2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota

The 2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Minnesota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Minnesota has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

Source: Wikipedia

Article

2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota

The 2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Minnesota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Minnesota has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

Harris selected Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate. This decision was seen as a strategic effort to bolster support in the Midwest as well as among progressives. Walz's local popularity, progressive stances, and his record of addressing state-level issues were expected to positively influence voter turnout in Minnesota, and potentially secure the state for the Democratic ticket.

Harris won the state by 4.24 points, marking the thirteenth consecutive Democratic presidential win in Minnesota, the longest active such streak of any U.S. state. Prior to the election, all major news organizations considered Minnesota a state Harris would win, or otherwise a lean to likely blue state.

Although Harris won the state, the state still shifted rightward by 3% despite it being Walz’s home state. Nearly all counties in the state shifted rightward, with the exceptions of Cook, Lake and Lincoln counties, which recorded minor shifts to the left. This was part of all 50 states and D.C. shifting rightward in this election, also including Harris’ home state of California. By contrast, Trump improved in his running mate’s home state of Ohio and massively improved in his home state of Florida.

Republican nominee Donald Trump was able to flip four counties that Joe Biden had won four years prior: Carlton, Blue Earth, Nicollet, and Winona. This was the first election since (/wiki/1928UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninMinnesota) in which Carlton County voted Republican.

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Minnesota Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

<table><thead><tr><th>Candidate</th><th>Votes</th><th>Percentage</th><th>Actual delegate count</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Bound</td><td>Unbound</td><td>Total</td></tr><tr><td>Donald Trump</td><td>232,846</td><td>68.94%</td><td>27</td><td>0</td><td>27</td></tr><tr><td>Nikki Haley</td><td>97,182</td><td>28.77%</td><td>12</td><td>0</td><td>12</td></tr><tr><td>Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)</td><td>4,085</td><td>1.21%</td><td>0</td><td>0</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)</td><td>1,470</td><td>0.44%</td><td>0</td><td>0</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Chris Christie (withdrawn)</td><td>1,431</td><td>0.42%</td><td>0</td><td>0</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Write-ins</td><td>720</td><td>0.21%</td><td>0</td><td>0</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Total:</td><td>337,014</td><td>100.00%</td><td>39</td><td>0</td><td>39</td></tr></tbody></table>

Democratic primary

The Minnesota Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

<table><thead><tr><th>Candidate</th><th>Votes</th><th>%</th><th>Delegates</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Joe Biden (incumbent)</td><td>171,278</td><td>70.12</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>Uncommitted</td><td>45,914</td><td>18.80</td><td>11</td></tr><tr><td>Dean Phillips</td><td>18,960</td><td>7.76</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Marianne Williamson</td><td>3,459</td><td>1.42</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Jason Palmer</td><td>758</td><td>0.31</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Cenk Uygur</td><td>692</td><td>0.28</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Armando Perez-Serrato</td><td>372</td><td>0.15</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Gabriel Cornejo</td><td>323</td><td>0.13</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Frankie Lozada</td><td>290</td><td>0.12</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Eban Cambridge</td><td>235</td><td>0.10</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Write-in votes</td><td>2,000</td><td>0.82</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Total</td><td>244,281</td><td>100%</td><td>75</td></tr></tbody></table>

Legal Marijuana Now primary

The Minnesota Legal Marijuana Now primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

<table><thead><tr><th>Candidate</th><th>Votes</th><th>Percentage</th><th>Delegates</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Krystal Gabel (withdrawn)</td><td>759</td><td>28.84%</td><td>-</td></tr><tr><td>Dennis Schuller</td><td>459</td><td>17.44%</td><td>7</td></tr><tr><td>Vermin Supreme</td><td>397</td><td>15.08%</td><td>6</td></tr><tr><td>Rudy Reyes</td><td>365</td><td>13.87%</td><td>5</td></tr><tr><td>Edward Forchion</td><td>168</td><td>6.38%</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>Willie Nelson (write-in)</td><td>19</td><td>0.72%</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>Other write-ins</td><td>465</td><td>17.67%</td><td>-</td></tr><tr><td>Total:</td><td>2,632</td><td>100.00%</td><td>20</td></tr><tr><td>Source:</td></tr></tbody></table>

General election

Candidates

The following presidential candidates received ballot access in Minnesota:

• Kamala Harris, Democratic Party • Donald Trump, Republican Party • Chase Oliver, Libertarian Party • Jill Stein, Green Party • Claudia De la Cruz, Party for Socialism and Liberation • Cornel West, Independent • Shiva Ayyadurai, Independent • Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Independent (withdrawn)

