2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

The 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states, plus the District of Columbia, participated. Nevada voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nevada has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census, in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

Despite Donald Trump, who ran under the Republican banner a third consecutive time, not carrying Nevada in either of his past two presidential campaigns, polling in the state showed him in a strong position to win the state against Joe Biden, with Trump leading Biden in all major polls on Nevada's voting intention from October 2023 until Biden's withdrawal in July 2024. Nevada also elected a Republican governor in (/wiki/2022Nevadagubernatorialelection). However, Kamala Harris, from neighboring California, had polled somewhat better since becoming the Democratic nominee. The state was rated as a tossup by nearly all major news organizations.

Despite more competitive polling after Harris entered the race, Trump won Nevada, defeating Harris by 3.10% and becoming the first Republican to win the state since George W. Bush in (/wiki/2004UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNevada). Trump's gains with Latino and Filipino voters were crucial to him flipping the state, and his 751,205 votes set a new record for votes cast for any candidate in state history.

Nevada was the only state that voted Democratic in both (/wiki/2016UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNevada) and (/wiki/2020UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNevada) but flipped to Trump in 2024, and the only state that voted differently from (/wiki/2016UnitedStatespresidentialelection) to 2024 (though Nebraska's second congressional district, with one electoral vote, voted for Trump in (/wiki/2016UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNebraska) and for Harris in (/wiki/2024UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNebraska)). Never before in American history have two presidential elections differed by only a single state, with the closest previous instance coming between (/wiki/1884UnitedStatespresidentialelection) and (/wiki/1888UnitedStatespresidentialelection), when only New York and Indiana changed their vote, and more recently between (/wiki/2008UnitedStatespresidentialelection) and (/wiki/2012UnitedStatespresidentialelection), when only North Carolina and again Indiana changed their vote, along with Nebraska’s second congressional district.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Nevada Democratic primary was held on February 6, 2024.

Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates
Joe Biden (incumbent)	119,758	89.31	36
Marianne Williamson	4,101	3.06
Gabriel Cornejo	811	0.60
Jason Palmer	530	0.40
Frankie Lozada	315	0.23
Armando Perez-Serrato	264	0.20
John Haywood	241	0.18
Stephen Lyons	147	0.11
Superpayaseria Crystalroc	133	0.10
Donald Picard	124	0.09
Brent Foutz	93	0.07
Stephen Alan Leon	89	0.07
Mark R. Prascak	33	0.02
None of These Candidates	7,448	5.55
Total	134,087	100%	36

Republican nominating contests

Although the Nevada state government established a primary system in 2021, the state Republican Party chose to boycott the primary, scheduled for February 6, in favor of a party-organized caucus, scheduled for February 8. Votes from the primary were not included in determining delegate allocation.

Candidate	Votes	Percentage
None of These Candidates	50,763	63.26%
Nikki Haley	24,583	30.63%
Mike Pence (withdrawn)	3,091	3.85%
Tim Scott (withdrawn)	1,081	1.35%
John Anthony Castro	270	0.34%
Hirsh V. Singh (withdrawn)	200	0.25%
Donald Kjornes	166	0.21%
Heath V. Fulkerson	95	0.12%
Total:	80,249	100.00%

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	59,982	99.11%	25	1	26
Ryan Binkley	540	0.89%	0	0	0
Total	60,522	100.00%	25	1	26

General election

Voting law changes

By 2022, every voter received a mail-in ballot unless they opted out, and eligible voters were automatically registered after common transactions at the DMV.

Predictions

<table><thead><tr><th>Source</th><th>Ranking</th><th>As of</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>The Cook Political Report</td><td>Tossup</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>Sabato's Crystal Ball</td><td>Lean D</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>Decision Desk HQ/The Hill</td><td>Tossup</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>CNN</td><td>Tossup</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>CNalysis</td><td>Tilt D</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>The Economist</td><td>Tossup</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>538</td><td>Tossup</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>Inside Elections</td><td>Tossup</td><td>November 3, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>NBC News</td><td>Tossup</td><td>November 4, 2024</td></tr></tbody></table>

Polling

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided	Margin
270ToWin	October 22 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	47.6%	48.2%	4.2%	Trump +0.6%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	47.4%	47.7%	4.8%	Trump +0.3%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.9%	48.5%	3.6%	Trump +0.6%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.5%	49.2%	3.3%	Trump +1.7%
Average	47.6%	48.3%	4.1%	Trump +0.7%

