2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

The 2024 United States presidential election in Washington took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Washington voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. It was held along a gubernatorial and U.S. Senate election. The state of Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

Source: Wikipedia

Article

2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

The 2024 United States presidential election in Washington took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Washington voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. It was held along a gubernatorial and U.S. Senate election. The state of Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

Although Washington was a Republican-leaning swing state until the 1980s, Democrats have won Washington in every presidential election starting in 1988 and have consistently done so by double digits since 2008. Washington is part of the Democratic-leaning West Coast and was predicted to go comfortably to the Democratic Party in 2024.

As expected, Kamala Harris comfortably won Washington state. While Trump improved his margin in all fifty states, Washington had the smallest swing to the right, with Trump improving his margin by less than 1%, compared to the national swing of about 6%. After Biden's 19% margin of victory in (/wiki/2020UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninWashington(state)), Harris' 18% margin was the second-largest in the state for the Democratic Party since (/wiki/1964UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninWashington(state)).

Some of the few counties in the country to swing significantly leftward were in Washington, including Clallam, Island, Jefferson, and Kitsap counties, where Harris had some of the best Democratic performances in their history. In the former bellwether Clallam County, Harris had the best performance for any candidate since (/wiki/1984UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninWashington(state)), and the best for any Democrat since (/wiki/1964UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninWashington(state)). This ended Clallam County's 40-year bellwether streak from 1980 to 2020, as the county had not voted for the losing presidential candidate since (/wiki/1976UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninWashington(state)).

Primary election

Republican primary

The Washington Republican primary took place on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Hawaii, Idaho, Mississippi, and Missouri.

<table><thead><tr><th>Candidate</th><th>Votes</th><th>Percentage</th><th>Actual delegate count</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Bound</td><td>Unbound</td><td>Total</td></tr><tr><td>Donald Trump</td><td>601,070</td><td>76.43%</td><td>43</td><td>0</td><td>43</td></tr><tr><td>Nikki Haley (withdrawn)</td><td>151,485</td><td>19.26%</td><td>0</td><td>0</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)</td><td>17,870</td><td>2.27%</td><td>0</td><td>0</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Chris Christie (withdrawn)</td><td>8,702</td><td>1.11%</td><td>0</td><td>0</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)</td><td>7,318</td><td>0.93%</td><td>0</td><td>0</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Total:</td><td>786,445</td><td>100.00%</td><td>43</td><td>0</td><td>43</td></tr></tbody></table>

Democratic primary

The Washington Democratic primary took place on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Democrats Abroad, Northern Marianas, Mississippi, and Georgia.

<table><thead><tr><th>Candidate</th><th>Votes</th><th>Percentage</th><th>Actual delegate count</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Pledged</td><td>Unpledged</td><td>Total</td></tr><tr><td>Joe Biden (incumbent)</td><td>763,739</td><td>83.5%</td><td>90</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Uncommitted delegates</td><td>89,764</td><td>9.8%</td><td>2</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Marianne Williamson</td><td>25,308</td><td>2.8%</td><td>0</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Dean Phillips (withdrawn)</td><td>25,190</td><td>2.8%</td><td>0</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Write-in votes</td><td>10,966</td><td>1.2%</td><td>0</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Total:</td><td>914,967</td><td>100.0%</td><td>92</td><td>19</td><td>111</td></tr></tbody></table>

General election

2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

In the early hours of October 28 a ballot drop box in Vancouver was found to be on fire damaging a number of ballots. Police stated that a suspicious device had been found next to the box.