Predictions

<table><thead><tr><th>Source</th><th>Ranking</th><th>As of</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Cook Political Report</td><td>Likely D</td><td>August 27, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>Inside Elections</td><td>Lean D</td><td>April 26, 2023</td></tr><tr><td>Sabato's Crystal Ball</td><td>Likely D</td><td>August 6, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>The Economist</td><td>Likely D</td><td>August 23, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>CNalysis</td><td>Solid D</td><td>August 6, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>CNN</td><td>Lean D</td><td>August 25, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>538</td><td>Likely D</td><td>August 23, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>NBC News</td><td>Likely D</td><td>October 6, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>YouGov</td><td>Likely D</td><td>October 16, 2024</td></tr><tr><td>Split Ticket</td><td>Likely D</td><td>November 1, 2024</td></tr></tbody></table>

Polling

<table><thead><tr><th>Source of poll aggregation</th><th>Dates administered</th><th>Dates updated</th><th>Kamala Harris Democratic</th><th>Donald Trump Republican</th><th>Undecided</th><th>Margin</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>270ToWin</td><td>October 16–November 4, 2024</td><td>November 4, 2024</td><td>49.8%</td><td>43.6%</td><td>6.6%</td><td>Harris +6.2%</td></tr><tr><td>538</td><td>through November 4, 2024</td><td>November 4, 2024</td><td>50.0%</td><td>44.2%</td><td>5.8%</td><td>Harris +5.8%</td></tr><tr><td>Silver Bulletin</td><td>through November 3, 2024</td><td>November 3, 2024</td><td>50.4%</td><td>43.9%</td><td>5.7%</td><td>Harris +6.5%</td></tr><tr><td>The Hill/DDHQ</td><td>through November 3, 2024</td><td>November 3, 2024</td><td>49.9%</td><td>45.5%</td><td>4.6%</td><td>Harris +4.4%</td></tr><tr><td>Average</td><td>50.0%</td><td>44.3%</td><td>5.7%</td><td>Harris +5.7%</td></tr></tbody></table>

<table><thead><tr><th>Poll source</th><th>Date(s) administered</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Margin of error</th><th>Kamala Harris Democratic</th><th>Donald Trump Republican</th><th>Other / Undecided</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>AtlasIntel</td><td>November 3–4, 2024</td><td>2,065 (LV)</td><td>± 2.0%</td><td>49%</td><td>47%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>Research Co.</td><td>November 2–3, 2024</td><td>450 (LV)</td><td>± 4.6%</td><td>51%</td><td>44%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>ActiVote</td><td>October 9 – November 1, 2024</td><td>400 (LV)</td><td>± 4.9%</td><td>52%</td><td>48%</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>SurveyUSA</td><td>October 24–28, 2024</td><td>728 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>51%</td><td>43%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>Rasmussen Reports (R)</td><td>October 24–26, 2024</td><td>959 (LV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>50%</td><td>47%</td><td>3%</td></tr><tr><td>CES/YouGov</td><td>October 1–25, 2024</td><td>1,278 (A)</td><td>–</td><td>52%</td><td>44%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>1,275 (LV)</td><td>53%</td><td>43%</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>Embold Research/MinnPost</td><td>October 16–22, 2024</td><td>1,734 (LV)</td><td>± 2.4%</td><td>48%</td><td>45%</td><td>7%</td></tr><tr><td>ActiVote</td><td>September 10 – October 9, 2024</td><td>400 (LV)</td><td>± 4.9%</td><td>53%</td><td>47%</td><td>–</td></tr><tr><td>SurveyUSA</td><td>September 23–26, 2024</td><td>646 (LV)</td><td>± 4.3%</td><td>50%</td><td>44%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>Rasmussen Reports (R)</td><td>September 19−22, 2024</td><td>993 (LV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>49%</td><td>46%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>Mason-Dixon</td><td>September 16−18, 2024</td><td>800 (LV)</td><td>± 3.5%</td><td>48%</td><td>43%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td>Morning Consult</td><td>September 9−18, 2024</td><td>517 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>50%</td><td>43%</td><td>7%</td></tr><tr><td>Embold Research/MinnPost</td><td>September 4–8, 2024</td><td>1,616 (LV)</td><td>± 2.8%</td><td>49%</td><td>45%</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>Morning Consult</td><td>August 30 – September 8, 2024</td><td>501 (LV)</td><td>± 4.0%</td><td>51%</td><td>44%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>SurveyUSA</td><td>August 27–29, 2024</td><td>635 (LV)</td><td>± 4.5%</td><td>48%</td><td>43%</td><td>9%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>August 23, 2024</td><td>Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>August 19–22, 2024</td><td>Democratic National Convention</td></tr><tr><td>SurveyUSA</td><td>July 23–25, 2024</td><td>656 (LV)</td><td>± 4.4%</td><td>50%</td><td>40%</td><td>10%</td></tr><tr><td>Fox News</td><td>July 22–24, 2024</td><td>1,071 (RV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>52%</td><td>46%</td><td>2%</td></tr></tbody></table>