<table><thead><tr><th>Poll source</th><th>Date(s) administered</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Margin of error</th><th>Kamala Harris Democratic</th><th>Donald Trump Republican</th><th>Other / Undecided</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>HarrisX</td><td>November 3–5, 2024</td><td>1,260 (RV)</td><td>± 2.8%</td><td>47%</td><td>46%</td><td>7%</td></tr><tr><td>51.6%</td><td>48.5%</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>1,125 (LV)</td><td>48%</td><td>48%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>50.5%</td><td>49.5%</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>AtlasIntel</td><td>November 3–4, 2024</td><td>707 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>47%</td><td>50%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>47%</td><td>50%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>Patriot Polling</td><td>November 1–3, 2024</td><td>792 (RV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>49%</td><td>50%</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>AtlasIntel</td><td>November 1–2, 2024</td><td>782 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>46%</td><td>52%</td><td>2%</td></tr><tr><td>46%</td><td>51%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>Emerson College</td><td>October 30 – November 2, 2024</td><td>840 (LV)</td><td>± 3.3%</td><td>48%</td><td>48%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>49%</td><td>49%</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>The New York Times/Siena College</td><td>October 24 – November 2, 2024</td><td>1,010 (RV)</td><td>± 3.5%</td><td>48%</td><td>46%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>1,010 (LV)</td><td>49%</td><td>46%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>AtlasIntel</td><td>October 30–31, 2024</td><td>845 (LV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>47%</td><td>51%</td><td>2%</td></tr><tr><td>47%</td><td>51%</td><td>2%</td></tr><tr><td>Emerson College</td><td>October 29–31, 2024</td><td>700 (LV)</td><td>± 3.6%</td><td>48%</td><td>47%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>49%</td><td>48%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>Noble Predictive Insights</td><td>October 28–31, 2024</td><td>593 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>49%</td><td>48%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>Susquehanna Polling & Research</td><td>October 28–31, 2024</td><td>400 (LV)</td><td>± 4.9%</td><td>44%</td><td>50%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>YouGov</td><td>October 25–31, 2024</td><td>790 (RV)</td><td>± 4.6%</td><td>50%</td><td>49%</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>773 (LV)</td><td>50%</td><td>49%</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>Data for Progress (D)</td><td>October 25–30, 2024</td><td>721 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>49%</td><td>47%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>Rasmussen Reports (R)</td><td>October 25–30, 2024</td><td>767 (LV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>47%</td><td>49%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>AtlasIntel</td><td>October 25–29, 2024</td><td>1,083 (LV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>48%</td><td>49%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>48%</td><td>48%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>Trafalgar Group (R)</td><td>October 25–28, 2024</td><td>1,082 (LV)</td><td>± 2.9%</td><td>48%</td><td>48%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>CES/YouGov</td><td>October 1–25, 2024</td><td>940 (A)</td><td>–</td><td>53%</td><td>44%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>933 (LV)</td><td>51%</td><td>47%</td><td>2%</td></tr><tr><td>InsiderAdvantage (R)</td><td>October 20–21, 2024</td><td>800 (LV)</td><td>± 3.5%</td><td>48%</td><td>48%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>Bloomberg/Morning Consult</td><td>October 16–20, 2024</td><td>449 (RV)</td><td>± 5.0%</td><td>49%</td><td>48%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>420 (LV)</td><td>49%</td><td>48%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>AtlasIntel</td><td>October 