Candidates

The following presidential candidates have received ballot access in Washington:

• Kamala Harris, Democratic Party • Donald Trump, Republican Party • Chase Oliver, Libertarian Party • Jill Stein, Green Party • Claudia De la Cruz, Party for Socialism and Liberation • Cornel West, Independent • Rachele Fruit, Socialist Workers Party • Shiva Ayyadurai, Independent • Joseph Kishore, Socialist Equality Party • Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Independent (withdrawn)

Predictions

<table><thead><tr><th>Source</th><th>Ranking</th><th>As of</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Cook Political Report</td><td>Solid D</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>Inside Elections</td><td>Solid D</td><td>November 3, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>Sabato's Crystal Ball</td><td>Safe D</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>Decision Desk HQ/The Hill</td><td>Safe D</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>CNalysis</td><td>Solid D</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>CNN</td><td>Safe D</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>The Economist</td><td>Safe D</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>538</td><td>Solid D</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>RCP</td><td>Safe D</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>NBC News</td><td>Solid D</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr></tbody></table>

Polling

<table><thead><tr><th>Poll source</th><th>Date(s) administered</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Margin of error</th><th>Kamala Harris Democratic</th><th>Donald Trump Republican</th><th>Other / Undecided</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Research Co.</td><td>November 2–3, 2024</td><td>450 (LV)</td><td>± 4.6%</td><td>54%</td><td>39%</td><td>7%</td></tr><tr><td>ActiVote</td><td>October 3–29, 2024</td><td>400 (LV)</td><td>± 4.9%</td><td>59%</td><td>41%</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>Public Policy Polling (D)</td><td>October 16–17, 2024</td><td>571 (LV)</td><td>± 4.1%</td><td>55%</td><td>40%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>Strategies 360</td><td>October 11–16, 2024</td><td>600 (RV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>55%</td><td>39%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>SurveyUSA</td><td>October 9–14, 2024</td><td>703 (LV)</td><td>± 4.9%</td><td>57%</td><td>35%</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>ActiVote</td><td>September 7 – October 13, 2024</td><td>400 (LV)</td><td>± 4.9%</td><td>60%</td><td>40%</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>Elway Research</td><td>October 8–12, 2024</td><td>401 (RV)</td><td>± 5.0%</td><td>57%</td><td>32%</td><td>11%</td></tr><tr><td>Elway Research</td><td>September 3–6, 2024</td><td>403 (RV)</td><td>± 5.0%</td><td>53%</td><td>32%</td><td>11%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>July 21, 2024</td><td>Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.</td></tr><tr><td>DHM Research</td><td>July 12–17, 2024</td><td>500 (RV)</td><td>± 4.4%</td><td>45%</td><td>40%</td><td>14%</td></tr><tr><td>SurveyUSA</td><td>July 10–13, 2024</td><td>708 (LV)</td><td>± 5.0%</td><td>51%</td><td>36%</td><td>13%</td></tr></tbody></table>

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

<table><thead><tr><th>Poll source</th><th>Date(s) administered</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Margin of error</th><th>Kamala Harris Democratic</th><th>Donald Trump Republican</th><th>Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent</th><th>Other / Undecided</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Public Policy Polling (D)</td><td>July 24–25, 2024</td><td>581 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>52%</td><td>38%</td><td>6%</td><td>4%</td></tr></tbody></table>

Results

State legislative district results

<table><thead><tr><th>Party</th><th>Candidate</th><th>Votes</th><th>%</th><th>±%</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td></td><td>Democratic</td><td></td><td>2,245,849</td><td>57.23%</td><td>0.74%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Republican</td><td></td><td>1,530,923</td><td>39.01%</td><td>0.24%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>We the People</td><td></td><td>54,868</td><td>1.40%</td><td>N/A</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Green</td><td></td><td>29,754</td><td>0.76%</td><td>0.31%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Libertarian</td><td></td><td>16,428</td><td>0.42%</td><td>1.55%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Socialism and Liberation</td><td>Claudia De la Cruz Karina Garcia</td><td>8,695</td><td>0.22%</td><td>0.10%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Justice for All</td><td></td><td>7,254</td><td>0.18%</td><td>N/A</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Independent</td><td></td><td>3,323</td><td>0.08%</td><td>N/A</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Socialist Equality</td><td>Joseph Kishore Jerome White</td><td>917</td><td>0.02%</td><td>N/A</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Socialist Workers</td><td>Rachele Fruit Dennis Richter</td><td>824</td><td>0.02%</td><td>0.04%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Write-in</td><td>25,408</td><td>0.65%</td><td>0.02%</td></tr><tr><td>Total votes</td><td>3,924,243</td><td>100.00%</td><td>N/A</td></tr></tbody></table>

By county

<table><thead><tr><th>County</th><th>Kamala Harris Democratic</th><th>Donald Trump Republican</th><th>Various candidates Other parties</th><th>Margin</th><th>Total</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>#</td><td>%</td><td>#</td><td>%</td><td>#</td><td>%</td><td>#</td><td>%</td></tr><tr><td>Adams</td><td>1,455</td><td>27.12%</td><td>3,767</td><td>70.21%</td><td>143</td><td>2.67%</td><td>-2,312</td><td>-43.09%</td><td>5,365</td></tr><tr><td>Asotin</td><td>4,082</td><td>35.59%</td><td>7,004</td><td>61.07%</td><td>382</td><td>3.33%</td><td>-2,922</td><td>-25.48%</td><td>11,468</td></tr><tr><td>Benton</td><td>37,662</td><td>37.40%</td><td>59,555</td><td>59.15%</td><td>3,476</td><td>3.45%</td><td>-21,893</td><td>-21.74%</td><td>100,693</td></tr><tr><td>Chelan</td><td>18,397</td><td>43.60%</td><td>22,363</td><td>53.00%</td><td>1,431</td><td>3.39%</td><td>-3,966</td><td>-9.40%</td><td>42,191</td></tr><tr><td>Clallam</td><td>25,440</td><td>52.28%</td><td>21,632</td><td>44.45%</td><td>1,591</td><td>3.27%</td><td>3,808</td><td>7.83%</td><td>48,663</td></tr><tr><td>Clark</td><td>143,206</td><td>51.78%</td><td>123,998</td><td>44.83%</td><td>9,374</td><td>3.39%</td><td>19,208</td><td>6.94%</td><td>276,578</td></tr><tr><td>Columbia</td><td>661</td><td>26.60%</td><td>1,737</td><td>69.90%</td><td>87</td><td>3.50%</td><td>-1,076</td><td>-43.30%</td><td>2,485</td></tr><tr><td>Cowlitz</td><td>22,825</td><td>38.47%</td><td>34,580</td><td>58.29%</td><td>1,920</td><td>3.24%</td><td>-11,755</td><td>-19.81%</td><td>59,325</td></tr><tr><td>Douglas</td><td>7,410</td><td>34.98%</td><td>13,095</td><td>61.82%</td><td>677</td><td>3.20%</td><td>-5,685</td><td>-26.84%</td><td>21,182</td></tr><tr><td>Ferry</td><td>1,315</td><td>31.93%</td><td>2,667</td><td>64.75%</td><td>137</td><td>3.33%</td><td>-1,352</td><td>-32.82%</td><td>4,119</td></tr><tr><td>Franklin</td><td>11,884</td><td>37.26%</td><td>19,086</td><td>59.84%</td><td>927</td><td>2.91%</td><td>-7,202</td><td>-22.58%</td><td>31,897</td></tr><tr><td>Garfield</td><td>330</td><td>24.41%</td><td>973</td><td>71.97%</td><td>49</td><td>3.62%</td><td>-643</td><td>-47.56%</td><td>1,352</td></tr><tr><td>Grant</td><td>10,806</td><td>29.81%</td><td>24,326</td><td>67.10%</td><td>1,121</td><td>3.09%</td><td>-13,520</td><td>-37.29%</td><td>36,253</td></tr><tr><td>Grays Harbor</td><td>17,161</td><td>45.41%</td><td>19,432</td><td>51.42%</td><td>1,200</td><td>3.18%</td><td>-2,271</td><td>-6.01%</td><td>37,793</td></tr><tr><td>Island</td><td>29,595</td><td>56.43%</td><td>20,967</td><td>39.98%</td><td>1,887</td><td>3.60%</td><td>8,628</td><td>16.45%</td><td>52,449</td></tr><tr><td>Jefferson</td><td>17,459</td><td>70.69%</td><td>6,324</td><td>25.61%</td><td>915</td><td>3.70%</td><td>11,135</td><td>45.08%</td><td>24,698</td></tr><tr><td>King</td><td>832,606</td><td>73.65%</td><td>252,193</td><td>22.31%</td><td>45,703</td><td>4.04%</td><td>580,413</td><td>51.34%</td><td>1,130,502</td></tr><tr><td>Kitsap</td><td>91,731</td><td>58.48%</td><td>59,080</td><td>37.66%</td><td>6,061</td><td>3.86%</td><td>32,651</td><td>20.81%</td><td>156,872</td></tr><tr><td>Kittitas</td><td>10,810</td><td>40.79%</td><td>14,645</td><td>55.27%</td><td>1,044</td><td>3.94%</td><td>-3,835</td><td>-14.47%</td><td>26,499</td></tr><tr><td>Klickitat</td><td>5,917</td><td>43.48%</td><td>7,178</td><td>52.75%</td><td>512</td><td>3.76%</td><td>-1,261</td><td>-9.27%</td><td>13,607</td></tr><tr><td>Lewis</td><td>14,433</td><td>31.83%</td><td>29,322</td><td>64.67%</td><td>1,583</td><td>3.49%</td><td>-14,889</td><td>-32.84%</td><td>45,338</td></tr><tr><td>Lincoln</td><td>1,678</td><td>23.49%</td><td>5,272</td><td>73.80%</td><td>194</td><td>2.72%</td><td>-3,594</td><td>-50.31%</td><td>7,144</td></tr><tr><td>Mason</td><td>17,215</td><td>46.92%</td><td>18,127</td><td>49.41%</td><td>1,347</td><td>3.67%</td><td>-912</td><td>-2.49%</td><td>36,689</td></tr><tr><td>Okanogan</td><td>8,466</td><td>40.84%</td><td>11,555</td><td>55.74%</td><td>711</td><td>3.43%</td><td>-3,089</td><td>-14.90%</td><td>20,732</td></tr><tr><td>Pacific</td><td>6,825</td><td>47.91%</td><td>7,010</td><td>49.21%</td><td>409</td><td>2.87%</td><td>-185</td><td>-1.30%</td><td>14,244</td></tr><tr><td>Pend Oreille</td><td>2,461</td><td>28.80%</td><td>5,826</td><td>68.18%</td><td>258</td><td>3.02%</td><td>-3,365</td><td>-39.38%</td><td>8,545</td></tr><tr><td>Pierce</td><td>235,169</td><td>53.50%</td><td>188,194</td><td>42.81%</td><td>16,218</td><td>3.69%</td><td>46,975</td><td>10.69%</td><td>439,581</td></tr><tr><td>San Juan</td><td>9,539</td><td>73.34%</td><td>2,890</td><td>22.22%</td><td>577</td><td>4.44%</td><td>6,649</td><td>51.12%</td><td>13,006</td></tr><tr><td>Skagit</td><td>36,956</td><td>52.60%</td><td>30,765</td><td>43.79%</td><td>2,535</td><td>3.61%</td><td>6,191</td><td>8.81%</td><td>70,256</td></tr><tr><td>Skamania</td><td>3,147</td><td>42.79%</td><td>3,961</td><td>53.85%</td><td>247</td><td>3.36%</td><td>-814</td><td>-11.07%</td><td>7,355</td></tr><tr><td>Snohomish</td><td>240,099</td><td>57.41%</td><td>161,371</td><td>38.59%</td><td>16,751</td><td>4.01%</td><td>78,728</td><td>18.82%</td><td>418,221</td></tr><tr><td>Spokane</td><td>131,163</td><td>45.69%</td><td>145,338</td><td>50.63%</td><td>10,581</td><td>3.69%</td><td>-14,175</td><td>-4.94%</td><td>287,082</td></tr><tr><td>Stevens</td><td>7,492</td><td>26.52%</td><td>19,895</td><td>70.43%</td><td>859</td><td>3.04%</td><td>-12,403</td><td>-43.91%</td><td>28,246</td></tr><tr><td>Thurston</td><td>95,663</td><td>58.14%</td><td>62,282</td><td>37.85%</td><td>6,592</td><td>4.01%</td><td>33,381</td><td>20.29%</td><td>164,537</td></tr><tr><td>Wahkiakum</td><td>1,204</td><td>39.32%</td><td>1,757</td><td>57.38%</td><td>101</td><td>3.30%</td><td>-553</td><td>-18.06%</td><td>3,062</td></tr><tr><td>Walla Walla</td><td>13,106</td><td>44.32%</td><td>15,476</td><td>52.34%</td><td>986</td><td>3.33%</td><td>-2,370</td><td>-8.02%</td><td>29,568</td></tr><tr><td>Whatcom</td><td>83,295</td><td>60.42%</td><td>49,213</td><td>35.70%</td><td>5,360</td><td>3.89%</td><td>34,082</td><td>24.72%</td><td>137,868</td></tr><tr><td>Whitman</td><td>10,480</td><td>52.33%</td><td>8,699</td><td>43.44%</td><td>848</td><td>4.23%</td><td>1,781</td><td>8.89%</td><td>20,027</td></tr><tr><td>Yakima</td><td>36,706</td><td>41.36%</td><td>49,368</td><td>55.63%</td><td>2,677</td><td>3.02%</td><td>-12,662</td><td>-14.27%</td><td>88,751</td></tr><tr><td>Totals</td><td>2,245,849</td><td>57.23%</td><td>1,530,923</td><td>39.01%</td><td>147,471</td><td>3.76%</td><td>714,926</td><td>18.22%</td><td>3,924,243</td></tr></tbody></table>

By congressional district

Harris won seven of ten congressional districts. Trump won three congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.

<table><thead><tr><th>District</th><th>Harris</th><th>Trump</th><th>Representative</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>1st</td><td>62.15%</td><td>33.68%</td><td>Suzan DelBene</td></tr><tr><td>2nd</td><td>59.84%</td><td>36.33%</td><td>Rick Larsen</td></tr><tr><td>3rd</td><td>46.67%</td><td>49.95%</td><td>Marie Gluesenkamp Perez</td></tr><tr><td>4th</td><td>38.11%</td><td>58.66%</td><td>Dan Newhouse</td></tr><tr><td>5th</td><td>42.85%</td><td>53.56%</td><td>Cathy McMorris Rodgers (118th Congress)</td></tr><tr><td>Michael Baumgartner (119th Congress)</td></tr><tr><td>6th</td><td>57.72%</td><td>38.56%</td><td>Derek Kilmer (118th Congress)</td></tr><tr><td>Emily Randall (119th Congress)</td></tr><tr><td>7th</td><td>85.32%</td><td>10.78%</td><td>Pramila Jayapal</td></tr><tr><td>8th</td><td>50.93%</td><td>45.20%</td><td>Kim Schrier</td></tr><tr><td>9th</td><td>68.44%</td><td>27.49%</td><td>Adam Smith</td></tr><tr><td>10th</td><td>57.04%</td><td>39.14%</td><td>Marilyn Strickland</td></tr></tbody></table>

Analysis

2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

Washington was the sixth-most Democratic state in the election behind Vermont, Maryland, Massachusetts, Hawaii, and California; the latter five states voted for Harris by more than 20%. This was the first election since (/wiki/1956UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninWashington(state)) in which Washington voted to the left of New York (which had the largest swing to the right in this election).

Washington was one of eleven states where Trump received fewer votes in this election than in (/wiki/2020UnitedStatespresidentialelection). The reason for all of their rightward swings is that Harris lost an even greater number of votes compared to Biden's 2020 run. With this election, Clallam County ended its 40-year bellwether streak, voting for the losing presidential candidate for the first time since (/wiki/1976UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninWashington(state)); Trump thus became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying this county since Richard Nixon in (/wiki/1968UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninWashington(state)). This was also the first time since (/wiki/1896UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninWashington(state)) that an unsuccessful Democrat won a majority of the county's vote. It had previously been the only county in the nation to vote for every presidential election winner since (/wiki/1980UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninWashington(state)).