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

<table><thead><tr><th>Poll source</th><th>Date(s) administered</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Margin of error</th><th>Kamala Harris Democratic</th><th>Donald Trump Republican</th><th>Cornel West Independent</th><th>Jill Stein Green</th><th>Chase Oliver Libertarian</th><th>Other / Undecided</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>AtlasIntel</td><td>November 3–4, 2024</td><td>2,065 (LV)</td><td>± 2.0%</td><td>49%</td><td>47%</td><td>–</td><td>2%</td><td>1%</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>October 12–14, 2024</td><td>544 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>51%</td><td>43%</td><td>–</td><td>1%</td><td>0%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>September 27 – October 2, 2024</td><td>551 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>51%</td><td>43%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>1%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>September 16–19, 2024</td><td>703 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>50%</td><td>44%</td><td>–</td><td>1%</td><td>0%</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>September 6–9, 2024</td><td>617 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>51%</td><td>44%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>0%</td><td>5%</td></tr></tbody></table>

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

<table><thead><tr><th>Poll source</th><th>Date(s) administered</th><th>Sample size</th><th>Margin of error</th><th>Kamala Harris Democratic</th><th>Donald Trump Republican</th><th>Robert Kennedy Jr Independent</th><th>Cornel West Independent</th><th>Jill Stein Green</th><th>Chase Oliver Libertarian</th><th>Other / Undecided</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Chism Strategies</td><td>October 28–30, 2024</td><td>534 (LV)</td><td>± 4.2%</td><td>48%</td><td>43%</td><td>1%</td><td>–</td><td>1%</td><td>0%</td><td>7%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>August 12–15, 2024</td><td>592 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>47%</td><td>40%</td><td>3%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>0%</td><td>10%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>July 31 – August 3, 2024</td><td>538 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>46%</td><td>41%</td><td>3%</td><td>–</td><td>0%</td><td>0%</td><td>10%</td></tr><tr><td>Redfield & Wilton Strategies</td><td>July 22–24, 2024</td><td>475 (LV)</td><td>–</td><td>44%</td><td>41%</td><td>6%</td><td>–</td><td>1%</td><td>0%</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>Fox News</td><td>July 22–24, 2024</td><td>1,071 (RV)</td><td>± 3.0%</td><td>47%</td><td>41%</td><td>7%</td><td>1%</td><td>1%</td><td>–</td><td>3%</td></tr></tbody></table>

Results

<table><thead><tr><th>Party</th><th>Candidate</th><th>Votes</th><th>%</th><th>±%</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td></td><td>Democratic (DFL)</td><td></td><td>1,656,979</td><td>50.92</td><td>−1.48%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Republican</td><td></td><td>1,519,032</td><td>46.68</td><td>+1.40%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>We the People</td><td></td><td>24,001</td><td>0.74</td><td>N/A</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Green</td><td></td><td>16,275</td><td>0.50</td><td>+0.19%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Libertarian</td><td></td><td>15,155</td><td>0.47</td><td>−0.60%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Justice For All</td><td></td><td>3,136</td><td>0.10</td><td>N/A</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Socialism and Liberation</td><td></td><td>2,996</td><td>0.09</td><td>+0.05%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Independent</td><td></td><td>2,885</td><td>0.09</td><td>N/A</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Socialist Workers</td><td></td><td>457</td><td>0.01</td><td>−0.01%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>Write-in</td><td>13,004</td><td>0.40</td><td>+0.10%</td></tr><tr><td>Total votes</td><td>3,253,920</td><td>100.00</td><td>N/A</td></tr></tbody></table>