12–17, 2024</td><td>1,171 (LV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>48%</td><td>48%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)</td><td>October 8−15, 2024</td><td>600 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>47%</td><td>49%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>Morning Consult</td><td>October 6−15, 2024</td><td>496 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>49%</td><td>45%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>Revere Solutions/Providence</td><td>October 22-23, 2024</td><td>538 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>46.8%</td><td>50.6%</td><td>2.6%</td></tr><tr><td>The Washington Post/Schar School</td><td>September 30 – October 15, 2024</td><td>652 (RV)</td><td>± 4.8%</td><td>47%</td><td>44%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>652 (LV)</td><td>48%</td><td>48%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>Rasmussen Reports (R)</td><td>October 9–14, 2024</td><td>748 (LV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>47%</td><td>49%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>Trafalgar Group (R)</td><td>October 10–13, 2024</td><td>1,088 (LV)</td><td>± 2.9%</td><td>46%</td><td>45%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)</td><td>October 6–9, 2024</td><td>800 (LV)</td><td>± 3.5%</td><td>47%</td><td>50%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>Emerson College</td><td>October 5–8, 2024</td><td>900 (LV)</td><td>± 3.2%</td><td>48%</td><td>47%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>49%</td><td>48%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>The Wall Street Journal</td><td>September 28 – October 8, 2024</td><td>600 (RV)</td><td>± 5.0%</td><td>43%</td><td>49%</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>RMG Research</td><td>September 30 – October 3, 2024</td><td>782 (LV)</td><td>± 3.5%</td><td>49%</td><td>47%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>49%</td><td>49%</td><td>2%</td></tr><tr><td>OnMessage Inc. (R)</td><td>September 24 – October 2, 2024</td><td>500 (LV)</td><td>± 4.4%</td><td>45%</td><td>47%</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>InsiderAdvantage (R)</td><td>September 29–30, 2024</td><td>800 (LV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>48%</td><td>49%</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)</td><td>September 23–29, 2024</td><td>407 (LV)</td><td>± 4.9%</td><td>48%</td><td>47%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>TIPP Insights</td><td>September 23−25, 2024</td><td>1,044 (RV)</td><td>± 3.7%</td><td>48%</td><td>44%</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>736 (LV)</td><td>49%</td><td>48%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>Quantus Insights (R)</td><td>September 23−25, 2024</td><td>628 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>48%</td><td>49%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>AtlasIntel</td><td>September 20–25, 2024</td><td>858 (LV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>51%</td><td>48%</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)</td><td>September 19–25, 2024</td><td>409 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>48%</td><td>47%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>Bloomberg/Morning Consult</td><td>September 19–25, 2024</td><td>574 (RV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>49%</td><td>45%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>516 (LV)</td><td>52%</td><td>45%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>Rasmussen Reports (R)</td><td>September 19−22, 2024</td><td>738 (LV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>48%</td><td>49%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>Remington Research Group (R)</td><td>September 16–20, 2024</td><td>800 (LV)</td><td>± 3.5%</td><td>48%</td><td>49%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>The Tarrance Group (R)</td><td>September 16–19, 2024</td><td>600 (LV)</td><td>± 4.1%</td><td>47%</td><td>44%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>Emerson College</td><td>September 15–18, 2024</td><td>895 (LV)</td><td>± 