99</td><td> </td><td></td><td>24.60</td><td>1.41</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Ottawa—Vanier</td><td>5.17</td><td>-2.63</td><td> </td><td></td><td>51.45</td><td>9.73</td><td></td><td> </td><td>18.25</td><td>-7.68</td><td> </td><td></td><td>22.56</td><td>2.39</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Ottawa West—Nepean</td><td>2.40</td><td>-1.13</td><td> </td><td></td><td>17.75</td><td>-4.69</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.33</td><td>11.79</td><td></td><td> </td><td>28.72</td><td>-6.22</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Oxford</td><td>4.46</td><td>-0.28</td><td> </td><td></td><td>23.17</td><td>10.86</td><td></td><td> </td><td>10.97</td><td>-10.47</td><td> </td><td></td><td>55.26</td><td>5.25</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Parkdale—High Park</td><td>4.35</td><td>-1.71</td><td> </td><td></td><td>30.83</td><td>8.45</td><td></td><td> </td><td>45.35</td><td>-8.61</td><td> </td><td></td><td>17.82</td><td>3.12</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Parry Sound—Muskoka</td><td>41.69</td><td>1.07</td><td></td><td> </td><td>6.09</td><td>6.09</td><td></td><td> </td><td>2.86</td><td>-4.83</td><td> </td><td></td><td>46.80</td><td>1.43</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Perth—Wellington</td><td>7.53</td><td>1.21</td><td></td><td> </td><td>27.88</td><td>11.75</td><td></td><td> </td><td>12.62</td><td>-9.43</td><td> </td><td></td><td>47.40</td><td>0.59</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Peterborough—Kawartha</td><td>3.17</td><td>-0.49</td><td> </td><td></td><td>36.69</td><td>6.14</td><td></td><td> </td><td>16.86</td><td>-4.52</td><td> </td><td></td><td>40.68</td><td>2.10</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Pickering—Uxbridge</td><td>2.84</td><td>-2.40</td><td> </td><td></td><td>39.52</td><td>10.97</td><td></td><td> </td><td>7.39</td><td>-8.64</td><td> </td><td></td><td>48.06</td><td>3.63</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke</td><td>2.53</td><td>-1.12</td><td> </td><td></td><td>22.13</td><td>12.35</td><td></td><td> </td><td>14.91</td><td>-2.19</td><td> </td><td></td><td>54.83</td><td>-6.29</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Richmond Hill</td><td>2.87</td><td>-0.11</td><td> </td><td></td><td>34.26</td><td>2.36</td><td></td><td> </td><td>5.75</td><td>-3.35</td><td> </td><td></td><td>55.43</td><td>3.19</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>St. Catharines</td><td>2.21</td><td>-1.88</td><td> </td><td></td><td>17.31</td><td>0.68</td><td></td><td> </td><td>42.12</td><td>2.41</td><td></td><td> </td><td>35.13</td><td>0.70</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Sarnia—Lambton</td><td>1.90</td><td>-1.25</td><td> </td><td></td><td>18.37</td><td>7.92</td><td></td><td> </td><td>19.68</td><td>-3.93</td><td> </td><td></td><td>51.32</td><td>-1.40</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Sault Ste. Marie</td><td>1.39</td><td>-1.12</td><td> </td><td></td><td>10.00</td><td>4.01</td><td></td><td> </td><td>42.69</td><td>5.39</td><td></td><td> </td><td>43.07</td><td>-3.82</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough—Agincourt</td><td>2.04</td><td>-0.15</td><td> </td><td></td><td>41.91</td><td>4.64</td><td></td><td> </td><td>5.02</td><td>-3.76</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.39</td><td>0.36</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough Centre</td><td>3.03</td><td>0.23</td><td></td><td> </td><td>42.32</td><td>11.95</td><td></td><td> </td><td>8.66</td><td>-17.56</td><td> </td><td></td><td>44.05</td><td>8.05</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough—Guildwood</td><td>2.44</td><td>-0.38</td><td> </td><td></td><td>51.02</td><td>4.71</td><td></td><td> </td><td>6.69</td><td>-9.97</td><td> </td><td></td><td>37.76</td><td>6.25</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough North</td><td>1.89</td><td>0.06</td><td></td><td> </td><td>34.75</td><td>5.14</td><td></td><td> </td><td>10.38</td><td>-8.03</td><td> </td><td></td><td>52.98</td><td>4.67</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough—Rouge Park</td><td>2.19</td><td>-0.22</td><td> </td><td></td><td>40.23</td><td>12.53</td><td></td><td> </td><td>7.09</td><td>-14.83</td><td> </td><td></td><td>49.17</td><td>3.89</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough Southwest</td><td>3.52</td><td>-0.02</td><td> </td><td></td><td>22.94</td><td>4.38</td><td></td><td> </td><td>42.89</td><td>-4.78</td><td> </td><td></td><td>30.65</td><td>3.04</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Simcoe—Grey</td><td>5.53</td><td>-3.44</td><td> </td><td></td><td>32.44</td><td>10.34</td><td></td><td> </td><td>5.72</td><td>-5.34</td><td> </td><td></td><td>53.59</td><td>2.41</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Simcoe North</td><td>6.65</td><td>-2.15</td><td> </td><td></td><td>27.56</td><td>10.11</td><td></td><td> </td><td>9.95</td><td>-7.79</td><td> </td><td></td><td>51.38</td><td>1.58</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Spadina—Fort York</td><td>2.69</td><td>-2.93</td><td> </td><td></td><td>31.55</td><td>3.60</td><td></td><td> </td><td>45.00</td><td>-1.06</td><td> </td><td></td><td>20.12</td><td>1.74</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry</td><td>2.60</td><td>-1.49</td><td> </td><td></td><td>19.23</td><td>1.35</td><td></td><td> </td><td>12.53</td><td>-1.26</td><td> </td><td></td><td>61.57</td><td>4.07</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Sudbury</td><td>2.37</td><td>-2.66</td><td> </td><td></td><td>10.61</td><td>-8.86</td><td> </td><td></td><td>46.74</td><td>5.89</td><td></td><td> </td><td>38.61</td><td>9.65</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Thornhill</td><td>2.15</td><td>-1.19</td><td> </td><td></td><td>28.32</td><td>-1.36</td><td> </td><td></td><td>3.59</td><td>-4.22</td><td> </td><td></td><td>63.99</td><td>10.70</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Thunder Bay—Atikokan</td><td>1.52</td><td>-1.41</td><td> </td><td></td><td>24.64</td><td>0.25</td><td></td><td> </td><td>25.86</td><td>-7.07</td><td> </td><td></td><td>45.71</td><td>9.41</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Thunder Bay—Superior North</td><td>1.59</td><td>-1.40</td><td> </td><td></td><td>21.30</td><td>-6.98</td><td> </td><td></td><td>40.57</td><td>6.46</td><td></td><td> </td><td>34.05</td><td>3.19</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Timiskaming—Cochrane</td><td>5.39</td><td>-1.13</td><td> </td><td></td><td>9.70</td><td>2.68</td><td></td><td> </td><td>43.96</td><td>1.22</td><td></td><td> </td><td>37.87</td><td>2.64</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Timmins</td><td>1.81</td><td>-0.43</td><td> </td><td></td><td>8.23</td><td>8.23</td><td></td><td> </td><td>19.94</td><td>-9.64</td><td> </td><td></td><td>68.41</td><td>3.61</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Toronto