Results by precinct in Minneapolis   Harris

By county

<table><thead><tr><th>County</th><th>Kamala Harris DFL</th><th>Donald Trump Republican</th><th>Various candidates Other parties</th><th>Margin</th><th>Total</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>#</td><td>%</td><td>#</td><td>%</td><td>#</td><td>%</td><td>#</td><td>%</td></tr><tr><td>Aitkin</td><td>3,524</td><td>33.74%</td><td>6,741</td><td>64.53%</td><td>181</td><td>1.73%</td><td>-3,217</td><td>-30.79%</td><td>10,446</td></tr><tr><td>Anoka</td><td>97,667</td><td>46.40%</td><td>106,974</td><td>50.82%</td><td>5,840</td><td>2.77%</td><td>-9,307</td><td>-4.42%</td><td>210,481</td></tr><tr><td>Becker</td><td>6,435</td><td>32.60%</td><td>12,961</td><td>65.66%</td><td>343</td><td>1.74%</td><td>-6,526</td><td>-33.06%</td><td>19,739</td></tr><tr><td>Beltrami</td><td>11,493</td><td>46.20%</td><td>12,898</td><td>51.85%</td><td>483</td><td>1.94%</td><td>-1,405</td><td>-5.65%</td><td>24,874</td></tr><tr><td>Benton</td><td>7,084</td><td>31.04%</td><td>15,260</td><td>66.86%</td><td>480</td><td>2.10%</td><td>-8,176</td><td>-35.82%</td><td>22,824</td></tr><tr><td>Big Stone</td><td>964</td><td>34.14%</td><td>1,796</td><td>63.60%</td><td>64</td><td>2.27%</td><td>-832</td><td>-29.46%</td><td>2,824</td></tr><tr><td>Blue Earth</td><td>17,558</td><td>48.18%</td><td>18,001</td><td>49.40%</td><td>883</td><td>2.42%</td><td>-443</td><td>-1.22%</td><td>36,442</td></tr><tr><td>Brown</td><td>4,576</td><td>31.35%</td><td>9,692</td><td>66.39%</td><td>330</td><td>2.26%</td><td>-5,116</td><td>-35.04%</td><td>14,598</td></tr><tr><td>Carlton</td><td>9,905</td><td>47.59%</td><td>10,435</td><td>50.13%</td><td>475</td><td>2.28%</td><td>-530</td><td>-2.54%</td><td>20,815</td></tr><tr><td>Carver</td><td>31,869</td><td>46.08%</td><td>35,586</td><td>51.45%</td><td>1,705</td><td>2.47%</td><td>-3,717</td><td>-5.37%</td><td>69,160</td></tr><tr><td>Cass</td><td>6,300</td><td>32.54%</td><td>12,759</td><td>65.89%</td><td>304</td><td>1.57%</td><td>-6,459</td><td>-33.35%</td><td>19,363</td></tr><tr><td>Chippewa</td><td>2,026</td><td>32.07%</td><td>4,175</td><td>66.08%</td><td>117</td><td>1.85%</td><td>-2,149</td><td>-34.01%</td><td>6,318</td></tr><tr><td>Chisago</td><td>11,894</td><td>33.41%</td><td>23,047</td><td>64.74%</td><td>660</td><td>1.85%</td><td>-11,153</td><td>-31.33%</td><td>35,601</td></tr><tr><td>Clay</td><td>16,121</td><td>49.04%</td><td>15,965</td><td>48.56%</td><td>788</td><td>2.40%</td><td>156</td><td>0.48%</td><td>32,874</td></tr><tr><td>Clearwater</td><td>1,169</td><td>24.28%</td><td>3,575</td><td>74.26%</td><td>70</td><td>1.45%</td><td>-2,406</td><td>-49.98%</td><td>4,814</td></tr><tr><td>Cook</td><td>2,416</td><td>66.01%</td><td>1,142</td><td>31.20%</td><td>102</td><td>2.79%</td><td>1,274</td><td>34.81%</td><td>3,660</td></tr><tr><td>Cottonwood</td><td>1,705</td><td>28.47%</td><td>4,157</td><td>69.42%</td><td>126</td><td>2.10%</td><td>-2,452</td><td>-40.95%</td><td>5,988</td></tr><tr><td>Crow Wing</td><td>14,173</td><td>33.45%</td><td>27,423</td><td>64.73%</td><td>770</td><td>1.82%</td><td>-13,250</td><td>-31.28%</td><td>42,366</td></tr><tr><td>Dakota</td><td>143,267</td><td>55.14%</td><td>109,995</td><td>42.34%</td><td>6,543</td><td>2.52%</td><td>33,272</td><td>12.80%</td><td>259,805</td></tr><tr><td>Dodge</td><td>4,108</td><td>32.91%</td><td>8,095</td><td>64.84%</td><td>281</td><td>2.25%</td><td>-3,987</td><td>-31.93%</td><td>12,484</td></tr><tr><td>Douglas</td><td>7,938</td><td>31.62%</td><td>16,726</td><td>66.62%</td><td>442</td><td>1.76%</td><td>-8,788</td><td>-35.00%</td><td>25,106</td></tr><tr><td>Faribault</td><td>2,352</td><td>30.31%</td><td>5,247</td><td>67.61%</td><td>162</td><td>2.09%</td><td>-2,895</td><td>-37.30%</td><td>7,761</td></tr><tr><td>Fillmore</td><td>4,491</td><td>36.26%</td><td>7,638</td><td>61.67%</td><td>256</td><td>2.07%</td><td>-3,147</td><td>-25.41%</td><td>12,385</td></tr><tr><td>Freeborn</td><td>6,448</td><td>38.60%</td><td>10,003</td><td>59.88%</td><td>253</td><td>1.51%</td><td>-3,555</td><td>-21.28%</td><td>16,704</td></tr><tr><td>Goodhue</td><td>11,731</td><td>40.71%</td><td>16,461</td><td>57.12%</td><td>625</td><td>2.17%</td><td>-4,730</td><td>-16.41%</td><td>28,817</td></tr><tr><td>Grant</td><td>1,187</td><td>33.50%</td><td>2,266</td><td>63.96%</td><td>90</td><td>2.54%</td><td>-1,079</td><td>-30.46%</td><td>3,543</td></tr><tr><td>Hennepin</td><td>502,710</td><td>69.80%</td><td>197,244</td><td>27.39%</td><td>20,219</td><td>2.81%</td><td>305,466</td><td>42.41%</td><td>720,173</td></tr><tr><td>Houston</td><td>4,667</td><td>40.84%</td><td>6,547</td><td>57.29%</td><td>214</td><td>1.87%</td><td>-1,880</td><td>-16.45%</td><td>11,428</td></tr><tr><td>Hubbard</td><td>4,536</td><td>33.31%</td><td>8,809</td><td>64.69%</td><td>272</td><td>2.00%</td><td>-4,273</td><td>-31.38%</td><td>13,617</td></tr><tr><td>Isanti</td><td>7,384</td><td>28.49%</td><td>18,027</td><td>69.55%</td><td>507</td><td>1.96%</td><td>-10,643</td><td>-41.06%</td><td>25,918</td></tr><tr><td>Itasca</td><td>10,467</td><td>39.00%</td><td>15,863</td><td>59.10%</td><td>510</td><td>1.90%</td><td>-5,396</td><td>-20.10%</td><td>26,840</td></tr><tr><td>Jackson</td><td>1,581</td><td>28.01%</td><td>3,949</td><td>69.97%</td><td>114</td><td>2.02%</td><td>-2,368</td><td>-41.96%</td><td>5,644</td></tr><tr><td>Kanabec</td><td>2,718</td><td>28.01%</td><td>6,818</td><td>70.27%</td><td>167</td><td>1.72%</td><td>-4,100</td><td>-42.26%</td><td>9,703</td></tr><tr><td>Kandiyohi</td><td>7,814</td><td>33.56%</td><td>15,014</td><td>64.48%</td><td>455</td><td>1.95%</td><td>-7,200</td><td>-30.92%</td><td>23,283</td></tr><tr><td>Kittson</td><td>911</td><td>36.44%</td><td>1,535</td><td>61.40%</td><td>54</td><td>2.16%</td><td>-624</td><td>-24.96%</td><td>2,500</td></tr><tr><td>Koochiching</td><td>2,465</td><td>36.31%</td><td>4,204</td><td>61.92%</td><td>120</td><td>1.77%</td><td>-1,739</td><td>-25.61%</td><td>6,789</td></tr><tr><td>Lac qui Parle</td><td>1,314</td><td>32.88%</td><td>2,600</td><td>65.07%</td><td>82</td><td>2.05%</td><td>-1,286</td><td>-32.19%</td><td>3,996</td></tr><tr><td>Lake</td><td>3,534</td><td>50.82%</td><td>3,265</td><td>46.95%</td><td>155</td><td>2.23%</td><td>269</td><td>3.87%</td><td>6,954</td></tr><tr><td>Lake of the Woods</td><td>604</td><td>25.73%</td><td>1,710</td><td>72.86%</td><td>33</td><td>1.41%</td><td>-1,106</td><td>-47.13%</td><td>2,347</td></tr><tr><td>Le Sueur</td><td>5,636</td><td>32.26%</td><td>11,503</td><td>65.85%</td><td>330</td><td>1.89%</td><td>-5,867</td><td>-33.59%</td><td>17,469</td></tr><tr><td>Lincoln</td><td>972</td><td>30.05%</td><td>2,190</td><td>67.70%</td><td>73</td><td>2.26%</td><td>-1,218</td><td>-37.65%</td><td>3,235</td></tr><tr><td>Lyon</td><td>4,284</td><td>32.98%</td><td>8,400</td><td>64.67%</td><td>306</td><td>2.36%</td><td>-4,116</td><td>-31.69%</td><td>12,990</td></tr><tr><td>Mahnomen</td><td>975</td><td>44.66%</td><td>1,165</td><td>53.37%</td><td>43</td><td>1.97%</td><td>-190</td><td>-8.71%</td><td>2,183</td></tr><tr><td>Marshall</td><td>1,177</td><td>23.39%</td><td>3,774</td><td>75.01%</td><td>80</td><td>1.59%</td><td>-2,597</td><td>-51.62%</td><td>5,031</td></tr><tr><td>Martin</td><td>3,171</td><td>29.37%</td><td>7,442</td><td>68.93%</td><td>183</td><td>1.70%</td><td>-4,271</td><td>-39.56%</td><td>10,796</td></tr><tr><td>McLeod</td><td>6,374</td><td>30.07%</td><td>14,394</td><td>67.90%</td><td>431</td><td>2.03%</td><td>-8,020</td><td>-37.83%</td><td>21,199</td></tr><tr><td>Meeker</td><td>3,802</td><td>27.76%</td><td>9,645</td><td>70.43%</td><td>247</td><td>1.80%</td><td>-5,843</td><td>-42.67%</td><td>13,694</td></tr><tr><td>Mille Lacs</td><td>4,374</td><td>28.80%</td><td>10,570</td><td>69.59%</td><td>246</td><td>1.62%</td><td>-6,196</td><td>-40.79%</td><td>15,190</td></tr><tr><td>Morrison</td><td>4,306</td><td>21.20%</td><td>15,666</td><td>77.12%</td><td>341</td><td>1.68%</td><td>-11,360</td><td>-55.92%</td><td>20,313</td></tr><tr><td>Mower</td><td>8,312</td><td>43.82%</td><td>10,297</td><td>54.28%</td><td>360</td><td>1.90%</td><td>-1,985</td><td>-10.46%</td><td>18,969</td></tr><tr><td>Murray</td><td>1,329</td><td>27.87%</td><td>3,346</td><td>70.16%</td><td>94</td><td>1.97%</td><td>-2,017</td><td>-42.29%</td><td>4,769</td></tr><tr><td>Nicollet</td><td>9,441</td><td>48.62%</td><td>9,540</td><td>49.13%</td><td>436</td><td>2.25%</td><td>-99</td><td>-0.51%</td><td>19,417</td></tr><tr><td>Nobles</td><td>2,599</td><td>31.41%</td><td>5,541</td><td>66.96%</td><td>135</td><td>1.63%</td><td>-2,942</td><td>-35.55%</td><td>8,275</td></tr><tr><td>Norman</td><td>1,233</td><td>37.43%</td><td>1,963</td><td>59.59%</td><td>98</td><td>2.98%</td><td>-730</td><td>-22.16%</td><td>3,294</td></tr><tr><td>Olmsted</td><td>49,121</td><td>54.02%</td><td>39,467</td><td>43.41%</td><td>2,336</td><td>2.57%</td><td>9,654</td><td>10.61%</td><td>90,924</td></tr><tr><td>Otter Tail</td><td>11,752</td><td>31.99%</td><td>24,276</td><td>66.08%</td><td>708</td><td>1.93%</td><td>-12,524</td><td>-34.09%</td><td>36,736</td></tr><tr><td>Pennington</td><td>2,439</td><td>33.04%</td><td>4,756</td><td>64.44%</td><td>186</td><td>2.52%</td><td>-2,317</td><td>-31.40%</td><td>7,381</td></tr><tr><td>Pine</td><td>5,339</td><td>31.57%</td><td>11,274</td><td>66.67%</td><td>298</td><td>1.76%</td><td>-5,935</td><td>-35.10%</td><td>16,911</td></tr><tr><td>Pipestone</td><td>1,215</td><td>25.12%</td><td>3,537</td><td>73.12%</td><td>85</td><td>1.76%</td><td>-2,322</td><td>-48.00%</td><td>4,837</td></tr><tr><td>Polk</td><td>4,967</td><td>32.21%</td><td>10,162</td><td>65.91%</td><td>290</td><td>1.88%</td><td>-5,195</td><td>-33.70%</td><td>15,419</td></tr><tr><td>Pope</td><td>2,398</td><td>33.22%</td><td>4,677</td><td>64.80%</td><td>143</td><td>1.98%</td><td>-2,279</td><td>-31.58%</td><td>7,218</td></tr><tr><td>Ramsey</td><td>195,168</td><td>70.20%</td><td>75,284</td><td>27.08%</td><td>7,573</td><td>2.72%</td><td>119,884</td><td>43.12%</td><td>278,025</td></tr><tr><td>Red Lake</td><td>642</td><td>30.34%</td><td>1,425</td><td>67.34%</td><td>49</td><td>2.32%</td><td>-783</td><td>-37.00%</td><td>2,116</td></tr><tr><td>Redwood</td><td>2,300</td><td>27.62%</td><td>5,895</td><td>70.80%</td><td>131</td><td>1.57%</td><td>-3,595</td><td>-43.18%</td><td>8,326</td></tr><tr><td>Renville</td><td>2,280</td><td>28.29%</td><td>5,610</td><td>69.62%</td><td>168</td><td>2.08%</td><td>-3,330</td><td>-41.33%</td><td>8,058</td></tr><tr><td>Rice</td><td>17,353</td><td>47.66%</td><td>18,264</td><td>50.16%</td><td>795</td><td>2.18%</td><td>-911</td><td>-2.50%</td><td>36,412</td></tr><tr><td>Rock</td><td>1,585</td><td>29.50%</td><td>3,690</td><td>68.68%</td><td>98</td><td>1.82%</td><td>-2,105</td><td>-39.18%</td><td>5,373</td></tr><tr><td>Roseau</td><td>2,093</td><td>24.63%</td><td>6,279</td><td>73.88%</td><td>127</td><td>1.49%</td><td>-4,186</td><td>-49.25%</td><td>8,499</td></tr><tr><td>St. Louis</td><td>66,335</td><td>55.74%</td><td>50,065</td><td>42.07%</td><td>2,609</td><td>2.19%</td><td>16,270</td><td>13.67%</td><td>119,009</td></tr><tr><td>Scott</td><td>40,214</td><td>44.61%</td><td>47,837</td><td>53.07%</td><td>2,090</td><td>2.32%</td><td>-7,623</td><td>-8.46%</td><td>90,141</td></tr><tr><td>Sherburne</td><td>18,329</td><td>31.62%</td><td>38,491</td><td>66.41%</td><td>1,140</td><td>1.97%</td><td>-20,162</td><td>-34.79%</td><td>57,960</td></tr><tr><td>Sibley</td><td>2,351</td><td>27.54%</td><td>6,014</td><td>70.45%</td><td>172</td><td>2.01%</td><td>-3,663</td><td>-42.91%</td><td>8,537</td></tr><tr><td>Stearns</td><td>30,829</td><td>35.59%</td><td>53,932</td><td>62.25%</td><td>1,871</td><td>2.16%</td><td>-23,103</td><td>-26.66%</td><td>86,632</td></tr><tr><td>Steele</td><td>7,650</td><td>36.65%</td><td>12,742</td><td>61.05%</td><td>480</td><td>2.30%</td><td>-5,092</td><td>-24.40%</td><td>20,872</td></tr><tr><td>Stevens</td><td>1,827</td><td>35.55%</td><td>3,213</td><td>62.52%</td><td>99</td><td>1.93%</td><td>-1,386</td><td>-26.97%</td><td>5,139</td></tr><tr><td>Swift</td><td>1,618</td><td>32.01%</td><td>3,340</td><td>66.09%</td><td>96</td><td>1.90%</td><td>-1,722</td><td>-34.08%</td><td>5,054</td></tr><tr><td>Todd</td><td>3,072</td><td>22.39%</td><td>10,392</td><td>75.75%</td><td>254</td><td>1.85%</td><td>-7,320</td><td>-53.36%</td><td>13,718</td></tr><tr><td>Traverse</td><td>597</td><td>33.13%</td><td>1,165</td><td>64.65%</td><td>40</td><td>2.22%</td><td>-568</td><td>-31.52%</td><td>1,802</td></tr><tr><td>Wabasha</td><td>4,721</td><td>34.95%</td><td>8,523</td><td>63.09%</td><td>265</td><td>1.96%</td><td>-3,802</td><td>-28.14%</td><td>13,509</td></tr><tr><td>Wadena</td><td>1,898</td><td>23.59%</td><td>6,028</td><td>74.91%</td><td>121</td><td>1.50%</td><td>-4,130</td><td>-51.32%</td><td>8,047</td></tr><tr><td>Waseca</td><td>3,402</td><td>32.75%</td><td>6,770</td><td>65.18%</td><td>215</td><td>2.07%</td><td>-3,368</td><td>-32.43%</td><td>10,387</td></tr><tr><td>Washington</td><td>90,324</td><td>53.28%</td><td>75,271</td><td>44.40%</td><td>3,941</td><td>2.32%</td><td>15,053</td><td>8.88%</td><td>169,536</td></tr><tr><td>Watonwan</td><td>1,723</td><td>34.93%</td><td>3,087</td><td>62.58%</td><td>123</td><td>2.49%</td><td>-1,364</td><td>-27.65%</td><td>4,933</td></tr><tr><td>Wilkin</td><td>986</td><td>29.41%</td><td>2,290</td><td>68.30%</td><td>77</td><td>2.30%</td><td>-1,304</td><td>-38.89%</td><td>3,353</td></tr><tr><td>Winona</td><td>12,929</td><td>46.51%</td><td>14,288</td><td>51.40%</td><td>580</td><td>2.09%</td><td>-1,359</td><td>-4.89%</td><td>27,797</td></tr><tr><td>Wright</td><td>30,883</td><td>34.30%</td><td>57,211</td><td>63.54%</td><td>1,947</td><td>2.16%</td><td>-26,328</td><td>-29.24%</td><td>90,041</td></tr><tr><td>Yellow Medicine</td><td>1,548</td><td>28.61%</td><td>3,738</td><td>69.09%</td><td>124</td><td>2.29%</td><td>-2,190</td><td>-40.48%</td><td>5,410</td></tr><tr><td>Totals</td><td>1,656,979</td><td>50.92%</td><td>1,519,032</td><td>46.68%</td><td>77,909</td><td>2.40%</td><td>137,947</td><td>4.24%</td><td>3,253,920</td></tr></tbody></table>