3.2%</td><td>48%</td><td>48%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>49%</td><td>49%</td><td>2%</td></tr><tr><td>Morning Consult</td><td>September 9−18, 2024</td><td>474 (LV)</td><td>± 5.0%</td><td>51%</td><td>47%</td><td>2%</td></tr><tr><td>Noble Predictive Insights</td><td>September 9−16, 2024</td><td>812 (RV)</td><td>± 3.4%</td><td>48%</td><td>45%</td><td>7%</td></tr><tr><td>692 (LV)</td><td>± 3.7%</td><td>48%</td><td>47%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>Trafalgar Group (R)</td><td>September 11–13, 2024</td><td>1,079 (LV)</td><td>± 2.9%</td><td>45%</td><td>44%</td><td>11%</td></tr><tr><td>Morning Consult</td><td>August 30 – September 8, 2024</td><td>516 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>48%</td><td>48%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>Patriot Polling</td><td>September 1–3, 2024</td><td>788 (RV)</td><td>–</td><td>47%</td><td>47%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>InsiderAdvantage (R)</td><td>August 29–31, 2024</td><td>800 (LV)</td><td>± 3.5%</td><td>47%</td><td>48%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>Emerson College</td><td>August 25–28, 2024</td><td>1,168 (LV)</td><td>± 2.8%</td><td>49%</td><td>48%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>49%</td><td>49%</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>Bloomberg/Morning Consult</td><td>August 23–26, 2024</td><td>416 (LV)</td><td>± 5.0%</td><td>50%</td><td>46%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>450 (RV)</td><td>49%</td><td>45%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>Fox News</td><td>August 23–26, 2024</td><td>1,026 (RV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>50%</td><td>48%</td><td>2%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>August 23, 2024</td><td>Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>August 19–22, 2024</td><td>Democratic National Convention</td></tr><tr><td>Rasmussen Reports (R)</td><td>August 13–18, 2024</td><td>980 (LV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>46%</td><td>48%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>Focaldata</td><td>August 6–16, 2024</td><td>678 (LV)</td><td>± 3.8%</td><td>54%</td><td>46%</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>The New York Times/Siena College</td><td>August 12–15, 2024</td><td>677 (RV)</td><td>± 4.4%</td><td>46%</td><td>48%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>677 (LV)</td><td>47%</td><td>48%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)</td><td>July 26 – August 8, 2024</td><td>403 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>45%</td><td>48%</td><td>7%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>August 6, 2024</td><td>Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.</td></tr><tr><td>Public Opinion Strategies (R)</td><td>July 23–29, 2024</td><td>400 (LV)</td><td>± 4.9%</td><td>45%</td><td>46%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>Bloomberg/Morning Consult</td><td>July 24–28, 2024</td><td>454 (RV)</td><td>± 5.0%</td><td>47%</td><td>45%</td><td>7%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>July 21, 2024</td><td>Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>July 18, 2024</td><td>Republican National Convention concludes</td></tr><tr><td>InsiderAdvantage (R)</td><td>July 15–16, 2024</td><td>800 (LV)</td><td>± 3.5%</td><td>40%</td><td>50%</td><td>10%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>July 15, 2024</td><td>Republican National Convention begins</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>July 13, 2024</td><td>attempted assassination of Donald Trump</td></tr><tr><td>Bloomberg/Morning Consult</td><td>May 7–13, 2024</td><td>459 (RV)</td><td>± 5.0%</td><td>44%</td><td>47%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>Emerson College</td><td>February 16–19, 2024</td><td>1,000 (RV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>39%</td><td>48%</td><td>13%</td></tr><tr><td>The New York Times/Siena College</td><td>October 22 – November 3, 2023</td><td>611 (RV)</td><td>± 4.4%</td><td>42%</td><td>48%</td><td>10%</td></tr><tr><td>611 (LV)</td><td>42%</td><td>50%</td><td>8%</td></tr></tbody></table>