Centre</td><td>2.69</td><td>-2.42</td><td> </td><td></td><td>36.16</td><td>-0.55</td><td> </td><td></td><td>44.50</td><td>0.73</td><td></td><td> </td><td>14.54</td><td>2.39</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Toronto—Danforth</td><td>2.83</td><td>-3.25</td><td> </td><td></td><td>21.22</td><td>-1.14</td><td> </td><td></td><td>60.40</td><td>5.00</td><td></td><td> </td><td>14.56</td><td>1.11</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Toronto—St. Paul's</td><td>2.04</td><td>-3.41</td><td> </td><td></td><td>40.87</td><td>7.20</td><td></td><td> </td><td>31.74</td><td>-4.51</td><td> </td><td></td><td>25.34</td><td>2.95</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>University—Rosedale</td><td>3.12</td><td>-12.76</td><td> </td><td></td><td>30.73</td><td>3.37</td><td></td><td> </td><td>45.50</td><td>7.95</td><td></td><td> </td><td>19.89</td><td>2.31</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Vaughan—Woodbridge</td><td>1.76</td><td>-0.17</td><td> </td><td></td><td>26.57</td><td>-8.51</td><td> </td><td></td><td>4.14</td><td>-1.21</td><td> </td><td></td><td>65.13</td><td>11.35</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Waterloo</td><td>3.64</td><td>-3.29</td><td> </td><td></td><td>15.71</td><td>1.80</td><td></td><td> </td><td>50.23</td><td>4.34</td><td></td><td> </td><td>27.40</td><td>-1.93</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Wellington—Halton Hills</td><td>15.68</td><td>1.54</td><td></td><td> </td><td>27.56</td><td>13.58</td><td></td><td> </td><td>7.37</td><td>-8.23</td><td> </td><td></td><td>45.65</td><td>-4.96</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Whitby</td><td>2.67</td><td>-2.53</td><td> </td><td></td><td>39.64</td><td>18.92</td><td></td><td> </td><td>7.95</td><td>-14.88</td><td> </td><td></td><td>48.11</td><td>0.73</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Willowdale</td><td>2.49</td><td>-1.13</td><td> </td><td></td><td>44.35</td><td>6.39</td><td></td><td> </td><td>5.45</td><td>-4.85</td><td> </td><td></td><td>46.29</td><td>1.63</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Windsor—Tecumseh</td><td>1.88</td><td>-0.72</td><td> </td><td></td><td>14.34</td><td>-0.18</td><td> </td><td></td><td>31.04</td><td>1.08</td><td></td><td> </td><td>48.15</td><td>2.26</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Windsor West</td><td>2.33</td><td>-0.44</td><td> </td><td></td><td>–</td><td>-13.10</td><td> </td><td></td><td>52.12</td><td>9.93</td><td></td><td> </td><td>39.41</td><td>4.11</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>York Centre</td><td>2.17</td><td>-0.67</td><td> </td><td></td><td>35.64</td><td>3.70</td><td></td><td> </td><td>5.60</td><td>-8.39</td><td> </td><td></td><td>54.06</td><td>8.03</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>York—Simcoe</td><td>4.82</td><td>-2.52</td><td> </td><td></td><td>23.90</td><td>6.65</td><td></td><td> </td><td>7.71</td><td>-3.44</td><td> </td><td></td><td>59.40</td><td>2.65</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>York South—Weston</td><td>2.67</td><td>0.14</td><td></td><td> </td><td>34.58</td><td>10.34</td><td></td><td> </td><td>25.61</td><td>-8.38</td><td> </td><td></td><td>35.22</td><td>-1.38</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Kiiwetinoong</td><td>2.69</td><td>-0.63</td><td> </td><td></td><td>7.24</td><td>1.34</td><td></td><td> </td><td>62.19</td><td>4.62</td><td></td><td> </td><td>25.46</td><td>-4.47</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Mushkegowuk—James Bay</td><td>1.45</td><td>-0.49</td><td> </td><td></td><td>7.78</td><td>-3.96</td><td> </td><td></td><td>45.44</td><td>-1.74</td><td> </td><td></td><td>45.33</td><td>9.57</td><td></td><td> </td></tr></tbody></table>