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Blue Earth (largest municipality: Mankato) • Carlton (largest municipality: Cloquet) • Nicollet (largest municipality: North Mankato) • Winona (largest municipality: Winona)

By congressional district

Harris and Trump each won four of eight congressional districts.

<table><thead><tr><th>District</th><th>Harris</th><th>Trump</th><th>Representative</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>1st</td><td>42.92%</td><td>54.88%</td><td>Brad Finstad</td></tr><tr><td>2nd</td><td>51.69%</td><td>45.89%</td><td>Angie Craig</td></tr><tr><td>3rd</td><td>59.26%</td><td>38.11%</td><td>Dean Phillips (118th Congress)</td></tr><tr><td>Kelly Morrison (119th Congress)</td></tr><tr><td>4th</td><td>66.43%</td><td>30.93%</td><td>Betty McCollum</td></tr><tr><td>5th</td><td>79.26%</td><td>17.67%</td><td>Ilhan Omar</td></tr><tr><td>6th</td><td>39.03%</td><td>58.62%</td><td>Tom Emmer</td></tr><tr><td>7th</td><td>30.84%</td><td>67.21%</td><td>Michelle Fischbach</td></tr><tr><td>8th</td><td>41.90%</td><td>56.14%</td><td>Pete Stauber</td></tr></tbody></table>

Analysis

2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota

An upper Midwestern state at the western end of the Great Lakes, Minnesota is seen as a moderately blue state. It has the longest active streak of voting for Democratic presidential nominees of any U.S. state; the last Republican to win Minnesota was Richard Nixon in (/wiki/1972UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninMinnesota), against the backdrop of his 49-state landslide reelection; and it was also the only state to not back Ronald Reagan in (/wiki/1984UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninMinnesota), with favorite son Walter Mondale victorious in his home state by a slim margin. However, presidential elections in Minnesota have consistently been competitive in the 21st century, with no Democrat carrying the state by double digits with the exception of Midwesterner Barack Obama, who did so by 10.2 percentage points in (/wiki/2008UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninMinnesota). Minnesota was considered to be a Democratic-leaning state in this election; in the weeks leading up to Joe Biden's withdrawal from the presidential campaign, polls indicated a somewhat tight race in the state, but when Kamala Harris became the Democratic nominee, Minnesota polls shifted somewhat more in the Democrats' favor.

Trump became the first Republican presidential nominee to win Carlton County since Herbert Hoover in (/wiki/1928UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninMinnesota). With Harris narrowly winning Clay County, which houses Moorhead, this was the first presidential election since (/wiki/1988UnitedStatespresidentialelectioninMinnesota) in which said county did not back the winning candidate; during that election, it favored Democrat Michael Dukakis over Republican George H. W. Bush.

Even though Harris won the majority of votes in heavily Somali precincts in Minneapolis, her margins of victory were significantly lower than those of Joe Biden in 2020. For instance, in the Somali American hub of Cedar-Riverside, support for Harris dropped by 14 percentage points compared to 2020. This was part of a nationwide loss of support for the Democrats among Muslim voters, which was attributed to anger over the War in Gaza, backlash against the Democrats over LGBTQ and other cultural issues, and perceptions of a poorly handled economy.