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other/ Undecided	Margin
Race to the WH	through November 2, 2024	November 3, 2024	47.9%	47.3%	—N/a	—N/a	1.2%	3.6%	Harris +0.6%
270toWin	October 22 – November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	47.8%	47.4%	0.0%	0.0%	1.0%	3.8%	Harris +0.4%
Average	47.9%	47.4%	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	3.7%	Harris +0.5%

<table><thead><tr><th>Poll source</th><th>Date(s) administered</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Margin of error</th><th>Kamala Harris Democratic</th><th>Donald Trump Republican</th><th>Cornel West Independent</th><th>Jill Stein Green</th><th>Chase Oliver Libertarian</th><th>Other / Undecided</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>HarrisX</td><td>November 3–5, 2024</td><td>1,260 (RV)</td><td>± 2.8%</td><td>46%</td><td>45%</td><td>2%</td><td>1%</td><td>–</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>50%</td><td>46%</td><td>3%</td><td>1%</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>1,125 (LV)</td><td>48%</td><td>47%</td><td>2%</td><td>1%</td><td>–</td><td>2%</td></tr><tr><td>49%</td><td>48%</td><td>2%</td><td>1%</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>The New York Times/Siena College</td><td>October 24 – November 2, 2024</td><td>1,010 (RV)</td><td>± 3.5%</td><td>47%</td><td>44%</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>3%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>1,010 (LV)</td><td>48%</td><td>46%</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>2%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>Focaldata</td><td>October 3 – November 1, 2024</td><td>1,324 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>48%</td><td>47%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>1%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>1,197 (RV)</td><td>± 2.7%</td><td>49%</td><td>45%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>2%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>1,324 (A)</td><td>–</td><td>48%</td><td>44%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>2%</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>Noble Predictive Insights</td><td>October 28–31, 2024</td><td>593 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>49%</td><td>48%</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>October 28–31, 2024</td><td>690 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>47%</td><td>48%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>1%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>YouGov</td><td>October 25–31, 2024</td><td>790 (RV)</td><td>± 4.6%</td><td>48%</td><td>47%</td><td>0%</td><td>0%</td><td>–</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>773 (LV)</td><td>48%</td><td>47%</td><td>0%</td><td>0%</td><td>–</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>Data for Progress (D)</td><td>October 25–30, 2024</td><td>721 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>49%</td><td>47%</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>1%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>October 25–27, 2024</td><td>531 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>47%</td><td>47%</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>1%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>CNN/SSRS</td><td>October 21–26, 2024</td><td>683 (LV)</td><td>± 4.6%</td><td>47%</td><td>48%</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>1%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>October 20–22, 2024</td><td>540 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>46%</td><td>47%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>0%</td><td>7%</td></tr><tr><td>OnMessage Inc. (R)</td><td>October 19–22, 2024</td><td>600 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>47%</td><td>50%</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>Bloomberg/Morning Consult</td><td>October 16–20, 2024</td><td>449 (RV)</td><td>± 5.0%</td><td>48%</td><td>47%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>2%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>420 (LV)</td><td>48%</td><td>48%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>1%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>October 16–18, 2024</td><td>529 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>46%</td><td>47%</td><td>–</td><td>1%</td><td>1%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>AtlasIntel</td><td>October 12–17, 2024</td><td>1,171 (LV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>48%</td><td>48%</td><td>–</td><td>2%</td><td>0%</td><td>2%</td></tr><tr><td>Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)</td><td>October 8−15, 2024</td><td>600 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>46%</td><td>47%</td><td>–</td><td>–</td><td>1%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>October 12–14, 2024</td><td>838 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>47%</td><td>47%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>1%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>September 27 – October 2, 2024</td><td>514 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>48%</td><td>47%</td><td>–</td><td>1%</td><td>1%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>TIPP Insights</td><td>September 23−25, 2024</td><td>1,044 (RV)</td><td>± 3.7%</td><td>48%</td><td>43%</td><td>1%</td><td>0%</td><td>−</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>736 (LV)</td><td>50%</td><td>49%</td><td>0%</td><td>0%</td><td>−</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>AtlasIntel</td><td>September 20–25, 2024</td><td>858 (LV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>51%</td><td>48%</td><td>–</td><td>1%</td><td>–</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>Bloomberg/Morning Consult</td><td>September 19–25, 2024</td><td>574 (RV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>46%</td><td>44%</td><td>–</td><td>3%</td><td>4%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>516 (LV)</td><td>50%</td><td>44%</td><td>–</td><td>2%</td><td>2%</td><td>2%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>September 16–19, 2024</td><td>652 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>45%</td><td>45%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>1%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>Noble Predictive Insights</td><td>September 9−16, 2024</td><td>812 (RV)</td><td>± 3.4%</td><td>46%</td><td>43%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>1%</td><td>10%</td></tr><tr><td>692 (LV)</td><td>± 3.7%</td><td>47%</td><td>47%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>1%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>September 6–9, 2024</td><td>698 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>45%</td><td>46%</td><td>–</td><td>1%</td><td>1%</td><td>7%</td></tr><tr><td>YouGov</td><td>August 23 – September 3, 2024</td><td>800 (RV)</td><td>± 4.7%</td><td>49%</td><td>46%</td><td>0%</td><td>1%</td><td>–</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>CNN/SSRS</td><td>August 23–29, 2024</td><td>976 (LV)</td><td>± 4.4%</td><td>48%</td><td>47%</td><td>–</td><td>1%</td><td>1%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>August 25–28, 2024</td><td>490 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>47%</td><td>47%</td><td>–</td><td>1%</td><td>0%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>Bloomberg/Morning Consult</td><td>August 23–26, 2024</td><td>416 (LV)</td><td>± 5.0%</td><td>48%</td><td>46%</td><td>–</td><td>2%</td><td>3%</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>450 (RV)</td><td>48%</td><td>45%</td><td>–</td><td>2%</td><td>4%</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>Fox News</td><td>August 23–26, 2024</td><td>1,026 (RV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>48%</td><td>46%</td><td>2%</td><td>1%</td><td>1%</td><td>2%</td></tr></tbody></table>

Results

Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican		751,205	50.59%	2.92%
	Democratic		705,197	47.49%	2.57%
	None of These Candidates	19,625	1.32%	0.32%
	Libertarian		6,059	0.41%	0.64%
	Independent American		2,754	0.19%	0.03%
Total votes	1,484,840	100.00%	N/A

By county

County	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Various candidates Other parties	Margin	Total
#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Carson City	13,375	43.05%	16,873	54.31%	820	2.64%	3,498	11.26%	31,068
Churchill	3,179	23.54%	9,962	73.78%	362	2.68%	6,783	50.23%	13,503
Clark	520,187	50.44%	493,052	47.81%	17,984	1.74%	-27,135	-2.63%	1,031,223
Douglas	11,553	32.49%	23,237	65.35%	766	2.15%	11,684	32.86%	35,556
Elko	4,632	20.62%	17,352	77.24%	481	2.14%	12,720	56.62%	22,465
Esmeralda	73	15.84%	376	81.56%	12	2.60%	303	65.73%	461
Eureka	104	10.04%	910	87.84%	22	2.12%	806	77.80%	1,036
Humboldt	1,711	21.31%	6,141	76.48%	178	2.22%	4,430	55.17%	8,030
Lander	482	17.69%	2,180	80.00%	63	2.31%	1,698	62.31%	2,725
Lincoln	314	12.70%	2,108	85.28%	50	2.02%	1,794	72.57%	2,472
Lyon	8,954	26.70%	23,861	71.14%	726	2.16%	14,907	44.44%	33,541
Mineral	711	30.98%	1,528	66.58%	56	2.44%	817	35.60%	2,295
Nye	7,559	28.00%	18,946	70.18%	492	1.82%	11,387	42.18%	26,997
Pershing	496	21.49%	1,764	76.43%	48	2.08%	1,268	54.94%	2,308
Storey	913	29.69%	2,108	68.55%	54	1.76%	1,195	38.86%	3,075
Washoe	130,071	49.32%	127,443	48.32%	6,220	2.36%	-2,628	-1.00%	263,734
White Pine	883	20.29%	3,364	77.32%	104	2.39%	2,481	57.02%	4,351
Totals	705,197	47.49%	751,205	50.59%	28,438	1.92%	46,008	3.10%	1,484,840

By congressional district

Trump won two of four congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.

District	Harris	Trump	Representative
1st	50.24%	47.98%	Dina Titus
2nd	41.87%	55.80%	Mark Amodei
3rd	48.81%	49.54%	Susie Lee
4th	50.24%	47.92%	Steven Horsford

Analysis

2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

Nevada is a Mountain West state, as well as a crucial swing state for the election. Trump became the first Republican presidential candidate to win the state since George W. Bush's narrow victory in (/wiki/2004UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNevada). It had not been won by double digits since Obama in 2008 against John McCain. Nevada had voted for the winner of every presidential election since (/wiki/1980UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNevada), with the exception of (/wiki/2016UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNevada), when it backed Hillary Clinton; and has been decided by single digits in every presidential election since (/wiki/1992UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNevada), with the exception of Barack Obama's 12.5% win in (/wiki/2008UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNevada). Obama won by less than 7% in (/wiki/2012UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNevada), and Trump lost by less than 2.5% in both (/wiki/2016UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNevada) and (/wiki/2020UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNevada). Today Nevada is a purple state. Democratic strength in Nevada is almost entirely focused on Las Vegas and Reno, along with many of their suburbs.

Trump's win was the first time since statehood that Nevada voted for a Republican and Colorado voted for a Democrat, as well as the first time since (/wiki/2000UnitedStatespresidentialelection) that New Mexico and Nevada had voted for different candidates in a presidential election. Trump won 47.8% of the vote in Clark County, home to Las Vegas, the highest percentage since (/wiki/1988UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNevada). Nevada was the only state that Trump lost in both (/wiki/2016UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNevada) and (/wiki/2020UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninNevada) but won in 2024. This marked the sixth election in a row since 2004 that Nevada voted for the winner of the national popular vote, the longest active streak among any bellwether state. Nevada was one of four states that shifted to the right all three times Trump ran, the others being Arkansas, Florida, and Hawaii.

This was the first presidential election in which Clark County cast over a million votes. Lastly, this was also the first presidential election in Nevada's history in which both Clark County and Washoe County failed to back the winning candidate since the former's foundation in 1909 (in spite of the two counties making up the vast majority of the state's population). Ultimately, this occurrence is not unprecedented in Nevada's electoral history, as it has occurred twice before in Nevada's (/wiki/2014NevadaAttorneyGeneralelection) race for Attorney General and (/wiki/2022Nevadagubernatorialelection) race for governor.