Relative party strengths (measured by swing)

<table><thead><tr><th>Riding</th><th> ↔  Liberal/PC</th><th> ↔  Liberal/NDP</th><th> ↔  PC/NDP</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td> </td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Ajax</td><td>-2.76</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-9.33</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.57</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Algoma—Manitoulin</td><td>0.03</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-12.26</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-12.30</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill</td><td>0.39</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-2.61</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.00</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Barrie—Innisfil</td><td>-2.04</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.87</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.82</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte</td><td>6.76</td><td></td><td> </td><td>2.32</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-4.43</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Bay of Quinte</td><td>-9.05</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-7.51</td><td> </td><td></td><td>1.54</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Beaches—East York</td><td>-6.46</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-13.01</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.55</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Brampton Centre</td><td>0.79</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-13.40</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-14.19</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Brampton East</td><td>-0.64</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-14.45</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-13.81</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Brampton North</td><td>5.50</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-6.62</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-12.12</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Brampton South</td><td>1.21</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-7.82</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-9.03</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Brampton West</td><td>1.23</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-10.57</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-11.80</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Brantford—Brant</td><td>-2.12</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.06</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.95</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound</td><td>-6.77</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-7.56</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-0.79</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Burlington</td><td>-6.53</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-11.63</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.10</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Cambridge</td><td>-3.53</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-12.18</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-8.65</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Carleton</td><td>-5.11</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-10.11</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.00</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Chatham-Kent—Leamington</td><td>N/A</td><td>-8.82</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Davenport</td><td>1.22</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-0.68</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-1.90</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Don Valley East</td><td>-6.40</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-10.32</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.91</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Don Valley North</td><td>-8.38</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.85</td><td> </td><td></td><td>2.53</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Don Valley West</td><td>-8.98</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-9.24</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-0.26</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Dufferin—Caledon</td><td>-1.87</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.46</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.59</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Durham</td><td>0.06</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-4.40</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.46</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Eglinton—Lawrence</td><td>-0.46</td><td> </td><td></td><td>N/A</td></tr><tr><td>Elgin—Middlesex—London</td><td>-1.19</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-8.04</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.85</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Essex</td><td>-1.32</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.83</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.52</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Etobicoke Centre</td><td>-4.13</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.87</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-1.74</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Etobicoke—Lakeshore</td><td>-4.87</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-11.85</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.98</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Etobicoke North</td><td>-0.52</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.04</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.52</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Flamborough—Glanbrook</td><td>-3.91</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-10.55</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.63</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Glengarry—Prescott—Russell</td><td>5.89</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-0.55</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.44</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Guelph</td><td>2.69</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-0.19</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-2.88</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Haldimand—Norfolk</td><td>-2.10</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.01</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-1.91</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock</td><td>-4.89</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.75</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-0.85</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Hamilton Centre</td><td>-2.91</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-13.59</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-10.67</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Hamilton East—Stoney Creek</td><td>-1.53</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-10.14</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-8.61</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Hamilton Mountain</td><td>-4.60</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-17.08</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-12.47</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas</td><td>-2.25</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.08</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-0.83</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Hastings—Lennox and Addington</td><td>-5.06</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-9.31</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.25</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Humber River—Black Creek</td><td>4.04</td><td></td><td> </td><td>2.06</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-1.98</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Huron—Bruce</td><td>-5.63</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.97</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-1.35</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Kanata—Carleton</td><td>-13.73</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-20.78</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-7.05</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Kenora—Rainy River</td><td>-2.88</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.61</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-0.73</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>King—Vaughan</td><td>3.68</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-1.30</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.97</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Kingston and the Islands</td><td>-13.12</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-21.37</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-8.25</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Kitchener Centre</td><td>-1.01</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-16.65</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-15.65</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Kitchener—Conestoga</td><td>-5.22</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-11.16</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.94</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Kitchener South—Hespeler</td><td>-1.94</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-8.97</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-7.02</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Lambton—Kent—Middlesex</td><td>-10.96</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-11.64</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-0.68</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston</td><td>-9.03</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-13.59</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.56</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes</td><td>-5.82</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.39</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-0.57</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>London—Fanshawe</td><td>-0.29</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-0.75</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-0.46</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>London North Centre</td><td>3.82</td><td></td><td> </td><td>6.18</td><td></td><td> </td><td>2.36</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>London West</td><td>1.10</td><td></td><td> </td><td>2.59</td><td></td><td> </td><td>1.49</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Markham—Stouffville</td><td>-1.88</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.43</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.55</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Markham—Thornhill</td><td>1.29</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-3.41</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.70</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Markham—Unionville</td><td>2.13</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-1.90</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.04</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Milton</td><td>0.84</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-3.36</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.20</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga Centre</td><td>-0.78</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.26</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.48</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga East—Cooksville</td><td>-0.11</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.68</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.57</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga—Erin Mills</td><td>-2.30</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.66</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.36</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga—Lakeshore</td><td>-2.24</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.43</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.20</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga—Malton</td><td>-1.12</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-9.63</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-8.51</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Mississauga—Streetsville</td><td>-2.78</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-7.33</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.55</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Nepean</td><td>-7.45</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-12.30</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.85</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Newmarket—Aurora</td><td>-3.77</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-8.24</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.48</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Niagara Centre</td><td>-0.86</td><td> </td><td></td><td>0.52</td><td></td><td> </td><td>1.38</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Niagara Falls</td><td>0.10</td><td></td><td> </td><td>4.49</td><td></td><td> </td><td>4.39</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Niagara West</td><td>0.31</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-4.99</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.30</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Nickel Belt</td><td>2.38</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-1.73</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.11</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Nipissing</td><td>2.77</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-1.07</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.84</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Northumberland—Peterborough South</td><td>-3.13</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.62</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-2.49</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Oakville</td><td>-1.92</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.64</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-2.72</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Oakville North—Burlington</td><td>-1.54</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.07</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.53</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Orléans</td><td>-2.63</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-7.85</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.23</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Oshawa</td><td>0.83</td><td></td><td> </td><td>2.08</td><td></td><td> </td><td>1.25</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Ottawa Centre</td><td>-0.02</td><td> </td><td></td><td>0.32</td><td></td><td> </td><td>0.34</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Ottawa South</td><td>-3.34</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-7.05</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.70</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Ottawa—Vanier</td><td>-3.67</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-8.71</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.03</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Ottawa West—Nepean</td><td>-0.76</td><td> </td><td></td><td>8.24</td><td></td><td> </td><td>9.00</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Oxford</td><td>-2.81</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-10.67</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-7.86</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Parkdale—High Park</td><td>-2.66</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-8.53</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.87</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Parry Sound—Muskoka</td><td>N/A</td><td>-3.13</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Perth—Wellington</td><td>-5.58</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-10.59</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.01</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Peterborough—Kawartha</td><td>-2.02</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.33</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.31</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Pickering—Uxbridge</td><td>-3.67</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-9.81</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.14</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke</td><td>-9.32</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-7.27</td><td> </td><td></td><td>2.05</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Richmond Hill</td><td>0.41</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-2.86</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.27</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>St. Catharines</td><td>0.01</td><td></td><td> </td><td>0.87</td><td></td><td> </td><td>0.85</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Sarnia—Lambton</td><td>-4.66</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.92</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-1.27</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Sault Ste. Marie</td><td>-3.92</td><td> </td><td></td><td>0.69</td><td></td><td> </td><td>4.61</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough—Agincourt</td><td>-2.14</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.20</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-2.06</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough Centre</td><td>-1.95</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-14.76</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-12.81</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough—Guildwood</td><td>0.77</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-7.34</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-8.11</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough North</td><td>-0.24</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.59</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-6.35</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough—Rouge Park</td><td>-4.32</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-13.68</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-9.36</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Scarborough Southwest</td><td>-0.67</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.58</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.91</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Simcoe—Grey</td><td>-3.97</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-7.84</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.87</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Simcoe North</td><td>-4.27</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-8.95</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-4.68</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Spadina—Fort York</td><td>-0.93</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-2.33</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-1.40</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry</td><td>1.36</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-1.31</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-2.67</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Sudbury</td><td>9.25</td><td></td><td> </td><td>7.37</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-1.88</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Thornhill</td><td>6.03</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-1.43</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-7.46</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Thunder Bay—Atikokan</td><td>4.58</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-3.66</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-8.24</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Thunder Bay—Superior North</td><td>5.08</td><td></td><td> </td><td>6.72</td><td></td><td> </td><td>1.63</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Timiskaming—Cochrane</td><td>-0.02</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-0.73</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-0.71</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Timmins</td><td>N/A</td><td>-6.62</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Toronto Centre</td><td>1.47</td><td></td><td> </td><td>0.64</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-0.83</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Toronto—Danforth</td><td>1.13</td><td></td><td> </td><td>3.07</td><td></td><td> </td><td>1.95</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Toronto—St. Paul's</td><td>-2.13</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.86</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.73</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>University—Rosedale</td><td>-0.53</td><td> </td><td></td><td>2.29</td><td></td><td> </td><td>2.82</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Vaughan—Woodbridge</td><td>9.93</td><td></td><td> </td><td>3.65</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-6.28</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Waterloo</td><td>-1.86</td><td> </td><td></td><td>1.27</td><td></td><td> </td><td>3.13</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Wellington—Halton Hills</td><td>-9.27</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-10.91</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-1.64</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Whitby</td><td>-9.09</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-16.90</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-7.81</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Willowdale</td><td>-2.38</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.62</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.24</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Windsor—Tecumseh</td><td>1.22</td><td></td><td> </td><td>0.63</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-0.59</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Windsor West</td><td>N/A</td><td>2.91</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>York Centre</td><td>2.16</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-6.05</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-8.21</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>York—Simcoe</td><td>-2.00</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-5.04</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.04</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>York South—Weston</td><td>-5.86</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-9.36</td><td> </td><td></td><td>-3.50</td><td> </td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Kiiwetinoong</td><td>-2.91</td><td> </td><td></td><td>1.64</td><td></td><td> </td><td>4.55</td><td></td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>Mushkegowuk—James Bay</td><td>6.77</td><td></td><td> </td><td>1.11</td><td></td><td> </td><td>-5.66</td><td> </td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>

Riding	↔  Liberal/PC	↔  Liberal/Green	↔  PC/Green	↔  NDP/Green
Beaches—East York	-6.46			-11.44			-4.99			1.57
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound	-6.77			-2.75			4.02			4.81
Dufferin—Caledon	-1.87			-4.15			-2.28			1.31
Eglinton—Lawrence	-0.46			-3.76			-3.30			N/A
Guelph	2.69			2.17			-0.52			2.36
Kitchener Centre	-1.01			19.52			20.52			36.17
Kitchener South—Hespeler	-1.94			-6.11			-4.17			2.86
Parry Sound—Muskoka	N/A	-0.18			2.95
University—Rosedale	-0.53			-8.07			-7.54			-10.36
Wellington—Halton Hills	-9.27			-6.02			3.25			4.88

  = Greens met threshold in 2022 only   = Greens met threshold in 2025 only

Analysis

Summary

Party in 1st place	Party in 2nd place	Total
PC	NDP	Liberal	Grn
	Progressive Conservative		10	69	1	80
	New Democratic	19		8		27
	Liberal	12	2			14
	Green	2				2
	Independent	1				1
Total	34	12	77	1	124

Parties	Seats
█ Progressive Conservative	█ Liberal	81
█ New Democratic	█ Progressive Conservative	29
█ New Democratic	█ Liberal	10
█ Green	█ Progressive Conservative	3
█ Independent	█ Progressive Conservative	1
Total	124

Parties	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th
█ Progressive Conservative	80	34	10
█ New Democratic	27	12	76	8
█ Liberal	14	77	32
█ Green	2	1	4	102	13
█ Independent	1		1	3	2
█ Ontario Party			1	2	6
█ New Blue				8	85
█ None of the Above					3
█ Communist					2
█ Libertarian					2
█ Northern Ontario					2
█ Moderate					1
█ Progress Party Ontario					1
█ Stop the New Sex-Ed Agenda					1

Seats changing hands

Of the 124 seats, 13 were open because of MPPs who chose not to stand for reelection, and voters in only 9 seats changed allegiance from the previous election in 2022. Three incumbents ousted from their parties opted to stand as Independents, but none were re-elected.

Party	2022	Gain from (loss to)	2025
PC	NDP	Lib	Grn
	Progressive Conservative	83			2			(5)			80
	New Democratic	31		(2)				(1)		(1)	27
	Liberal	8	5		1						14
	Green	1			1						2
	Independent	1									1
Total	124	5	(2)	4	–	–	(6)	–	(1)	124

There were 9 seats that changed allegiance in the election:

Source	Party
PC	NDP	Lib	Grn	Ind	Total
Seats retained	Incumbents returned	69	24	8	1	1	103
Open seats held	9	2				11
Ouster of incumbents changing affiliation		1				1
Seats changing hands	Incumbents defeated			3			4
Open seats gained	1		1			2
Byelection gains held			1	1		2
Ouster of incumbents standing as Independents	1		1			2
Total	80	27	14	2	1	124

Student Vote results

2025 Ontario general election

Student Vote elections are mock elections that run parallel to real elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by CIVIX Canada, in partnership with Elections Ontario. Student Vote elections are for educational purposes and do not count towards the actual results.

Party	Leader	Seats	Votes
Elected	2022	±	#	%	Change
	Progressive Conservative	Doug Ford	51	17	34	58,189	24.14%	5.45
	New Democratic	Marit Stiles	41	75	34	56,570	23.47%	5.09
	Liberal	Bonnie Crombie	28	28		57,228	23.74%	1.68
	Green	Mike Schreiner	3	4	1	37,489	15.55%	0.44
	Independent	1	0	1	5,362	2.22%	1.32
	New Blue	Jim Karahalios	0	0	0	13,643	5.66%	0.07
	Ontario Party	Derek Sloan	0	0	0	5,221	2.17%	1.78
	Others	0	0	0	7,341	3.03%	2.11
Valid votes	234,807	—N/a	—N/a
Rejected ballots	7,600	—N/a	—N/a
Total votes cast	124	124		242,407	—N/a	—N/a
Source: Student Vote Ontario 2025 Archived 2025-02-28 at the Wayback Machine

Opinion polls

2025 Ontario general election

Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions.